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Budget: FG to Spend N1.16tn More in 2018

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  • Budget: FG to Spend N1.16tn More in 2018

The country’s national budget will rise by N1.16tn in 2018, according to projections contained in the 2018-2020 Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy submitted to the National Assembly by President Muhammadu Buhari.

The President forwarded the MTEF/FSP to the National Assembly on Tuesday, with a covering letter read to members of the House of Representatives by the Speaker, Mr. Yakubu Dogara.

Details of the MTEF, obtained in Abuja on Thursday showed that the Federal Government would spend N8.60tn next year, up from the N7.44tn appropriated in 2017.

The difference of N1.16tn represents a “15.5 per cent” increase over the budget of the current year.

This will also mean additional deficit in the 2018 budget size of up to N592.75bn or “25.0 per cent” over the N2.36tn deficit contained in the 2017 budget.

In 2016, the country’s budget was N6.06tn.

The details of the MTEF reveal that the anticipated aggregate revenue to fund the 2018 budget will be N5.65tn “or 11.0 per cent or N562.50b over the 2017 estimate of N5.08tn.”

Major expenditure heads include N12.12tn for recurrent and N2.03tn for capital expenditure.

The government projects the country’s Gross Domestic Product to grow by 3.5 per cent in 2018, but inflation will “moderate to 12.42 per cent.”

The government arrived at this, using a crude oil production projection of 2.3 million barrels per day in 2018, with a benchmark price of $45 “and an average exchange rate of N305/$1.”

Daily oil production is expected to be 2.4mbpd in 2019 and 2.5mbpd in 2020.

In 2017, oil production suffered setbacks before it later climbed to 2.2mbpd. The benchmark for 2017 was $44, while the exchange rate was also N305/$1.

Generally, the government hopes that oil production will rise, owing to improved security and consultations with groups in the Niger Delta region.

For instance, it said pipeline vandalism dropped to 94 points in April 2017, compared to 214 vandalised points in the same period in 2016.

The document added, “The nominal GDP is expected to increase from N104.79bn in 2017 to N134.7bn in 2020.

“Similarly, consumption expenditure is projected to grow from N83.66 in 2018 to N107.77bn in 2020. These are reflective of a gradual recovery of the economy.”

The MTEF merely gives a general outlook of the government’s plans for 2018-2020.

Specific details, particularly in respect of the 2018 budget, are expected to be contained in the estimates of the budget that will soon be presented to the National Assembly by Buhari.

By the provisions of the Fiscal Responsibility Act, 2007, the National Assembly is to first consider and approve the MTEF/FSP before the estimates of the budget will be presented to lawmakers.

Meanwhile, the House in plenary asked the government to recover the $14.29bn gas flare fines owed the country by International Oil Companies from 2008 to 2016.

The House also called for a status report on the damage caused by gas flaring in affected communities.

The resolution was passed following a motion moved by a member from Edo State, Mr. Johnson Agbonayinma, and six other lawmakers.

The motion read partly, “The House is aware that the Federal Government, in a bid to discourage gas flaring and encourage the redirection of gas flared from waste to wealth, and to save the environment and the lives of the people living in the gas flared environment, imposed a penalty of $3.5 per 1000 SCF of gas flared by oil companies.

“(The House is) also aware that the Deputy Director and Head, Upstream of the Department of Petroleum Resources, while speaking at a conference in Houston, Texas, USA, recently, said that the country had lost $14,298bn between April 2008 and October 2016 in form of penalties for gas flaring, which the IOCs failed to pay.

“In a similar vein, the Nigeria Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative, in its latest Oil and Gas Audit Report, noted that firms operating in the country had failed to abide by the regulating penalty of $3.5 for every 1000 SCF of gas flared by oil companies.

“(The House is) concerned that multinational oil companies, which adhere strictly to internationally acceptable environmental best practices in their countries and other parts of the globe, have refused to pay the agreed penalties on gas flared in Nigeria.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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Nigeria, China Collaborate to Bridge $18 Billion Trade Gap Through Agricultural Exports

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In a concerted effort to address the $18 billion trade deficit between Nigeria and China, both nations have embarked on a collaborative endeavor aimed at bolstering agricultural exports from Nigeria to China.

This strategic partnership, heralded as a landmark initiative in bilateral trade relations, seeks to narrow the trade gap and foster more balanced economic exchanges between the two countries.

The Executive Director of the Nigerian Export Promotion Council (NEPC), Nonye Ayeni, revealed this collaboration during a joint meeting between the Council and the Department of Commerce of Hunan province, China, held in Abuja on Monday.

Addressing the trade imbalance, Ayeni said collaborative efforts will help close the gap and stimulate more equitable trade relations between the two nations.

With Nigeria importing approximately $20.4 billion worth of goods from China, while its exports to China stood at around $2 billion, representing a $18 billion in trade deficit.

This significant imbalance has prompted officials from both countries to strategize on how to rebalance trade dynamics and promote mutually beneficial economic exchanges.

The collaborative effort between Nigeria and China focuses on leveraging the vast potential of Nigeria’s agricultural sector to expand export opportunities to the Chinese market.

Ayeni highlighted Nigeria’s abundant supply of over 1,000 exportable products, emphasizing the need to identify and promote the top 20 products with high demand in global markets, particularly in China.

“We have over 1,000 products in large quantities, and we expect that the collaboration will help us improve. The NEPC is focused on a 12-18 month target, focusing on the top 20 products based on global demand in the markets in which China is a top destination,” Ayeni explained, outlining the strategic objectives of the collaboration.

The initiative not only aims to reduce the trade deficit but also seeks to capitalize on China’s growing appetite for agricultural products. Nigeria, with its diverse agricultural landscape, sees an opportunity to expand its export market and capitalize on China’s increasing demand for agricultural imports.

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