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Petrol Price Fail to Crash Despite Kachikwu’s Assurances

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  • Petrol Price Fail to Crash Despite Kachikwu’s Assurances

Fifteen months after the price of Premium Motor Spirit, otherwise known as petrol, was increased by 68 per cent, consumers have yet to see any significant decrease in the price, contrary to the promise by the Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Dr. Ibe Kachikwu.

The Federal Government on May 11, 2016 announced the removal of fuel subsidy, with a new petrol price band of N135 to N145 per litre, up from N86 and N86.50.

It said with the liberalisation of the downstream sector, “any Nigerian entity is now free to import the product, subject to existing quality specifications and other guidelines issued by regulatory agencies.”

Following opposition by many Nigerians to the fuel hike, Kachikwu said by opening up the space for people to perform, to practise their trade, “you will be amazed at what will happen to your N145 price because it will go downwards.

“We mean well and Nigerians should please trust us. Give us a chance; you will be surprised what will become of your PMS’ price over the next six to eight months.”

More than a year after the hike, a litre of the PMS is still being sold for N145 or more in many parts of the country.

States with the highest average price of the PMS in August were Plateau (146.4), Rivers (145.5) and Zamfara (N145.4), according to the latest Premium Motor Spirit Watch obtained from the Nigerian Bureau of Statistics.

It said states with the lowest average price of the PMS were Nasarawa (N143), Oyo (N143.2) and Lagos and Ondo (N143.3).

The NBS said the average price paid by consumers for the PMS decreased by 1.9 per cent year-on-year and by 2.5 per cent month-on-month to 144.4 in August from N148.2 in July.

Asked when the price of fuel would come down at a media chat on Twitter on Monday, Kachikwu said, “Anything can affect the pricing either way as recently seen in the US where the hurricane induced an almost 15 per cent increase.

“Efficiency of refineries will definitely help,” the minister said, adding that there were plans to refurbish the nation’s existing refineries.

Early this month, the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation claimed that its sustained strategic intervention in the efficient supply and distribution petroleum products had led to “significant fall in the prices of the Premium Motor Spirit nationwide.”

It said a national survey by Oil and Gas Forum, the NNPC’s weekly TV programme, indicated that in the last few weeks, the price of petrol had fallen steadily from N145 per litre to between N142 and N143 per litre in some stations across the country.

The corporation said the study showed that the NNPC mega and affiliate stations across the country were selling the product for N143 per litre, while the pump price ranged between N142 and N145 per litre in some major and independent marketers in Lagos, Abuja, Sokoto, Enugu, Delta and other major cities.

Energy specialists at Ecobank Capital, in a new report, noted that the NNPC recently started stockpiling the PMS with aim of securing a stable supply while the refineries would undergo some rehabilitation and to prevent any significant social, economic and political problems in the event of oil supply shortages.

According to the report, there is an accumulated 1.64 billion litres of petrol in stock which will last the country up to 46 days of petrol consumption, with an additional 1.125 billion litres expected to be delivered by the end of this month, raising the country’s storage to about 79 days of petroleum consumption (35 million litres daily).

The Head of Energy Research, Ecobank, Mr. Dolapo Oni, said, “In our opinion, the presence of this stockpile could considerably support further reduction in the pump price of petrol. However, the reduction is based entirely on the NNPC’s decision to sell at a lower price as against a market-driven reduction in prices.

“This is largely because as the largest importer of petrol at the moment (about 99 per cent of imports), the NNPC also decides in conjunction with the Petroleum Products Pricing and Regulatory Agency what the ex-depot and, by extension, the pump prices should be.”

According to the Ecobank analysts, the actual landing price of petrol is likely higher than the current N130/litre at which marketers are able to lift products at the depots.

They said adjusting for transport time (thus, using prices from July/August), the average tonne of petrol from Europe would have landed offshore Nigeria at N143.55/litre.

“Pump prices would have risen to N161, if current distribution margins were retained. This implies an implicit subsidy of about N31/litre on products. This explains, to some extent, the NNPC’s under recovery of about N79.5bn by the end of June 2017,” they said.

The analysts said with most marketers unable to source adequate foreign exchange to import, commercial storage levels were at an all-time low with most depot owners recording all-time low levels of throughput flows at their storage depots.

According to them, the potential shock from supply shortages could easily force pump prices to rise above current national average of N144.44 in August.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Nigeria’s N3.3tn Power Sector Rescue Package Unveiled

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President Bola Tinubu has given the green light for a comprehensive N3.3 trillion rescue package.

This ambitious initiative seeks to tackle the country’s mounting power sector debts, which have long hindered the efficiency and reliability of electricity supply across the nation.

The unveiling of this rescue package represents a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s quest for a sustainable energy future. With power outages being a recurring nightmare for both businesses and households, the need for decisive action has never been more urgent.

At the heart of the rescue package are measures aimed at settling the staggering debts accumulated within the power sector. President Tinubu has approved a phased approach to debt repayment, encompassing cash injections and promissory notes.

This strategic allocation of funds aims to provide immediate relief to power-generating companies (Gencos) and gas suppliers, while also ensuring long-term financial stability within the sector.

Chief Adebayo Adelabu, the Minister of Power, revealed details of the rescue package at the 8th Africa Energy Marketplace held in Abuja.

Speaking at the event themed, “Towards Nigeria’s Sustainable Energy Future,” Adelabu emphasized the government’s commitment to eliminating bottlenecks and fostering policy coherence within the power sector.

One of the key highlights of the rescue package is the allocation of funds from the Gas Stabilisation Fund to settle outstanding debts owed to gas suppliers.

This critical step not only addresses the immediate liquidity concerns of gas companies but also paves the way for enhanced cooperation between gas suppliers and power generators.

Furthermore, the rescue package includes provisions for addressing the legacy debts owed to power-generating companies.

By utilizing future royalties and income streams from the gas sub-sector, the government aims to provide a sustainable solution that incentivizes investment in power generation capacity.

The announcement of the N3.3 trillion rescue package comes amidst ongoing efforts to revitalize Nigeria’s power sector.

Recent initiatives, including tariff adjustments and regulatory reforms, underscore the government’s determination to overcome longstanding challenges and enhance the sector’s effectiveness.

However, challenges persist, as highlighted by Barth Nnaji, a former Minister of Power, who emphasized the need for a robust transmission network to support increased power generation.

Nnaji’s advocacy for a super grid underscores the importance of infrastructure development in ensuring the reliability and stability of Nigeria’s power supply.

In light of these developments, stakeholders have welcomed the unveiling of the N3.3 trillion rescue package as a decisive step towards transforming Nigeria’s power sector.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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