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Lagos Oilfield Dispute Worsens, Another Investor Heads for Court

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  • Lagos Oilfield Dispute Worsens, Another Investor Heads for Court

The dispute among joint venture partners in Aje oil field, offshore Lagos, appears to have escalated as another partner, EER (Colobus) Nigeria Limited, has gone to court.

One of the partners, Panoro Energy, announced in December that it was in disagreement with its JV partners over cash call and intended to initiate arbitration and legal proceedings to protect its interests.

The company holds 6.502 per cent participation interest in Oil Mining Lease 113, where the Aje field is located, through its subsidiary, Pan Petroleum Aje Limited.

The commercial court division of the High Court in London granted the PPAL an interim injunction, restricting the JV partners from taking any action under the default provisions of the Joint Operating Agreement that would prevent the PPAL’s continued participation in the JOA and OML 113.

Panoro Energy said in a new update that the EER (Colobus) Nigeria applied for and, on July 13, 2017, was granted an order by the Federal High Court of Nigeria, adding that the court set the time to hear the motion on notice as July 24, 2017.

It said, “It is Panoro’s understanding that the EER, like Pan Petroleum, is in default of certain of its cash calls under the JOA and, therefore, the court’s order restrains any of the non-defaulting joint venture partners from issuing a notice under the JOA requiring the EER and, perhaps Pan Petroleum, to withdraw from and transfer all its interests and rights in the OML 113 and the JOA to all the non-defaulting parties.”

According to the company, under the JOA, the potential consequence of a JV partner not making payment of its share of a cash call on or before the expiry of the 45-day grace period is that two or more of the other JV partners, who are not themselves in default and represent a majority of the interests not in default, have the option to require the defaulting party to withdraw from the OML 113 and the JOA by issuing a notice of withdrawal.

“However, any such action may currently be prevented by the Nigerian injunction referred to above,” Panoro said.

It said, “Should Pan Petroleum in future be issued with a withdrawal notice, it will vigorously dispute its forced withdrawal from the OML 113 and the JOA, and will explore all legal and diplomatic avenues to ensure the notice is withdrawn or the withdrawal is held to be unenforceable.

“Although Panoro has sufficient funds available, Pan Petroleum has at this time not paid its share of certain cash calls under the JOA. The 45-day grace period permitted under the JOA has now expired and Pan Petroleum continues to be in payment default. Pan Petroleum’s share of these unpaid cash calls currently stands at approximately $6.8m net of crude entitlements.”

Pan Petroleum said many of the cash calls that had been made were made in a manner inconsistent and prohibited by the JOA procedures, adding that an external audit of the JV’s procedures and accounting had been commissioned.

The company said its arbitration proceeding was ongoing, and the arbitral tribunal had recently pushed the timetable for the hearing out, now likely to be heard during the first quarter of 2018.

Yinka Folawiyo Petroleum Company Limited, a wholly owned indigenous firm, is the operator of the OML 113. Other partners are New Age Exploration Nigeria Limited and PR Oil & Gas Nigeria Limited (the holder of MX Oil’s investment in the field).

First oil was achieved on the Aje field in May last year, 20 years after it was discovered.

A London-based energy firm, MX Oil, which has an indirect investment in the OML 113, said on May 24 that production from the Aje-4 well field had stabilised after an initial period of decline associated with rising water cut.

It said the production from the Aje-5 well had been limited and required subsurface intervention, adding that the intervention was in the process of being completed and would include re-connection to the subsea tree.

“To date, the company has completed its share of the payments required to get to this stage of the project’s development,” MX Oil said.

The company said it was previously anticipated that a further well, Aje 6, would be drilled in the short term to increase oil production from the field, but the drilling of the well would be deferred until the partners had concluded on the most appropriate next steps.

It said, “As has previously been announced, the Aje field is believed to hold significant resources of gas. The partnership has been progressing the field development plan for the development of the gas and has also held discussions with various potential gas off-takers.

“The partners in the Aje Field are therefore currently considering whether it would be more appropriate for the next stage of the field development to focus on gas production rather than drilling additional oil wells.

The Chief Executive Officer, MX Oil, Stefan Oliver, said given the potential scale of the gas opportunity versus the risk and reward of drilling additional oil wells, it made sense for the partners to consider and reflect on what the next stage of the development should be.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Brent Approaches $83 as US Crude Inventories Decline

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As global oil markets remain volatile, Brent crude oil prices edged closer to the $83 per barrel price level following reports of a decline in US crude inventories.

The uptick in prices comes amidst ongoing concerns about supply constraints and rising demand, painting a complex picture for energy markets worldwide.

The latest data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) revealed a notable decrease of 3.1 million barrels in nationwide crude stockpiles for the previous week.

Also, there was a drawdown observed at the critical hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, a key indicator for market analysts tracking US oil inventories.

Investors and traders have been closely monitoring these inventory reports, seeking clues about the supply-demand dynamics in the global oil market.

The decline in US crude inventories has added to the optimism surrounding oil prices, pushing Brent towards the $83 threshold.

The positive sentiment in oil markets is also fueled by anticipation surrounding the upcoming report from the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Market participants are eager to glean insights from the IEA’s assessment, which is expected to shed light on supply-demand balances for the second half of the year.

However, the recent rally in oil prices comes against the backdrop of lingering concerns about inflationary pressures in the United States.

Persistent inflation has raised questions about the strength of demand for commodities like oil, leading to some caution among investors.

Furthermore, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) face their own challenges in navigating the current market dynamics.

The group is grappling with the decision of whether to extend production cuts at their upcoming meeting on June 1. Questions about member compliance with existing output quotas add another layer of complexity to the discussion.

Analysts warn that while the recent decline in US crude inventories is a positive development for oil prices, uncertainties remain.

Vishnu Varathan, Asia head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd. in Singapore, highlighted the potential for “fraught and tense OPEC+ dynamics” as member countries seek to balance their economic interests with market stability.

As oil markets await the IEA report and US inflation data, the path forward for oil prices remains uncertain. Investors will continue to monitor inventory levels, demand trends, and geopolitical developments to gauge the future trajectory of global oil markets.

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Oil Prices Dip on Sluggish Demand Signs and Fed’s Interest Rate Outlook

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Oil prices on Monday dipped as the U.S. Federal Reserve officials’ comments showed a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments.

The dip in prices reflects concerns over the outlook for global economic growth and its implications for energy consumption in the world’s largest economy.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, slipped by 7 cents or 0.1% to $82.72 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil stood at $78.21 per barrel, a 5 cents decline.

Auckland-based independent analyst Tina Teng highlighted that the oil market’s focus has shifted from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to the broader world economic outlook.

Concerns arose as China’s producer price index (PPI) contracted in April, signaling continued sluggishness in business demand.

Similarly, recent U.S. economic data suggested a slowdown, further dampening market sentiment.

The discussions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the adequacy of current interest rates to stimulate inflation back to the desired 2% level added to market jitters.

While earlier in the week, concerns over supply disruptions stemming from the Israel-Gaza conflict had provided some support to oil prices, the attention has now turned to macroeconomic indicators.

Analysts anticipate that the U.S. central bank will maintain its policy rate at the current level for an extended period, bolstering the dollar.

A stronger dollar typically makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thus contributing to downward pressure on oil prices.

Furthermore, signs of weak demand added to the bearish sentiment in the oil market. ANZ analysts noted that U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased in the week preceding the start of the U.S. driving season, indicating subdued demand for fuel.

Refiners globally are grappling with declining profits for diesel, driven by increased supplies and lackluster economic activity.

Despite the prevailing challenges, expectations persist that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies, collectively known as OPEC+, may extend supply cuts into the second half of the year.

Iraq, the second-largest OPEC producer, expressed commitment to voluntary oil production cuts and emphasized cooperation with member countries to stabilize global oil markets.

However, Iraq’s suggestion that it had fulfilled its voluntary reductions and reluctance to agree to additional cuts proposed by OPEC+ members stirred speculation and uncertainty in the market.

ING analysts pointed out that Iraq’s ability to implement further cuts might be limited, given its previous shortfall in adhering to voluntary reductions.

Meanwhile, in the United States, the oil rig count declined to its lowest level since November, signaling a potential slowdown in domestic oil production.

As oil markets continue to grapple with a complex web of factors influencing supply and demand dynamics, investors and industry stakeholders remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments and adjusting their strategies accordingly in an ever-evolving landscape.

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Brent Crude Hovers Above $84 as Demand Rises in U.S. and China

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Brent crude oil continued its upward trajectory above $84 a barrel as demand in the United States and China, the two largest consumers of crude globally increased.

This surge in demand coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has bolstered oil markets, maintaining Brent crude’s resilience above $84 a barrel.

The latest data revealed a surge in demand, particularly in the U.S. where falling crude inventories coincided with higher refinery runs.

This trend indicates growing consumption patterns and a positive outlook for oil demand in the world’s largest economy.

In China, oil imports for April exceeded last year’s figures, driven by signs of improving trade activity, as exports and imports returned to growth after a previous contraction.

ANZ Research analysts highlighted the ongoing strength in demand from China, suggesting that this could keep commodity markets well supported in the near term.

The positive momentum in demand from these key economies has provided a significant boost to oil prices in recent trading sessions.

However, amidst these bullish indicators, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have added further support to oil markets. Reports of a Ukrainian drone attack setting fire to an oil refinery in Russia’s Kaluga region have heightened concerns about supply disruptions and escalated tensions in the region.

Also, ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip has fueled apprehensions of broader unrest, particularly given Iran’s support for Palestinian group Hamas.

Citi analysts emphasized the geopolitical risks facing the oil market, pointing to Israel’s actions in Rafah and growing tensions along its northern border. They cautioned that such risks could persist throughout the second quarter of 2024.

Despite the current bullish sentiment, analysts anticipate a moderation in oil prices as global demand growth appears to be moderating with Brent crude expected to average $86 a barrel in the second quarter and $74 in the third quarter.

The combination of robust demand from key economies like the U.S. and China, coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continues to influence oil markets with Brent crude hovering above $84 a barrel.

As investors closely monitor developments in both demand dynamics and geopolitical events, the outlook for oil prices remains subject to ongoing market volatility and uncertainty.

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