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Equities Market: N3trn Gain Boosts Full Recovery Prospects

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  • Equities Market: N3trn Gain Boosts Full Recovery Prospects

Stakeholders in the Nigerian capital market are now more optimistic that about its recovery at the end of the year as the equities market has gained N3.094 trillion in seven months. Having recorded a decline for three consecutive years to 2016, expectations are high that the market would recover in 2017.

Although the market started the year with fall in January and February, it closed in green in March rising by 0.74 per cent. That positive trend has been sustained culminating in a gain of N3.094 trillion in capitalisation as at the end of July on Monday.

Specifically, the market capitalisation ended at N12.35 trillion, up from N9.265 trillion at the beginning of the year, translating to a growth of 33.3 per cent.

Similarly, the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index rose by same margin of 33.3 per cent from 26,874.62 to close at 35,844 on Monday.

The Chief Executive Officer of the NSE, Mr. Oscar Onyema, some operators and market analysts had expressed optimism that investors should expect a positive performance this year.

According to him, the capital market is a subsector of the Nigerian economy and since it had been projected that the economy would recover from its recession and record a growth this year, the stock market should also recover.

After recording a decline in January and February, the make entered a bullish mode in March rising by 0.74 per cent. It consolidated with an appreciation of 0.95 per cent in April. The market took a major leap in May, jumping by 15 per cent as the new foreign exchange window for importers and exporters introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) attracted more foreign investors. The return of the foreign investors triggered interest among domestic investors, a development that led to sustained bull run that led to a growth of 12 per cent each in June and July. Consequently, the market gained over N3 trillion in seven months.

In fact, the market had rallied almost three months high last Thursday when the capitalisation hit a new high of N12.84 trillion, while index settled at 37,245.17 before profit taking set in last Friday and Monday.

Within the last six months, the level of foreign portfolio investments (FPIs) rose by 59.8 per cent to N430 billion, up from N269.22 billion invested in the corresponding period of 2016, according to data released by the NSE.

Similarly, domestic investors increased their level of investments to N505.03 billion in 2017, up by 42.19 per cent compared to N355.19 billion in 2016.

In all, total transactions at the nation’s bourse in H1 of 2017, increased by 47.7 per cent to N935 billion, from N624 billion in 2016. However, domestic investors outperformed foreign investors by 7.82 per cent in the month of May. While total domestic transactions increased by 7.53 per cent from N110.42 billion recorded in May 2017to N118.74billion in June2017, FPIs also increased by 6.66 per cent from N95.19 billion to N101.53billion within the same period.

But a further analysis of the domestic participation showed that the institutional composition of the domestic market decreased by 17.09pe cent from N67.95 billion recorded in May to N56.34billion in June 2017.

However, the retail composition increased by 46.92 per cent from N42.47 billion to N62.40billion within the same period.

According to NSE, this indicates a higher participation by retail investors over their institutional counterparts for the first time this year.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Loans

Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Banking Sector

UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings Lead Nigerian Banks in Electronic Banking Revenue

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United Bank for Africa (UBA) Plc, Access Holdings Plc, and FBN Holdings Plc have emerged as frontrunners in electronic banking revenue among the country’s top financial institutions.

Data revealed that these banks led the pack in income from electronic banking services throughout the 2023 fiscal year.

UBA reported the highest electronic banking income of  N125.5 billion in 2023, up from N78.9 billion recorded in the previous year.

Similarly, Access Holdings grew electronic banking revenue from N59.6 billion in the previous year to N101.6 billion in the year under review.

FBN Holdings also experienced an increase in electronic banking revenue from N55 billion in 2022 to N66 billion.

The rise in electronic banking revenue underscores the pivotal role played by these banks in facilitating digital financial transactions across Nigeria.

As the nation embraces digitalization and transitions towards cashless transactions, these banks have capitalized on the growing demand for electronic banking services.

Tesleemah Lateef, a bank analyst at Cordros Securities Limited, attributed the increase in electronic banking income to the surge in online transactions driven by the cashless policy implemented in the first quarter of 2023.

The policy incentivized individuals and businesses to conduct more transactions through digital channels, resulting in a substantial uptick in electronic banking revenue.

Furthermore, the combined revenue from electronic banking among the top 10 Nigerian banks surged to N427 billion from N309 billion, reflecting the industry’s robust growth trajectory in digital financial services.

The impressive performance of UBA, Access Holdings, and FBN Holdings underscores their strategic focus on leveraging technology to enhance customer experience and drive financial inclusion.

By investing in digital payment infrastructure and promoting digital payments among their customers, these banks have cemented their position as industry leaders in the rapidly evolving landscape of electronic banking in Nigeria.

As the Central Bank of Nigeria continues to promote digital payments and reduce the country’s dependence on cash, banks are poised to further capitalize on the opportunities presented by the digital economy.

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Loans

Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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IMF - Investors King

Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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