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Stocks Rise, Currencies Drift Before Bankers Speak

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China stocks
  • Stocks Rise, Currencies Drift Before Bankers Speak

European stocks advanced as the euro and dollar traded sideways before Janet Yellen and Mario Draghi speak in Jackson Hole. Commodities showed more conviction, with most raw materials climbing.

Stocks across Europe fluctuated before gradually following Asian equities higher, with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index rising as mining-share gains outweighed retailer declines. The Bloomberg Commodity Index was in the green for a third day. Crude traded near $48 a barrel as Hurricane Harvey headed for Texas. While flat against the greenback, the euro fell against most other major peers as data showed German corporate confidence weakened.

In a week when traders have had little to go on and the Northern Hemisphere summer has suppressed volumes, equity markets have struggled for traction as investors await the forum in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. Though European Central Bank President Draghi isn’t expected to offer a fresh policy message, his speech and that of Federal Reserve Chair Yellen will be parsed for clues on the timing of reductions in stimulus.

Meanwhile, two Fed officials offered opposing views Thursday on the inflation debate. Kansas City’s Esther George said another rate hike is feasible this year if U.S. data holds up. Dallas’s Robert Kaplan called for patience in waiting for prices to go higher.

“Will financial-stability concerns prompt the Fed to hike, even when inflation is so low? This is what the market wants to know,” John Cairns, a strategist at Rand Merchant Bank in Johannesburg, wrote in a client note. “With little else to focus on, the market has morphed the symposium into a colossus. Risks are two way: Yellen could take the hike off the table, or reaffirm it.”

Beyond the gathering of central bankers, market risks may be building in Washington. President Donald Trump took to Twitter to fuel the debate on legislation to keep the U.S. government open next month. Trump blasted Republican leaders for ignoring his advice on raising the debt ceiling and creating a “mess.” Countering, House Speaker Paul Ryan said the borrowing limit will be raised. Rates on short-term Treasury bills spiked amid concern Congress and the White House may not act in time.

Here are the main moves in markets:

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 Index increased 0.3 percent as of 9:18 a.m. in London.
  • The MSCI World Index of developed countries climbed 0.1 percent.
  • Futures on the S&P 500 Index advanced less than 0.05 percent.

Currencies

  • The euro dipped 0.1 percent to $1.1786.
  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index advanced less than 0.05 percent.
  • The British pound climbed 0.1 percent to $1.2811.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries fell less than one basis point to 2.19 percent.
  • Britain’s 10-year yield climbed one basis point to 1.065 percent.
  • Germany’s 10-year yield increased two basis points to 0.39 percent, the first advance in more than a week.

Commodities

  • West Texas Intermediate crude gained 0.7 percent to $47.78 a barrel.
  • Gold advanced 0.1 percent to $1,287.25 an ounce.
  • Copper climbed 0.4 percent to $6,716.00 per metric ton, the highest in almost three years.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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Crude Oil

NNPC and Newcross Set to Boost Awoba Unit Field Production to 12,000 bpd

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NNPC - Investors King

NNPC and Newcross Exploration and Production Ltd are working together to increase production at the Awoba Unit Field to 12,000 barrels per day (bpd) within the next 30 days.

This initiative, aimed at optimizing hydrocarbon asset production, follows the recent restart of operations at the Awoba field, which commenced this month after a hiatus.

The field, located in the mangrove swamp south of Port Harcourt, Rivers State, ceased production in 2021 due to logistical challenges and crude oil theft.

The joint venture between NNPC and Newcross is poised to bolster national revenue and meet OPEC production quotas, contributing significantly to Nigeria’s energy sector.

Mele Kyari, NNPC’s Group Chief Executive Officer, attributes this achievement to a conducive operating environment fostered by the administration of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

The endeavor underscores a collective effort involving stakeholders from various sectors, including staff, operators, host communities, and security agencies, aimed at revitalizing Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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Gold

Gold Prices Slide Below $2,300 as Investors Digest Fed’s Rate Outlook

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gold bars - Investors King

Amidst a backdrop of global economic shifts and geopolitical recalibration, gold prices dipped below the $2,300 price level.

The decline comes as investors carefully analyse signals from the Federal Reserve regarding its future interest rate policies.

After reaching record highs earlier this month, gold suffered its most daily decline in nearly two years, shedding 2.7% on Monday.

The recent retreat reflects a multifaceted landscape where concerns over escalating tensions in the Middle East have eased, coupled with indications that the Federal Reserve may maintain higher interest rates for a prolonged period.

Richard Grace, a senior currency analyst and international economist at ITC Markets, noted that tactical short-selling likely contributed to the decline, especially given the rapid surge in gold prices witnessed recently.

Despite this setback, bullion remains up approximately 15% since mid-February, supported by ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, central bank purchases, and robust demand from Chinese consumers.

The shift in focus among investors now turns toward forthcoming US economic data, including key inflation metrics favored by the Federal Reserve.

These data points are anticipated to provide further insights into the central bank’s monetary policy trajectory.

Over recent weeks, policymakers have adopted a more hawkish tone in response to consistently strong inflation reports, leading market participants to adjust their expectations regarding the timing of future interest rate adjustments.

As markets recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy, the prospect of a higher-for-longer interest rate environment poses challenges for gold, which traditionally does not offer interest-bearing returns.

Spot gold prices dropped by 1.2% to $2,298.67 an ounce, with the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index remaining relatively stable. Silver, palladium, and platinum also experienced declines following gold’s retreat.

The ongoing interplay between economic indicators, geopolitical developments, and central bank policies continues to shape the trajectory of precious metal markets.

While gold faces near-term headwinds, its status as a safe-haven asset and store of value ensures that it remains a focal point for investors navigating uncertain global dynamics.

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