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Dollar Drops, Asia Shares Jump While Europe Swings

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  • Dollar Drops, Asia Shares Jump While Europe Swings

The dollar sank and Treasuries climbed after the Federal Reserve signaled that inflation remains persistently below its target even as the economy picks up steam. Asian stocks jumped on optimism about corporate earnings, while European equities fluctuated.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index touched the lowest in more than a year, while the 10-year Treasury yield extended losses after the Fed held rates steady and indicated it would start unwinding its balance sheet “relatively soon.” The MSCI Asia Pacific Index reached the highest since December 2007 after earnings from Samsung Electronics Co. and Nintendo Co. beat analysts’ estimates, while the Stoxx Europe 600 Index swung between gains and losses amid results from a load of heavyweight companies.

The Fed said inflation remains below the central bank’s 2 percent target even as near-term risks to the economic outlook appear balanced, signaling it intends to kick off the long-awaited reduction in its $4.5 trillion balance sheet in September and fueling speculation the central bank won’t rush to raise rates.

With the central bank’s announcement out of the way, investors can return to a corporate earnings season that’s seen more than 80 percent of S&P 500 companies deliver higher than-expected profit. Thursday is one of the busiest for Europe, with companies worth more than $3 trillion reporting their accounts.

Deutsche Bank AG, Europe’s largest investment bank, disappointed after reporting a 10 percent decline in second-quarter revenue, while Nestle SA warned that sales growth this year will be the weakest in at least two decades. The outlook was better in Asia, as Samsung Electronics earnings beat analysts’ estimates on the success of its new Galaxy S8 smartphones and surging prices of semiconductors, while Nintendo surprised investors with a big jump in quarterly profit.

Here are the main moves in markets:

Currencies

  • The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent as of 8:12 a.m. in London, after falling 0.6 percent on Wednesday. The yen traded at 111.24 per dollar, down 0.1 percent after erasing an earlier gain. The South Korean won jumped 0.8 percent.
  • The euro fell 0.1 percent to $1.1723 after a 0.8 percent advance on Wednesday sent the currency to a 30-month high. The British pound rose 0.1 percent after climbing 0.7 percent in the previous session.
  • The Aussie extended gains above 80 U.S. cents, rising 0.4 percent to the highest since May 2015 after jumping 0.9 percent Wednesday. It slid below 79 cents during local trading on Wednesday following weaker-than-expected Australian inflation data and a speech by the nation’s central bank governor.

Stocks

  • The Stoxx Europe 600 was flat. Nestle slumped 1.8 percent and Deutsche Bank lost 2.9 percent. AstraZeneca Plc tumbled 15 percent after the drugmaker suffered a blowto its next-generation cancer therapy.
  • Japan’s Topix index rose 0.4 percent, while Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 Index added 0.2 percent. South Korea’s Kospi index climbed 0.4 percent. In Hong Kong, the Hang Seng Index added 0.8 percent, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased 0.1 percent.
  • The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose above 21,700 for the first time on Wednesday.
  • Futures on the Nasdaq 100 Index climbed 0.6 percent. Facebook Inc. rose 3.4 percent in after-hours U.S. trading after the company reported faster-than-expected sales growth.

Bonds

  • The yield on 10-year Treasuries was at 2.28 percent, down less than one basis point after declining five basis points in the wake of the Fed statement from the previous session.
  • French, German and U.K. 10-year yields lost four basis points.
  • Australian government notes with a similar maturity saw yields fall four basis points to 2.69 percent, erasing Thursday’s gain of four basis points.

Commodities

  • Gold rose 0.1 percent to $1,262.19 an ounce after climbing 0.8 percent in the prior session.
  • West Texas Intermediate crude rose 0.3 percent to $48.91 a barrel, heading for a fourth day of gains.
  • The Bloomberg Commodity Index advanced 0.4 percent, after climbing 0.7 percent on Wednesday.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Energy

Dangote Refinery Denies Legal Battle With NNPCL, Others, Reveals Plan to Withdraw Old Case From Court

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Dangote Refinery

Dangote Refinery has denied reports of filing a lawsuit against the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation Limited (NNPCL), Aym Shafa Limited, A. A. Rano Limited, T. Time Petroleum Limited, 2015 Petroleum Limited and Matrix Petroleum Services Limited, as widely reported.

Dangote made this known in a statement published via its official X handle on Monday.

A viral report alleging that Dangote filed a suit against the NNPCL and five other companies over the importation of petroleum products emerged online sparking a huge controversy.

Reacting to the viral report, the Group Chief Branding and Communications Officer of Dangote Group, Anthony Chiejina, via the statement denied any legal battle with the NNPC.

According to Dangote, the alleged report was an old one and would be fully and formally withdrawn when the matter comes up in court next year.

Dangote revealed that after the president’s directive, they have been in discussions with all parties involved.

Dismissing that no party has been served with court notice, Dangote emphasized that the discussions have made significant headway and there were no intentions of going to court.

The statement read, “This is an old issue that started in June and culminated in a matter being filed on September 6, 2024.

“Currently, the parties are in discussion since President Bola Tinubu’s directive on Crude Oil and Refined products sales in Naira Initiative, which was approved by the Federal Executive Council (FEC).

“We have made tremendous progress in that regard and events have overtaken this development. No party has been served with court processes and there is no intention of doing so. We have agreed to put a halt to the proceedings.

“It is important to stress that no orders have been made and there are no adverse effects on any party. We understand that once the matter comes up January 2025, we would be in a position to formally withdraw the matter in court.”

Investors King reported that following Dangote’s failure to meet petroleum demand by marketers in the country, the oil dealers returned to their former mode of buying the product outside the country and shipping them into Nigeria for sale.

According to the marketers, the move was an effort to save the country from fuel scarcity which Dangote’s inability to meet the supply demand may push the country into.

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Gold

Gold Soars to Record $2,740/oz as Investors Seek Safe Haven Amid Economic Uncertainty

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gold bars - Investors King

Gold surged to a new all-time high of $2,740/oz, reflecting heightened demand by genuine buyers who are actively building positions, signaling confidence in gold’s value preservation over time.

The metal’s appeal lies in its ability to provide stability in a relativity fluid macroeconomic environment. With the U.S. election on the horizon, investors are preparing for potential market shifts, which could sustain gold’s upward momentum.

Regardless of the election outcome, expanded fiscal spending appears unavoidable. A red sweep could prioritize defense spending and traditional energy investments while a blue sweep may bring more expansive social programs and green energy investments.

Both scenarios point toward fiscal expansion, which may pressure the U.S. dollar over time, thereby enhancing the appeal of gold.

As Asian currencies remain sensitive to dollar movements, we could see increased demand for gold from these markets as investors seek value protection amidst currency fluctuations.

Gold’s strong rally could extend further toward $2,800-$2,900/oz in the coming months, especially if geopolitical risks persist or market participants anticipate slower monetary tightening.

However, periods of consolidation might occur, especially if higher bond yields temporarily reduce gold’s allure.

Still, buying interest seems well-established, with many investors adopting an accumulate-on-dips approach. If volatility remains elevated and fiscal policies continue expanding, gold’s role as a long-term store of value may solidify further, potentially paving the way for new highs.

Written by Ahmad Assiri Research Strategist at Pepperstone

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Jump 2% as Israel Heightens Attack in Middle East

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices traded 2 percent higher on Monday as the fight in the Middle East ragged on amid heightened Israel retaliation against attacks by Iran earlier this month.

Brent crude rose by $1.23 or 1.68 per cent to close at $74.29 per barrel while the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude was $1.34 or 1.94 per cent higher at $70.56 a barrel.

On Monday Israel reportedly attacked hospitals and shelters for displaced people in the northern Gaza Strip as it continued its fight against Palestinian militants.

International media also reported that Israel carried out targeted strikes on sites belonging to Hezbollah’s funding arm in Lebanon.

Meanwhile, the US Secretary of State, Mr Antony Blinken said the Israel ally will push for a ceasefire as he embarks on a journey to the Middle East.

According to the US State Department, the American government will be seeking to kick-start negotiations to end the Gaza war and ensure it also defuses the possibility of escalation in Lebanon.

Mr Amos Hochstein, a US envoy, will hold talks with Lebanese officials in the Lebanon capital, Beirut on conditions for a ceasefire between Israel and Hezbollah.

Support also came from China, as the world’s largest oil importer cut its lending rate as part of efforts to stimulate the country’s economy and offer investors relief.

This development will soothe worries after data showed that China’s economy grew at the slowest pace since early 2023 in the third quarter, fuelling growing concerns about oil demand.

The head of the International Energy Agency (IEA), Mr Fatih Birol on Monday said China’s oil demand growth is expected to remain weak in 2025 despite recent stimulus measures from the government.

He said this is because the world’s second-largest economy has continued to accelerate its Electric Vehicles (EV) fleet and this is causing oil demand to grow at a slower pace.

Meanwhile, Saudi’s state oil company, Aramco remains fairly bullish in comparison as its Chief Executive Officer (CEO), Mr Amin Nasser said there is more demand for chemical projects on the sidelines of the Singapore International Energy Week conference.

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