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Yuan Strengthens Amid Dollar Drop and as Xi Visits Hong Kong

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  • Yuan Strengthens Amid Dollar Drop and as Xi Visits Hong Kong

China’s yuan climbed, heading for its biggest quarterly gain in more than six years, amid speculated state intervention at the start of President Xi Jinping’s landmark visit to Hong Kong and as the dollar weakened.

The exchange rate strengthened 0.3 percent to 6.7793 per dollar as of 12:26 p.m. in Shanghai, bringing the advance in the past three months to 1.5 percent. That would be the best quarter since 2010. Traders said they saw heavy flows in dollar-yuan on Thursday morning, with large Chinese banks among those selling the U.S. currency. That followed similar signs of intervention in the last two days.

“Both a broad dollar decline and possible central bank intervention are behind the rally,” said Irene Cheung, Singapore-based currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. “It looks like the central bank wants to guide the yuan higher amid dollar weakness to show the currency could trade both ways.’

The past six months have seen a turnaround for the currency, which plunged the most since 1994 last year. Propping up the yuan has become a policy priority as Chinese authorities try to stem capital outflows and prevent financial shocks before an important leadership reshuffle in the ruling Communist Party in late 2017.

The People’s Bank of China raised the daily yuan fixing by 0.17 percent to 6.7940 Thursday, the highest level in two weeks. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent to 1,183.19, set for its lowest level since September and heading for a second consecutive quarterly drop.

China's President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan arrive in Hong Kong on June 29. Photographer: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

China’s President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan arrive in Hong Kong on June 29. Photographer: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

Xi arrived in Hong Kong Thursday to mark the 20th anniversary of Chinese rule over the former British colony. China’s yuan will be generally stable with a “slightly stronger” bias in the second half, supported by “sound economic fundamentals,” the China Securities Journal said in a front-page commentary.

After climbing 0.9 percent in the first quarter, the currency was little changed in April and for most of May amid dollar weakness, until a downgrade of China’s sovereign rating by Moody’s Investors Service in late May triggered suspected intervention.

Apart from dollar weakness, “some intervention cannot be ruled out, especially as we see the onshore yuan starting to trade persistently stronger than onshore,” said Fiona Lim, senior currency analyst at Malayan Banking Bhd. in Singapore. “The PBOC has also stated no further tightening in the second half. So, to keep the yuan stable, they seem to be using the fixing to support it as we move into the next half of the year.”

The onshore yuan has strengthened about 1 percent in the past three days, and touched the highest level since November on Thursday. In Hong Kong’s offshore market, the currency also climbed for a third day, rising 0.26 percent to 6.7861, set for a quarterly gain of 1.26 percent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Forex

Zimbabwe Mandates Partial Tax Payments in New Bullion-Backed Currency

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In a strategic move to reinforce its new bullion-backed currency, Zimbabwe will require businesses to pay a portion of their taxes in Zimbabwe Gold (ZiG), Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube announced on Wednesday.

The regulations, aimed at enhancing the stability and acceptance of the ZiG, are part of broader efforts to strengthen the nation’s fiscal and monetary framework.

“The Treasury is stepping up to complement the fiscal and monetary policy framework aimed at further anchoring the currency, exchange rate, and price stability,” Ncube stated in an emailed announcement.

Since 2020, Zimbabwe has allowed taxes to be settled in the currency businesses predominantly use. However, under the new system, specific ratios will dictate the portions of taxes that must be paid in ZiG and other foreign currencies, alongside those that can solely be settled in the new unit.

The ZiG, introduced on April 5, 2024, replaced the Zimbabwean dollar, which had depreciated by 80% against the US dollar in the official market earlier this year.

Backed by 2.5 tons of gold and $100 million in foreign currency reserves held by the central bank, the ZiG is part of Zimbabwe’s broader strategy to avoid the pitfalls that led to the collapse of its previous six currencies.

“The changes will add to a raft of measures aimed at ensuring the ZiG doesn’t suffer the fate of its predecessors,” Ncube stated.

The finance minister highlighted that the new tax policy is designed to foster greater stability in the ZiG’s value and ensure it becomes a cornerstone of Zimbabwe’s economy. The government hopes that by requiring businesses to transact in ZiG, it will boost demand for the currency, thereby strengthening its position in the market.

Additional measures to bolster the ZiG include urging miners to increase gold production and extending the currency crackdown to include more stringent regulations on companies. These efforts are geared toward ensuring a steady influx of gold to back the currency, thus reinforcing its value and credibility.

Economists have noted that the success of the ZiG will depend heavily on these regulatory measures and the government’s ability to maintain a stable economic environment. The ZiG’s introduction has already shown a “positive impact” on the economy, but sustained confidence in the currency will be crucial.

“Zimbabwe’s new tax policy is a bold step towards economic stability,” said John Mangudya, Governor of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe. “By ensuring that a portion of taxes are paid in ZiG, we are creating a consistent demand for the currency, which will help maintain its value and prevent the hyperinflation that plagued our previous currencies.”

The move has received a mixed reaction from the business community. While some see it as a necessary step towards stabilizing the economy, others are concerned about the immediate impact on cash flow and the complexities of adapting to the new system.

“We understand the government’s need to stabilize the currency,” said Takura Mugaga, CEO of the Zimbabwe National Chamber of Commerce. “However, we urge the authorities to consider the implementation challenges businesses might face and provide adequate support during the transition period.”

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Naira

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today 18th June 2024

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of June 18th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,480.

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New Naira notes

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of June 18th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,480.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ₦1,510 and sold it at ₦1,500 on Monday, June 17th, 2024.

This indicates an improvement in the Naira exchange rate value when compared to today’s rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in the black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

  • Buying Rate: ₦1,480
  • Selling Rate: ₦1,470

As economic conditions continue to evolve, staying informed about currency exchange rates empowers individuals to make informed financial decisions. While the black market provides immediate insights, adherence to regulatory guidelines ensures stability and transparency in forex transactions.

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Naira

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today 17th June 2024

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on

New Naira notes

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of June 17th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,510.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ₦1,490 and sold it at ₦1,480 on Thursday, June 13th, 2024.

This indicates a decline in the Naira exchange rate value when compared to today’s rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in the black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

  • Buying Rate: ₦1,510
  • Selling Rate: ₦1,500

As economic conditions continue to evolve, staying informed about currency exchange rates empowers individuals to make informed financial decisions. While the black market provides immediate insights, adherence to regulatory guidelines ensures stability and transparency in forex transactions.

Continue Reading
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