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BOE Leaves Rates Unchanged But May Reduce Stimulus

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  • BOE Leaves Rates Unchanged But May Reduce Stimulus

The U.K. Monetary Policy Committee, led by the Bank of England Governor, Mark Carney, voted to maintain 0.25 percent interest rate as predicted by Investors King Ltd.

Seven members of the committee voted to hold rates at a record low while the remaining 2 members, Ian McCafferty and Michael Saunders, voted for a 25 basis point increase. Signaling possible rates hike in coming months.

Policy makers projected that gradual withdrawal of monetary stimulus may be necessary for coming months if the economy grows as expected. This is to return rising inflation to 2 percent target, according to the minutes of the meeting.

Also, while the decision to leave the European Union weighs on the economic outlook, weak pound continues to pressure prices, and expected to exceed 3 percent by next month, even with the unemployment rate at a 42-year low.

Just as forecast in the forex weekly outlook, the pound climbed 0.5 percent to $1.3278 after the report was published. Further validating Investors King projection on rates hike going forward.

Policy makers reaffirmed that monetary policy could be tightened more than market rates imply but at a gradual pace and limited extent. This indicates stronger possibility than the previous meetings and suggests it might be soon with inflation rate poised to exceed 3 percent.

Inflation rate climbed from 2.6 percent in July to 2.9 percent in August.

The odds of raising rates rose from 44 percent last week to 80 percent today. This will further strengthen our EURGBP and GBPAUD positions as explained here.

However, the current pound attractiveness is expected to be temporary, especially with the ongoing Brexit negotiation and global uncertainties.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

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Naira

Dollar to Naira Today December 9, 2021

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Naira - Investors King

Dollar to Naira exchange rate at the official foreign exchange section and the black market rate as of today December 9, 2021.

Dollar to Naira Official Rate

Naira opened the day at N413.71 to a United States Dollar on Thursday at the official forex market, the Investors and Exporters Forex Window managed by the FMDQ Group.

That was better than the N415.06 it closed against the U.S Dollar on Wednesday. Investors transacted N225.99 million during the trading hours of Wednesday.

While the Naira traded at N444 to a US Dollar at the forex spot market and N453.15 at the forex forward market.

Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate at Black Market

The Naira remained pressured at the parallel market, popularly known as the black market. The Nigerian Naira was sold at N567 and bought at N562 to a United States Dollar on Thursday, December 9th, 2021, according to various bureau de change sources.

Activity at the black market has been blamed for Nigeria’s unstable forex market and multiple exchange rates. The Central Bank of Nigeria does not authorise black market transactions.

Central Bank of Nigeria Exchange Rates

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) official exchange rates as of yesterday are shown below.

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Naira

Exchange Rate: Dollar to Naira Today, Friday 3 December 2021

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nigerian currency - Investors King

The Nigerian Naira remained under pressure across the board despite efforts by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) to prop up the value of the local currency against its global counterparts.

Backed by Nigeria’s foreign reserves, Naira plunged from N306 against the United States Dollar to N414 at the official forex window during the peak of COVID-19 when crude oil dropped to $15 a barrel and eroded Nigeria’s foreign exchange earnings.

Since then, Africa’s largest economy has instituted various forex policies to support the Naira, deepen economic productivity and generally grow activity across key sectors. However, the lack of a stable foreign exchange market has impeded capital importation needed to prop up Naira value as foreign investors continue to stay off the Nigerian market according to the World Bank.

Naira to Dollar Exchange Rate Official Fx Window (FMDQ)

On Thursday, December 2, 2021, the Nigerian Naira opened at N413.94 against the United States Dollar at the Official Forex Window managed by the FMDQ Group.

The local currency sheds 0.06 percent to a greenback by the close of business on Thursday, closing at N414.80 to a United States Dollar.

Analysing the forex spot market, Naira rose to as high as N404 against the American Dollar during the trading house of Thursday before plunging to N444. Trading activity dropped on Thursday as investors traded $139.69 million US dollars, in contrast to $223.8 million transacted on Wednesday.

Naira Black Market Exchange Rates

At the unregulated forex market, the Naira exchanged hoarders and speculators are exchanging the Naira at N558 to United States Dollar.

This was in spite of the CBN efforts at shutting down activity at that section of the forex market given its damages to the nation’s forex market and the fact that Nigerians were almost adopting the black market rate as the official rate.

Experts, including the Vice President, Yemi Osinbajo have blamed the Central Bank of Nigeria for existing of the black market. According to the Vice President, as long as the forex arbitrage exists due to the numerous forex rates, speculators, hoarders and other forex traders will continue to sustain the unregulated black market.

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

The CBN quoted rates are the rates the apex bank sells various currencies to Deposit Money Banks (DMBs) in Nigeria. The DMBs are however expected to add between N1 to N2 on each rate to cover costs when selling to customers.

Nigerian Naira (NGX) to Bitcoin (BTC)

Bitcoin, the world’s most dominant cryptocurrency, lost 0.13 percent against the Naira to N23.299 million or $56,833 in the last 24 hours.

Against Ethereum (ether), the second most capitalised cryptocurrency, the Naira gained 0.15 percent to N1.874 million.

GTBank Naira Exchange Rates

As of December 2, 2021, GTBank exchanged the Naira to the US Dollar at N480. While the Euro, the Canadian Dollar and the Great Britain Pound were traded at N549, N366 and N649, respectively since August 20, 2021. See other Naira exchange rates below.

Currency Rate Date
USD ₦ 480 02/12/2021
EUR ₦ 549 20/08/2021
CAD ₦ 366 20/08/2021
GBP ₦ 649 16/08/2021

Access Bank Naira Exchange Rates

Currency Rate Date
USD ₦ 450 17/11/2021
EUR ₦ 531 31/08/2021
GBP ₦ 621 27/08/2021
CAD ₦ 357 18/08/2021
ZAR ₦ 31 18/08/2021
INR ₦ 6 18/08/2021
TRY ₦ 52 18/08/2021
AUD ₦ 299 01/05/2021
RUB ₦ 7.10 01/05/2021
SGD ₦ 268 01/05/2021
AED ₦ 109 26/11/2020
XOF ₦ 800 15/08/2020

Sterling Bank Naira Exchange Rates

Currency Rate Date
USD ₦ 480 18/11/2021
GBP ₦ 619 18/11/2021
EUR ₦ 534 13/09/2021
CAD ₦ 344 20/08/2021

Union Bank Naira Exchange Rates

Currency Rate Date
USD ₦ 414 18/11/2021
EUR ₦ 484 13/10/2021
GBP ₦ 569.3 13/10/2021
CAD ₦ 316 01/05/2021

UBA Naira Exchange Rates

Currency Rate Date
USD ₦ 465 18/11/2021
EUR ₦ 566 31/08/2021
GBP ₦ 622 23/07/2021
CAD ₦ 316 01/05/2021
AED ₦ 119 08/08/2020
INR ₦ 6.06 03/08/2020

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Naira

Naira Sees Stability at Official Window

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Naira - Investors King

The Naira has this week witnessed a steady, unchanged value against the naira as it closed at N415.07 against the dollar on Wednesday (for the fourth straight day), according to the Investors and Exporters window where the Nigerian currency is traded officially.

As mentioned in a previous article, the Naira appears to have found a resting place for its value heading into the festive period. Even though the Naira is now stable, the value may still be too negative for the Nigerian economy, as food prices and prices for other goods keep going on the rise.

The FMDQ group through its website gives updates concerning the currency’s daily trading (opening and closing prices). It also gives updates on the Spot rate and Forward rate; the prices at which the currency trades for transactions throughout that day as well as future transactions which were agreed on that day.

The Spot rate maintained its usual highest value of N404 per dollar, but its lowest value fell as far as N457.02 per dollar. This is considerably lower than the N444 per dollar which it usually attains.

The Forward rate has however seen changes in value, dropping to a high of only N445.97 per dollar, maintaining its lowest price of N457 per dollar.

The FMDQ group also reports the total turnover of the currency in a day, i.e. the total amount of the currency that was traded throughout that day. On Wednesday, it was revealed that the total amount of the dollar that was traded sat at $223.8 million at the close of the day. This is higher than the $152 million which was recorded the previous day.

At the parallel market (which is not recognized by the Central Bank of Nigeria), the Naira was sold at a price of N558 per dollar as it looks to maintain the recovery which it made after hitting an all time low of N575 per dollar in September.

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