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FG Records N397bn Deficit in May

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  • FG Records N397bn Deficit in May

The Federal Government recorded N397 billion deficit in May due to slowdown in economic activities, which occasioned 48 per cent shortfall in federally collected revenue for the month.

The Central Bank of Nigeria, CBN, disclosed this in its economic report for May released weekend. The report, among other things, revealed that federally collected revenue for the month was 48 per cent lower than the budgeted estimate for the month and 13.4 per cent lower than what was recorded in the previous month.

This, according to the apex bank, was due to slowdown in economic activities, which occasioned 21.5 per cent and 2.4 per cent decline in oil revenue and non-oil revenue respectively during the month.

The report stated: “The estimated Federal Government retained revenue for the month of May 2017, at N185.58 billion, was below the monthly budget estimate of N449.60 billion by 58.7 per cent. It was also lower than the preceding month’s receipt of N221.48 by 16.2 per cent.

“The estimated total expenditure of the Federal Government, at N583.32 billion, fell short of the 2017 provisional monthly budget estimate by 9.7 per cent.

“It, however, rose above the level in April 2017 by 3.0 per cent. Recurrent and capital expenditure accounted for 61.0 per cent and 34.3 per cent, respectively, while transfers accounted for the balance of 4.7 per cent of the total expenditure.”

“Overall, the fiscal operations of the Federal Government resulted in an estimated deficit of N397.74 billion, compared with the 2017 provisional monthly budget deficit of N196.40 billion.

“Federally-collected revenue (gross) in May 2017 was estimated at N458.42 billion. This was below the monthly budget estimate of N894.76 billion by 48.8 per cent. It was also lower than the receipt in April 2017 by 13.4 per cent. The fall relative to the monthly budget estimate was attributed, largely, to the short fall in both oil and non-oil revenue components.

“Gross oil receipts, at N238.09 billion or 51.9 per cent of total revenue, was lower than the monthly budget estimate of N449.62 billion by 47.0 per cent. It was also below the April collection of N303.43 billion by 21.5 per cent. The decline in oil revenue relative to the monthly budget estimate was attributed to the short fall in revenue from crude-oil and gas exports and PPT/Royalties.

“At N220.33 billion or 48.1 per cent of total revenue, non-oil revenue was below the monthly budget estimate of N445.14 billion by 50.5 per cent. It was also below the April collection of N225.71 by 2.4 per cent.

The poor performance relative to the budget was due to the effect of the slowdown in general economic activities which impacted negatively on most of the components of the non-oil revenue.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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