Connect with us

Economy

South Korea Dumps Nigeria’s Oil for U.S.

Published

on

oil rig - Investors King
  • South Korea Dumps Nigeria’s Oil for U.S.

Nigeria may have lost its South Korean oil market to the United States (U.S.) as the Asian country buys its first crude oil from America. Refiners in South Korea, the world’s fifth crude oil importer, have reportedly joined India to diversify their crude sources in what potentially could impact on Nigeria’s spot crude export market.

South Korea’s largest refiner, SK Innovation, is the latest to have made its first purchase of U.S. crude after two of India’s state-run refiners, last week, placed order for over one million barrels for the first time.

The cheaper and attractive price offerings for U.S. crude grade West Texas Intermediate (WTI) following the output cuts by members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and some non-OPEC producers since January has enabled the U.S. crude grade to find a non-traditional home in Asia.

Nigeria produces light sweet crude, a similar grade with the U.S. WTI that refiners in Asia are now rushing because of favourable price and shorter shipping distance. Nigeria has one of the world’s highest production cost per barrel of crude oil. This makes its crude’s price uncompetitive especially in low price regime as currently is.

At least three of South Korea’s four refiners import crude from Nigeria mostly through spot cargoes, Korean shipping data showed. But with Korea looking to add to its list of crude suppliers, Nigeria’s barrels heading to the Asian country may further shrink.

Head of Energy Desk, Ecobank, Mr. Dolapo Oni, said OPEC and non-OPEC producer agreement to cut output in order to shore up price has its own advantage and disadvantage,. According to him, when the price of crude goes up it makes production of shale oil and gas attractive. Therefore, to make shale production unprofitable oil price need to be low because the cost of production per barrel of crude from conventional hydrocarbon acreages is much lower than production from shale. It can be as much as 200-400 per cent higher, he added.

From 2014, the market has experienced a supply glut mostly occasioned by US supply from shale oil leading to an increase in global inventories. Between 2017 and 2021, tight crude oil supply from North America (U.S. & Canada) is expected to increase from 4.1million barrels/day to 4.8million barrels/day and is expected to be a major supplier at least till 2030. Lest we forget, the U.S. has amended its laws to allow for crude export. This singular move is of key significance in the supply dynamics.

Corroborating Oni, the Group Managing Director, Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation (NNPC) Dr. Maikanti Baru, said the production of oil from shale changed the supply dynamics. “From 2014, the market has experienced a supply glut mostly occasioned by US supply from shale oil leading to an increase in global inventories. Between 2017 and 2021, tight crude oil supply from North America (U.S. & Canada) is expected to increase from 4.1million barrels per day to 4.8million barrels per day and is expected to be a major supplier at least till 2030. Lest we forget, the U.S. has amended its laws to allow for crude export. This singular move is of key significance in the supply dynamics,” Baru said.

Production at shale fields is forecast to expand to 6.15 million barrels a day in September, according to the Energy Information Administration (EIA). This week’s U.S. stockpile report may show that crude inventories declined for a seventh week, according to a Bloomberg survey

However, oil traded at a three-week low yesterday after a forecast on U.S. shale growth added to mounting worries that the rebalancing process is stalling.

“As much as oil inventories have been coming down in the U.S., which is something that is seasonally normal, the fact that U.S. shale production is very resilient and is again confirmed by this EIA Drilling Productivity Report, that is something that is weighing on the market’s mind,” said Harry Tchilinguirian, head of commodity markets strategy at BNP Paribas SA in London.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

Published

on

Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

Continue Reading

Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

Published

on

IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

Continue Reading

Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

Published

on

South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending