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Pound Slips as Uncertainties About Post-Brexit Trade Linger

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U.K. pound
  • Pound Slips as Uncertainties About Post-Brexit Trade Linger

The pound declined the most in a week against the dollar amid lingering uncertainties about how long it will take for the U.K. to forge post-Brexit trade agreements with the European Union.

Sterling, which depreciated against most Group-of-10 peers, also reached a 10-month low versus the euro. Prime Minister Theresa Mayā€™s government is releasing a third paper Tuesday on how it sees its future relationship with Europe. Britain and the EU still havenā€™t reached an agreement on when it would be time to start discussing a trade deal.

  • The pound has been buffeted not just by political uncertainty but also by underwhelming data
    • While aĀ reportĀ released Tuesday showed that Britain posted its first July budget surplus in 15 years last month, debt costs in the fiscal year to date rose by 23 percent, the biggest increase for the period since 2010. Recent data has showed consumers flagging and wage growth lagging inflation
    • ā€œBetter-than-expected public finance data is failing to support sterling,ā€ said NeilĀ Jones, the head of hedge fund sales at Mizuho Bank Ltd. ā€œMy sense is fresh news from the U.K. subprime sector may be sending off early alarm bells on consumer lending. The global subprime crises may be 10 years old but we remember it like yesterdayā€
  • Turmoil at Provident Financial is also weighing on pound, Jones says, with the stock slumping the most on record as Chief Executive Peter Crook stepped down and as the subprime lender forecast a full-year loss and scrapped its dividend
  • GBP/USD falls 0.4% to 1.2849, approaching 1.2832 reached on Aug. 18 which was the lowest in a month
    • Support at 1.2832, Aug. 18 low, resistance at 1.2917, Aug. 18 high
  • While the Brexit papers are a positive development, itā€™s failing to support the pound, likely ā€œdue to the fact that EUā€™s reaction so far has been muted,ā€ analysts at Commerzbank, including Esther Reichelt, write in note
    • ā€œThat means that the next round of negotiations that start next week acquires particular significanceā€
    • The ā€œBrexit risk premium therefore remains one of the major factors putting pressure on sterling,ā€ they write
  • The latest details the U.K. government will provideĀ focusĀ on civil judicial cooperation ahead of a much-anticipated document Wednesday on the role of the EU Court of Justice
  • EUR/GBP little changed at 0.9163, having earlier reached 0.9173 which was the highest level since Oct. 7
    • Tops 0.9153 Fibonacci hurdle which opens up GBP ā€˜flash crashā€™ spike level at 0.9415
  • Yield on 10-year gilts rose 1bp to 1.08%

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

Black Market Dollar (USD) to Naira (NGN) Exchange Rate Today 25th July 2024

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of July 25th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ā‚¦1,595.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ā‚¦1,580 and sold it at ā‚¦1,570 on Wednesday, July 24th, 2024.

This indicates a decline in the Naira exchange rate value when compared to today’s rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in the black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

  • Buying Rate: ā‚¦1,595
  • Selling Rate: ā‚¦1,585

As economic conditions continue to evolve, staying informed about currency exchange rates empowers individuals to make informed financial decisions. While the black market provides immediate insights, adherence to regulatory guidelines ensures stability and transparency in forex transactions.

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Forex

IMTOs Drive 38.86% Rise in Foreign Exchange Inflows to $1.07bn in First Quarter of 2024

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

Foreign exchange inflows into Nigeria surged by 38.86% to $1.07 billion in the first quarter of 2024, according to the Central Bank of Nigeriaā€™s (CBN) latest quarterly statistical bulletin.

This increase is attributed to the enhanced contributions from International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs).

In January, IMTOs facilitated inflows amounting to $383.04 million. This figure dipped slightly to $322.83 million in February but rebounded to $363.70 million by March, this upward trend represents a 10.74% growth from the previous quarter of 2023.

The surge in forex inflows comes at a critical time for Nigeria, as the country continues to grapple with economic challenges, including inflation and a fluctuating naira.

The increased foreign exchange reserves are expected to provide much-needed stability to the naira and bolster Nigeriaā€™s economic standing in the global arena.

CBN Governor Dr. Olayemi Cardoso has underscored the importance of remittances from the diaspora, which constitute approximately 6% of Nigeria’s GDP.

The recent approval of licenses for 14 new IMTOs is seen as a strategic move to enhance competition and lower transaction costs, thereby encouraging more remittances to flow through formal channels.

“We recognize the significant role that IMTOs play in our foreign exchange ecosystem,” Dr. Cardoso remarked during a recent press briefing.

“The inflows weā€™ve seen are a testament to the effectiveness of our strategy to engage with these operators and ensure that more remittances are channeled through official avenues.”

The CBN has also introduced measures to facilitate IMTOs’ access to naira liquidity at the official window, aiming to streamline the settlement of diaspora remittances.

This initiative is part of the broader effort to stabilize the forex market and address the persistent challenges of foreign currency availability.

The bulletin also revealed that the inflow from IMTOs has contributed significantly to Nigeriaā€™s overall forex reserves, which are crucial for economic stability and growth.

Analysts suggest that the increased remittances will support the naira, providing relief amidst the countryā€™s ongoing economic adjustments.

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Forex

CBN Resumes Forex Sales as Naira Hits N1,570/$ at Parallel Market

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US Dollar - Investorsking.com

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has resumed the sale of foreign exchange to eligible Bureau De Change (BDC) operators.

The decision was after Naira dipped to N1,570 per dollar in the parallel market,

CBN announced that it would sell dollars to BDCs at a rate of N1,450 per dollar. This decision aims to address distortions in the retail end of the forex market and support the demand for invisible transactions.

Following the CBN’s intervention, the dollar, which recently traded as low as 1,640 per dollar, has shown signs of stabilization.

The apex bank’s action is expected to inject liquidity and restore confidence among market participants.

BDC operators have welcomed the move. Mohammed Magaji, an operator in Abuja, noted that the dollar was selling at 1,630 per dollar.

He emphasized the market’s volatile nature but expressed optimism about the CBN’s intervention.

Aminu Gwadebe, President of the Association of Bureau de Change Operators of Nigeria, attributed the naira’s decline to acute shortages, speculative activities, and increased demand due to recent duty waivers.

He praised the CBN’s action as a necessary step to alleviate market pressures.

The CBN’s efforts include selling $20,000 to each eligible BDC, with a directive to limit profit margins to 1.5% above the purchase rate.

This strategy aims to ensure that end-users receive fair rates and to curb inflationary pressures.

The CBN’s ongoing reforms seek to achieve a market-determined exchange rate for the naira. As the naira continues to navigate turbulent waters, stakeholders remain hopeful that these measures will lead to a more stable and liquid forex market.

Market analysts suggest that sustained interventions and increased access to foreign exchange could help reverse the naira’s downward trend.

The CBN’s actions demonstrate a commitment to tackling the challenges facing the foreign exchange market and supporting Nigeria’s economic stability.

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