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Nigeria Needs Investment to Develop Power Grid —GE Boss

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General Electric

The Global Vice President at General Electric, Mr. John Rice, who was at the recent Nigerian Economic Summit in Abuja, spoke with EVEREST AMAEFULE about how some power equipment brought into the country by his company had to wait for one year at the port, among other issues

You have been to Nigeria a number of times; what is your impression about the country?

It appears to be rebounding a little bit from the recession and this is encouraging but one or two quarters don’t make a recovery. So, we need to watch that carefully but for us the country holds tremendous amount of potential.

We see progress in some areas; opportunities for progress in other areas but from our global perspectives, it is a very important place for General Electric. We don’t see that changing.

Why is Nigeria a very important place for the GE?

The size of the country, the population, the natural resources, the commodities that are here, the need for infrastructure — all play to GE’s strength. So, we think as a company we can provide a lot of the basic infrastructure needs or support the development of the basic infrastructure.

In addition to specific projects, equipment and services that we provide, we try to get heavily involved in capacity building – training and development of people so that there is longer lasting benefits than just a specific project that accomplishes a specific objective.

What are the countries that are in competition with Nigeria for investment funds?

I think every country competes with Nigeria, and Nigeria competes with every country. If you think about global capital and industrial activities in the development of economies, the work requires a combination of private and public capital.

The public capital can easily come from the government. The private capital can come from many sources but all of these sources have choices about where they invest — whether for a company like GE that operates in 180 countries or a company like Dangote which is an indigenous Nigerian company with broad regional and global capabilities.

Each of those investors makes the choice about where they allocate capital on behalf of their shareholders. And so they have to think about risk-adjusted returns. You want to put your money in a place where you think you are going to be paid back or get a return on an investment.

So, it is really important for the government to solve the challenges that come with infrastructure in Nigeria. Government has to contend with attracting fund for direct investment. To do that, you have to give investors some confidence — not a guaranty because there is always a risk with these kinds of decisions — but some confidence that they are going to have a return on investment over time.

We are a big company. So it is easy for us to get involved in multiple countries.

The bigger question for us is: can we actually make things happen here? We have lots of ideas; the government has lots of ideas. We are looking at energy investments and the big question for us a lot of times is: what will it take to make this deal work? And how do you move forward in a reasonable timeframe?

The government has a role because it can do things to move projects forward so long as they can do things to slow projects down. The same way we can. We can do things to move projects along; we can do things to slow projects down.

In my comments in the plenary session, I talked about the importance of speed. Governments should be measured on speed and how they are capable to fix problems and fixing them quickly. Companies should be held to the same standards and measurements.

It is important for us to do things in Nigeria that matters quickly; not just when we feel like it. I think it is true for the Federal Government and the state governments. I think there is a level of accountability that people expect. When they don’t get that, they are disappointed, angry, and they vote for change.

When you talk about speed, can we focus on Nigeria and what exactly are you looking at?

You have to break it down to the lowest common denominator. I can refer to our first power project we committed to the government to do early last year. We delivered the units for the first power project a year ago and they were in Customs for almost a year. When you think about that, this is a country that needs power badly. Why would the units sit down for a year? It is paper work; it is approvals; it is this argument; it is that argument.

The moral of the story is that nobody was responsible for the speed of processing those units; processing the paper work and getting the units out of the ports to the places where they were supposed to be situated and where the power can be generated.

So, I am guessing but I will bet that nobody from the government perspective that is involved in this is being measured on speed. The job of a Customs organisation is not to keep things out but to let things in – the right things. Keep the wrongs things out and let the right things in.

These are power generation units; they are the right things. If you look at all the processes and regulations that affect the speed matrix, they should help to move things faster.

Honestly, I can make this comment in many of the countries where we do business. So, this isn’t an isolated circumstance. Think about government bureaucracies around the world; I don’t think many people know that they are paid to let things go quickly.

Is it not possible that you did not do your documentation properly?

Maybe, initially. But that is not what caused the delay. Sometimes, it is a documentation problem; sometimes, it is a situation we contributed to but when it is our problem, we go and fix it. We haven’t been paid for those units. Our interest is having them through, getting them situated, turning out the electricity and getting paid.

The GE is involved in the country’s power industry, and there are projects here and there. When are these power projects going to yield the desired results?

The units we finished talking about — 240 gigawatts of power that should have been installed last year haven’t been installed. There is much more power in the grid today than when I started coming to Nigeria 15 years ago.

One of the things I think we have to do is to recognise that all infrastructure is not created equally. There is a hierarchy like a pyramid of infrastructure. At the very bottom of the foundation is electricity infrastructure.

Electricity, healthcare, and clean water are the basic building blocks on which you build an economy that can create jobs and allow for growth. You cannot just rely on natural resources.

If you don’t have electricity, it is very hard to educate people. It is very hard to help small and medium-size enterprises; they have to run their own power generation, and it is expensive. So, it adds to the cost of what they do. Electricity happens to be one of the fundamental building blocks.

What I am asking is that the GE happens to be one of the companies involved in power projects in Nigeria. Why is it difficult for these projects to deliver power to the people after the money spent on them?

It is hard to get equipment into the country. We have projects that were held up because the roads and bridges that we require to move the equipment from the ports to the sites hadn’t been developed well enough. That takes a long time to get fixed.

The issue with respect to power getting to people also involves the grid. That requires a whole level of investment.

The newly privatised companies now have to invest to develop the grid because you generate the electrons. But if you cannot move them in an efficient way to the place they need to be in order to be paid for, then you haven’t solved the purpose of the power generation.

A study indicates that there is some substantial amount of investment that has to be made on the grid.

Is it that a holistic approach is not being taken to provide power to the consumers?

It has to be a holistic approach because you have to start with the generation and end up with a paying consumer or a paying company. Too many of the electrons that are generated in Nigeria today don’t accomplish that objective. They don’t end up getting to somebody who is going to pay for it. It is not an easy problem to fix.

This is a massive challenge that many countries have. You can generate the electrons. You have to get them where they need to be, and you have to have someone that is willing to pay for it. Otherwise, you are not going to be able to sustain a regular investment in your electricity infrastructure.

Apart from installing equipment, is there any other role that GE can play in ensuring that the power gets delivered to the paying consumers?

We have what we can get involved in dedication of financing for some of these projects. So, we have the equipment. We provide lifecycle maintenance service. And we have an array of digital technology which now can help in the efficient transfer of the electrons from the point of generation to the point of consumption.

Securing financing, bringing in third parties, and getting export credit from around the world to support some of Nigeria’s power needs; these are all roles we can play.

Are you in talk with the government to explore such roles?

Yes, we are and the government is very receptive to that but if you want to attract capital (private capital) to energy projects, you need an offtake agreement. Somebody has to agree to pay for the power. That somebody can be the government, a company or a state. It has to a responsible counter-party.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Dip on Sluggish Demand Signs and Fed’s Interest Rate Outlook

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Oil prices on Monday dipped as the U.S. Federal Reserve officials’ comments showed a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments.

The dip in prices reflects concerns over the outlook for global economic growth and its implications for energy consumption in the world’s largest economy.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, slipped by 7 cents or 0.1% to $82.72 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil stood at $78.21 per barrel, a 5 cents decline.

Auckland-based independent analyst Tina Teng highlighted that the oil market’s focus has shifted from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to the broader world economic outlook.

Concerns arose as China’s producer price index (PPI) contracted in April, signaling continued sluggishness in business demand.

Similarly, recent U.S. economic data suggested a slowdown, further dampening market sentiment.

The discussions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the adequacy of current interest rates to stimulate inflation back to the desired 2% level added to market jitters.

While earlier in the week, concerns over supply disruptions stemming from the Israel-Gaza conflict had provided some support to oil prices, the attention has now turned to macroeconomic indicators.

Analysts anticipate that the U.S. central bank will maintain its policy rate at the current level for an extended period, bolstering the dollar.

A stronger dollar typically makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thus contributing to downward pressure on oil prices.

Furthermore, signs of weak demand added to the bearish sentiment in the oil market. ANZ analysts noted that U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased in the week preceding the start of the U.S. driving season, indicating subdued demand for fuel.

Refiners globally are grappling with declining profits for diesel, driven by increased supplies and lackluster economic activity.

Despite the prevailing challenges, expectations persist that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies, collectively known as OPEC+, may extend supply cuts into the second half of the year.

Iraq, the second-largest OPEC producer, expressed commitment to voluntary oil production cuts and emphasized cooperation with member countries to stabilize global oil markets.

However, Iraq’s suggestion that it had fulfilled its voluntary reductions and reluctance to agree to additional cuts proposed by OPEC+ members stirred speculation and uncertainty in the market.

ING analysts pointed out that Iraq’s ability to implement further cuts might be limited, given its previous shortfall in adhering to voluntary reductions.

Meanwhile, in the United States, the oil rig count declined to its lowest level since November, signaling a potential slowdown in domestic oil production.

As oil markets continue to grapple with a complex web of factors influencing supply and demand dynamics, investors and industry stakeholders remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments and adjusting their strategies accordingly in an ever-evolving landscape.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hovers Above $84 as Demand Rises in U.S. and China

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Brent crude oil continued its upward trajectory above $84 a barrel as demand in the United States and China, the two largest consumers of crude globally increased.

This surge in demand coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has bolstered oil markets, maintaining Brent crude’s resilience above $84 a barrel.

The latest data revealed a surge in demand, particularly in the U.S. where falling crude inventories coincided with higher refinery runs.

This trend indicates growing consumption patterns and a positive outlook for oil demand in the world’s largest economy.

In China, oil imports for April exceeded last year’s figures, driven by signs of improving trade activity, as exports and imports returned to growth after a previous contraction.

ANZ Research analysts highlighted the ongoing strength in demand from China, suggesting that this could keep commodity markets well supported in the near term.

The positive momentum in demand from these key economies has provided a significant boost to oil prices in recent trading sessions.

However, amidst these bullish indicators, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have added further support to oil markets. Reports of a Ukrainian drone attack setting fire to an oil refinery in Russia’s Kaluga region have heightened concerns about supply disruptions and escalated tensions in the region.

Also, ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip has fueled apprehensions of broader unrest, particularly given Iran’s support for Palestinian group Hamas.

Citi analysts emphasized the geopolitical risks facing the oil market, pointing to Israel’s actions in Rafah and growing tensions along its northern border. They cautioned that such risks could persist throughout the second quarter of 2024.

Despite the current bullish sentiment, analysts anticipate a moderation in oil prices as global demand growth appears to be moderating with Brent crude expected to average $86 a barrel in the second quarter and $74 in the third quarter.

The combination of robust demand from key economies like the U.S. and China, coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continues to influence oil markets with Brent crude hovering above $84 a barrel.

As investors closely monitor developments in both demand dynamics and geopolitical events, the outlook for oil prices remains subject to ongoing market volatility and uncertainty.

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Crude Oil

Brent Plunges Below $83 Amidst Rising US Stockpiles and Middle East Uncertainty

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

The global oil declined today as Brent crude prices plummeted below $83 per barrel, its lowest level since mid-March.

This steep decline comes amidst a confluence of factors, including a worrisome surge in US oil inventories and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.

On the commodity exchanges, Brent crude, the international benchmark for oil prices, experienced a sharp decline, dipping below the psychologically crucial threshold of $83 per barrel.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil, the US benchmark, also saw a notable decrease to $77 per barrel.

The downward spiral in oil prices has been attributed to a plethora of factors rattling the market’s stability.

One of the primary drivers behind the recent slump in oil prices is the mounting stockpiles of crude oil in the United States.

According to industry estimates, crude inventories at Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI futures contracts, surged by over 1 million barrels last week.

Also, reports indicate a significant buildup in nationwide holdings of gasoline and distillates, further exacerbating concerns about oversupply in the market.

Meanwhile, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to add a layer of uncertainty to the oil market dynamics.

The Israeli military’s incursion into the Gazan city of Rafah has intensified concerns about the potential escalation of conflicts in the region.

Despite efforts to broker a truce between Israel and Hamas, designated as a terrorist organization by both the US and the European Union, a lasting peace agreement remains elusive, fostering an environment of instability that reverberates across global energy markets.

Analysts and investors alike are closely monitoring these developments, with many expressing apprehension about the implications for oil prices in the near term.

The recent downturn in oil prices reflects a broader trend of market pessimism, with indicators such as timespreads and processing margins signaling a weakening outlook for the commodity.

The narrowing of Brent and WTI’s prompt spreads to multi-month lows suggests that market conditions are becoming increasingly less favorable for oil producers.

Furthermore, the strengthening of the US dollar is compounding the challenges facing the oil market, as a stronger dollar renders commodities more expensive for investors using other currencies.

The dollar’s upward trajectory, coupled with oil’s breach below its 100-day moving average, has intensified selling pressure on crude futures, exacerbating the latest bout of price weakness.

In the face of these headwinds, some market observers remain cautiously optimistic, citing ongoing supply-side risks as a potential source of support for oil prices.

Factors such as the upcoming June meeting of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) and the prospect of renewed curbs on Iranian and Venezuelan oil production could potentially mitigate downward pressure on prices in the coming months.

However, uncertainties surrounding the trajectory of global oil demand, geopolitical developments, and the efficacy of OPEC+ supply policies continue to cast a shadow of uncertainty over the oil market outlook.

As traders await official data on crude inventories and monitor geopolitical developments in the Middle East, the coming days are likely to be marked by heightened volatility and uncertainty in the oil markets.

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