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Naira to Extend Gain Against Dollar

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500 and 1000 naira bills (Nigerian currency)
  • Naira to Extend Gain Against Dollar

The naira is expected to extend further its gain against the United States dollar owing to weak demand and increased supply of the greenback.

The local unit, which closed at 370/dollar on Monday, closed at 365/dollar on Thursday.

According to analysts and foreign exchange traders, the naira is expected to be range bound against the US currency next week as weak demand coupled with increased dollar supply from the central bank and other sources provide support for the local currency.

The naira was quoted at 365 on the black market on Thursday.

It traded at around 360 to the dollar for investors but was stuck at 305.85 on the official market, Reuters reported on Thursday.

“We expect some stability due to weak demand and increased supply of dollars, coupled with the Muslim holiday,” the President, Association of Bureau De Change Operators of Nigeria, Aminu Gwadabe, told Reuters.

The nation’s financial market will reopen next Tuesday after the two-day Muslim holiday.

According to Reuters, the Tanzanian shilling is expected to hold steady in the coming days, but could weaken slightly if there is a spike in demand for the US dollars from energy and construction sectors.

“There is pressure on the shilling from oil and infrastructure companies. If the demand for dollars increases, the shilling could marginally weaken next week although 2,250 is seen as the resistance level,” said a trader at CRDB Bank.

Kenya’s shilling is next week expected to take its cue from a court ruling on a petition challenging the re-election of President Uhuru Kenyatta, while the Ugandan shilling is likely to weaken on increased demand for hard currency.

The Kenyan shilling would get price direction from Friday’s Supreme Court ruling on a petition brought by opposition leader Raila Odinga challenging the re-election of Kenyatta, traders said.

The shilling firmed to a two-month high against the dollar after Kenyatta won with a margin of 1.4 million votes. The court will either uphold the outcome or overturn it. If it chooses to overturn the result, another vote must be held in 60 days.

The Ugandan shilling was expected to trade in a weakening tone with demand for hard currency seen picking up as the year’s fourth quarter nears.

“As we approach the last quarter, we anticipate demand to start picking up and that will probably see the unit (shilling) move lower (weaker),” said Faisal Bukenya, head of treasury at Exim Bank in the capital Kampala.

The kwacha is likely to remain range-bound in the coming week due to matching demand and supply of hard currency.

“It is likely to trade flat next week because demand and supply seem to have reached an equilibrium,” independent financial analyst Maambo Hamaundu said, referring to the kwacha.

Ghana’s cedi is considered stable on news of a successful review and extension of the country’s $918m aid programme with the International Monetary Fund.

The local unit which has been fairly stable this year, recorded a marginal loss in the past week on unmet corporate dollar demand, despite regular central bank support.

The International Monetary Fund on Wednesday granted an extension to Ghana’s three-year deal for an extra year beyond its original April 2018 end date and approved the next tranche of balance of payment support of $94.2m to the country.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Loans

Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Akinwumi Adesina

Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Banking Sector

UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings Lead Nigerian Banks in Electronic Banking Revenue

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UBA House Marina

United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Access Holdings Plc, and FBN Holdings Plc have emerged as frontrunners in electronic banking revenue among the country’s top financial institutions.

Data revealed that these banks led the pack in income from electronic banking services throughout the 2023 fiscal year.

UBA reported the highest electronic banking income of  N125.5 billion in 2023, up from N78.9 billion recorded in the previous year.

Similarly, Access Holdings grew electronic banking revenue from N59.6 billion in the previous year to N101.6 billion in the year under review.

FBN Holdings also experienced an increase in electronic banking revenue from N55 billion in 2022 to N66 billion.

The rise in electronic banking revenue underscores the pivotal role played by these banks in facilitating digital financial transactions across Nigeria.

As the nation embraces digitalization and transitions towards cashless transactions, these banks have capitalized on the growing demand for electronic banking services.

Tesleemah Lateef, a bank analyst at Cordros Securities Limited, attributed the increase in electronic banking income to the surge in online transactions driven by the cashless policy implemented in the first quarter of 2023.

The policy incentivized individuals and businesses to conduct more transactions through digital channels, resulting in a substantial uptick in electronic banking revenue.

Furthermore, the combined revenue from electronic banking among the top 10 Nigerian banks surged to N427 billion from N309 billion, reflecting the industry’s robust growth trajectory in digital financial services.

The impressive performance of UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings underscores their strategic focus on leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and drive financial inclusion.

By investing in digital payment infrastructure and promoting digital payments among their customers, these banks have cemented their position as industry leaders in the rapidly evolving landscape of electronic banking in Nigeria.

As the Central Bank of Nigeria continues to promote digital payments and reduce the country’s dependence on cash, banks are poised to further capitalize on the opportunities presented by the digital economy.

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Loans

Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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IMF - Investors King

Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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