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Nigeria Needs N20tr Investment to Drive Growth, Says Report

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  • Nigeria Needs N20tr Investment to Drive Growth

Nigeria requires at least an investment of 20 per cent of the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per annum, far above the investment level of 12.6 per cent of GDP this year, to drive growth. This translates to an investment of $55 billion, or N20 trillion, reflecting that the country would have to nearly double its current investment level.

These findings are contained in an economic paper recently released by PwC Nigeria, titled: Boosting Investments: Nigeria’s Path to Growth, which estimated the size of investment needed to drive growth. It was authored by PwC’s Partner & Chief Economist Dr. Andrew S Nevin, and its Senior Manager & Economist, Adedayo Akinbiyi.

To reach its conclusions, the paper conducted an extensive review of economic literature, and analysed a panel data of 13 emerging economies between 1991 and 2016. The analysis revealed that investment is the most fundamental driver of growth.

According to PwC, growth in Nigeria has been relatively strong at an average of 5.6 per cent per annum over the past decade. It however, said that this has been fuelled by the oil boom and population expansion, rather than investments.

Nigeria is projected to be third largest populated country in the world by 2050, with 399 million people. But PwC projected that Nigeria could emerge the 14th largest economy in the world by 2050, with GDP in Market Exchange Rate (MER) terms at $3.3 trillion.

“To deliver sustainable growth with per capita gains, Nigeria will need to aggressively boost domestic and foreign investments over the next decade,” the report, which was made available to The Nation, said.

The report observed that at moment, Nigeria’s investment rate ranks below peers. For instance, between 2007 and 2016, Nigeria’s investment share of GDP declined from 18.7 per cent to 12.6 per cent, reaching the lowest level in the past two decades.

“In comparison to peers, Nigeria’s investment rate lags the average of 23.3 per cent recorded for sub Saharan African countries, and 28.9 per cent for the BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, and South Africa),” PwC said.

PwC Nigeria, which delivers quality in assurance, advisory and tax services, added that academic literature suggested a strong nexus exists between the level of investment and economic growth, citing China and India as examples of economies that have successfully attained investment-led growth.

The firm noted that the foreign exchange regime remained key to stimulating investment and restoring growth. It stated, for instance, that if Nigeria’s N2.2 trillion capital budget for 2017 is channeled towards investments, it would only meet 11 per cent of the estimated funding to bring investment as a share of GDP to 20 per cent.

The report said: “In Nigeria’s Economic Recovery and Growth Plan (ERGP), which aims to attain important infrastructure targets within the next three years, the government acknowledges its limits and emphasises the need for private investment to drive infrastructure development.

Our report, which examined the ERGP, identified two critical factors for unlocking private investment namely, improving the business environment, and having a sustainable foreign exchange regime.

“We note that the country has made some progress towards improving the business environment through several reforms, including a 60-day action plan implemented over the past six months.

“However, more needs to be done, in particular, with respect to paying taxes, getting access to electricity and other infrastructure, which are critical to bolster investment.”

While also noting that foreign exchange liquidity has improved in recent times as the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) allowed for more flexibility in the foreign exchange market, PwC however, argued that the existence of multiple exchange rates with significant variances posed a risk to investment.

“In our view, a market-determined exchange rate, where all rates are harmonised, is fundamental to boosting domestic and foreign investments,” the report emphasised.

In 2016, the economy slowed markedly, falling into a recession for the first time since 1991. Real GDP contracted 1.5%y/y, a reflection of the two-and-a-half year decline in export earnings, and fall in government’s revenues, which impacted consumer spending and investments.

Perhaps, the most evident impact of the sharp decline in the oil price was in the currency market, with the NGN/USD depreciating 35.4 per cent in the official market and 47 .3 per cent in the parallel market during the year.

Aside the depreciation of the currency, the illiquidity in the foreign exchange market impacted the business and investment environment, with Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) declining to an 11-year low, and a collapse in investment as a share of GDP to 12.6 per cent – the lowest level in the past two decades.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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FG Warns Property Owners: Settle Ground Rent in 60 Days or Lose Certificates of Occupancy

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The Federal Ministry of Housing and Urban Development has announced plans to revoke the Certificates of Occupancy (C of O) of property owners who continue to refuse payment of ground rent and other statutory charges owed to the Ministry.

This development was disclosed by the Minister of Housing and Urban Development, Ahmed Dangiwa, during the 29th Conference of Directors of Lands held in Abuja on Wednesday.

Dangiwa stated that the Federal Government is giving C of O holders a 60-day ultimatum to clear their outstanding debts.

At the conference, themed “Equitable Land Stewardship: Challenges of Land Administration and Its Impact on Climate Change and Community Rights,” Dangiwa revealed that property owners’ refusal to pay their dues has resulted in a loss of trillions of naira in revenue for the government.

According to him, President Bola Tinubu’s administration will not tolerate non-compliance, as the revenue is critical to delivering on the president’s agenda.

He said, “The Federal Ministry of Housing and Urban Development is aware that several owners of titled properties have failed to pay ground rent and other statutory charges to the Ministry for several years.

“This non-compliance has resulted in the loss of trillions of naira in revenue to the Federal Government. Under the Renewed Hope Agenda of His Excellency, President Bola Ahmed Tinubu, this cannot be tolerated, as this revenue is much needed to deliver the Renewed Hope Agenda.”

“As such all Federal C of O title owners are hereby given a 60-day notice to settle all outstanding ground rent and statutory charges. Failure to make payment within this period will result in the revocation of their C of Os.”

“Failure to adhere to these requirements will attract the appropriate penalties and sanctions,” Dangiwa warned.

The announcement comes amidst the economic hardship ravaging the country as a result of the fuel subsidy removal of President Bola Tinubu government’s.

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Deji Adeleke Boasts of Generating 15% of Nigeria’s Electricity, to Unveil $2bn Worth of Power Plant Next Year

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A billionaire businessman and father of popular music star David Adeleke, also known as Davido, Dr. Adedeji Adeleke has disclosed that he has a firm that generates about 15 per cent of Nigeria’s electricity.

He disclosed this while speaking at the Seventh-Day Adventist Church’s General Conference Annual Council 2024.

Adeleke revealed that he is in the process of constructing a 1,250-megawatt power plant worth $2billion, saying that upon completion, is expected to be the largest in the country and that it would be operational in January, 2025.

He said as a businessman in electricity, he owns power plants and generate presently about 15 percent of the electricity needs of Nigeria.

The elder brother of the Osun State Governor, Ademola Adeleke, said he has Chinese engineering companies that work for him, adding that his tenth new power plant will be the biggest thermal power plant in the country.

Adeleke disclosed that while preparations for the project were underway, an unnamed government official threatened to prevent its completion.

Despite this challenge, Adeleke credited the near-completion of the project to the mercies of God, stating that it is a testament to divine intervention that the venture has progressed this far.

Adeleke noted that his Chinese friend had to travel down to Nigeria to discuss a way out because he never believed that prayer was enough to get the project done.

He affirmed that prayer did as the then Minister of Power granted the approval because he saw that the project was a brilliant one.

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British International Investment and Ecobank Sierra Leone Sign $25 Million Risk Sharing Agreement to Boost Private Sector Growth

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British International Investment (BII), the UK’s development finance institution and impact investor, today announced a $25 million risk sharing facility with Ecobank Sierra Leone to boost private sector growth in high-impact sectors of the economy.

The risk sharing facility, which includes a comprehensive technical assistance programme, will support Ecobank to increase lending to ambitious businesses in a frontier market where economic growth is hampered by lack of capital and investment.

The private sector is crucial to Sierra Leone’s economy and mainly comprises small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) who provide employment for about 70 per cent of the population. However, they struggle to gain access to capital due to various factors including limited availability of suitable financial products, high collateral requirements, high interest rates and the prevalence of short-term loans.

The new facility will support local currency lending, demonstrating BII’s ability to act as the first mover in frontier markets and drive impact through pioneering risk navigation strategies. The investment will help Ecobank Sierra Leone to grow its loan book by increasing credit limits and extend lending tenors to up to five years, which are not otherwise available in the market. This is expected to boost business growth, create more jobs and increase private sector contribution to Sierra Leone’s economy.

The transaction marks a significant milestone as the first investment under the Africa Resilience Investment Accelerator (ARIA), which is a collaborative initiative launched by BII and co-funded with FMO, the Dutch entrepreneurial development bank, to boost investment in frontier markets such as Sierra Leone.

The Sierra Leone economy faces challenges including a depreciating currency driven by high inflation, a large trade deficit due to over-reliance on imports, and insufficient investment in infrastructure and services. BII’s investment aims to spur economic growth and development by targeting critical sectors including renewable energy, agriculture, agro-processing, infrastructure and manufacturing.

The announcement builds on a $50 million trade finance facility between BII and Ecobank in 2021, which helped the bank to deepen its reach across Africa and support supply chains in frontier markets such as Burkina Faso, Chad and Togo.

UK Minister for Development, Anneliese Dodds said: “I am delighted to see BII announce this new risk sharing facility with Ecobank Sierra Leone. This agreement will support local currency lending, bringing much-needed capital into sectors with a high development impact, thereby contributing to job creation and economic growth. This is yet another example of BII innovating to address risks and enable development in frontier markets.”

Samir Abhyankar, MD and Head of Financial Services, BII, commented: “The signing of this agreement with Ecobank Sierra Leone underscores BII’s pioneering role to lead investments in countries that are often overlooked by investors. The facility will be a game-changer for Sierra Leone, providing much-needed capital for ambitious local businesses to accelerate their growth, spur job creation and deepen impact. It’s an example of BII innovating and working with partners to help address pressing challenges where it matters the most.”

​Sebastian Ashong-Katai, Managing Director, Ecobank Sierra Leone, said: “We are delighted to have secured the support of British International Investment in boosting Ecobank’s vital lending capacity for Sierra Leone businesses who are the engine room for our country’s growth, economic development and employment. This further strengthens our intent to be the bank of choice for Sierra Leone’s businesses and leverages our delivery of world class products, services, solutions, borderless digital pan-African platform and business skills training which are designed to support them in further growing their businesses.”

Alex Kucharski, BII’s Head of West Africa for ARIA, added: “ARIA aims to unlock investment in Sierra Leone, a market full of potential. We are delighted to have enabled the investment by British International Investment into Ecobank Sierra Leone, which will bring much needed growth capital to underserved businesses in the country, showing that more investment is possible.”

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