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Yuan Strengthens Amid Dollar Drop and as Xi Visits Hong Kong

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  • Yuan Strengthens Amid Dollar Drop and as Xi Visits Hong Kong

China’s yuan climbed, heading for its biggest quarterly gain in more than six years, amid speculated state intervention at the start of President Xi Jinping’s landmark visit to Hong Kong and as the dollar weakened.

The exchange rate strengthened 0.3 percent to 6.7793 per dollar as of 12:26 p.m. in Shanghai, bringing the advance in the past three months to 1.5 percent. That would be the best quarter since 2010. Traders said they saw heavy flows in dollar-yuan on Thursday morning, with large Chinese banks among those selling the U.S. currency. That followed similar signs of intervention in the last two days.

“Both a broad dollar decline and possible central bank intervention are behind the rally,” said Irene Cheung, Singapore-based currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. “It looks like the central bank wants to guide the yuan higher amid dollar weakness to show the currency could trade both ways.’

The past six months have seen a turnaround for the currency, which plunged the most since 1994 last year. Propping up the yuan has become a policy priority as Chinese authorities try to stem capital outflows and prevent financial shocks before an important leadership reshuffle in the ruling Communist Party in late 2017.

The People’s Bank of China raised the daily yuan fixing by 0.17 percent to 6.7940 Thursday, the highest level in two weeks. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent to 1,183.19, set for its lowest level since September and heading for a second consecutive quarterly drop.

China's President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan arrive in Hong Kong on June 29. Photographer: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

China’s President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan arrive in Hong Kong on June 29. Photographer: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

Xi arrived in Hong Kong Thursday to mark the 20th anniversary of Chinese rule over the former British colony. China’s yuan will be generally stable with a “slightly stronger” bias in the second half, supported by “sound economic fundamentals,” the China Securities Journal said in a front-page commentary.

After climbing 0.9 percent in the first quarter, the currency was little changed in April and for most of May amid dollar weakness, until a downgrade of China’s sovereign rating by Moody’s Investors Service in late May triggered suspected intervention.

Apart from dollar weakness, “some intervention cannot be ruled out, especially as we see the onshore yuan starting to trade persistently stronger than onshore,” said Fiona Lim, senior currency analyst at Malayan Banking Bhd. in Singapore. “The PBOC has also stated no further tightening in the second half. So, to keep the yuan stable, they seem to be using the fixing to support it as we move into the next half of the year.”

The onshore yuan has strengthened about 1 percent in the past three days, and touched the highest level since November on Thursday. In Hong Kong’s offshore market, the currency also climbed for a third day, rising 0.26 percent to 6.7861, set for a quarterly gain of 1.26 percent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

Black Market Dollar (USD) to Naira (NGN) Exchange Rate Today 25th July 2024

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of July 25th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,595.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ₦1,580 and sold it at ₦1,570 on Wednesday, July 24th, 2024.

This indicates a decline in the Naira exchange rate value when compared to today’s rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in the black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

  • Buying Rate: ₦1,595
  • Selling Rate: ₦1,585

As economic conditions continue to evolve, staying informed about currency exchange rates empowers individuals to make informed financial decisions. While the black market provides immediate insights, adherence to regulatory guidelines ensures stability and transparency in forex transactions.

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Forex

IMTOs Drive 38.86% Rise in Foreign Exchange Inflows to $1.07bn in First Quarter of 2024

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

Foreign exchange inflows into Nigeria surged by 38.86% to $1.07 billion in the first quarter of 2024, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) latest quarterly statistical bulletin.

This increase is attributed to the enhanced contributions from International Money Transfer Operators (IMTOs).

In January, IMTOs facilitated inflows amounting to $383.04 million. This figure dipped slightly to $322.83 million in February but rebounded to $363.70 million by March, this upward trend represents a 10.74% growth from the previous quarter of 2023.

The surge in forex inflows comes at a critical time for Nigeria, as the country continues to grapple with economic challenges, including inflation and a fluctuating naira.

The increased foreign exchange reserves are expected to provide much-needed stability to the naira and bolster Nigeria’s economic standing in the global arena.

CBN Governor Dr. Olayemi Cardoso has underscored the importance of remittances from the diaspora, which constitute approximately 6% of Nigeria’s GDP.

The recent approval of licenses for 14 new IMTOs is seen as a strategic move to enhance competition and lower transaction costs, thereby encouraging more remittances to flow through formal channels.

“We recognize the significant role that IMTOs play in our foreign exchange ecosystem,” Dr. Cardoso remarked during a recent press briefing.

“The inflows we’ve seen are a testament to the effectiveness of our strategy to engage with these operators and ensure that more remittances are channeled through official avenues.”

The CBN has also introduced measures to facilitate IMTOs’ access to naira liquidity at the official window, aiming to streamline the settlement of diaspora remittances.

This initiative is part of the broader effort to stabilize the forex market and address the persistent challenges of foreign currency availability.

The bulletin also revealed that the inflow from IMTOs has contributed significantly to Nigeria’s overall forex reserves, which are crucial for economic stability and growth.

Analysts suggest that the increased remittances will support the naira, providing relief amidst the country’s ongoing economic adjustments.

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Forex

CBN Resumes Forex Sales as Naira Hits N1,570/$ at Parallel Market

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US Dollar - Investorsking.com

The Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has resumed the sale of foreign exchange to eligible Bureau De Change (BDC) operators.

The decision was after Naira dipped to N1,570 per dollar in the parallel market,

CBN announced that it would sell dollars to BDCs at a rate of N1,450 per dollar. This decision aims to address distortions in the retail end of the forex market and support the demand for invisible transactions.

Following the CBN’s intervention, the dollar, which recently traded as low as 1,640 per dollar, has shown signs of stabilization.

The apex bank’s action is expected to inject liquidity and restore confidence among market participants.

BDC operators have welcomed the move. Mohammed Magaji, an operator in Abuja, noted that the dollar was selling at 1,630 per dollar.

He emphasized the market’s volatile nature but expressed optimism about the CBN’s intervention.

Aminu Gwadebe, President of the Association of Bureau de Change Operators of Nigeria, attributed the naira’s decline to acute shortages, speculative activities, and increased demand due to recent duty waivers.

He praised the CBN’s action as a necessary step to alleviate market pressures.

The CBN’s efforts include selling $20,000 to each eligible BDC, with a directive to limit profit margins to 1.5% above the purchase rate.

This strategy aims to ensure that end-users receive fair rates and to curb inflationary pressures.

The CBN’s ongoing reforms seek to achieve a market-determined exchange rate for the naira. As the naira continues to navigate turbulent waters, stakeholders remain hopeful that these measures will lead to a more stable and liquid forex market.

Market analysts suggest that sustained interventions and increased access to foreign exchange could help reverse the naira’s downward trend.

The CBN’s actions demonstrate a commitment to tackling the challenges facing the foreign exchange market and supporting Nigeria’s economic stability.

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