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Yuan Strengthens Amid Dollar Drop and as Xi Visits Hong Kong

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  • Yuan Strengthens Amid Dollar Drop and as Xi Visits Hong Kong

China’s yuan climbed, heading for its biggest quarterly gain in more than six years, amid speculated state intervention at the start of President Xi Jinping’s landmark visit to Hong Kong and as the dollar weakened.

The exchange rate strengthened 0.3 percent to 6.7793 per dollar as of 12:26 p.m. in Shanghai, bringing the advance in the past three months to 1.5 percent. That would be the best quarter since 2010. Traders said they saw heavy flows in dollar-yuan on Thursday morning, with large Chinese banks among those selling the U.S. currency. That followed similar signs of intervention in the last two days.

“Both a broad dollar decline and possible central bank intervention are behind the rally,” said Irene Cheung, Singapore-based currency strategist at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. “It looks like the central bank wants to guide the yuan higher amid dollar weakness to show the currency could trade both ways.’

The past six months have seen a turnaround for the currency, which plunged the most since 1994 last year. Propping up the yuan has become a policy priority as Chinese authorities try to stem capital outflows and prevent financial shocks before an important leadership reshuffle in the ruling Communist Party in late 2017.

The People’s Bank of China raised the daily yuan fixing by 0.17 percent to 6.7940 Thursday, the highest level in two weeks. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index fell 0.1 percent to 1,183.19, set for its lowest level since September and heading for a second consecutive quarterly drop.

China's President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan arrive in Hong Kong on June 29. Photographer: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

China’s President Xi Jinping and his wife Peng Liyuan arrive in Hong Kong on June 29. Photographer: Anthony Wallace/AFP via Getty Images

Xi arrived in Hong Kong Thursday to mark the 20th anniversary of Chinese rule over the former British colony. China’s yuan will be generally stable with a “slightly stronger” bias in the second half, supported by “sound economic fundamentals,” the China Securities Journal said in a front-page commentary.

After climbing 0.9 percent in the first quarter, the currency was little changed in April and for most of May amid dollar weakness, until a downgrade of China’s sovereign rating by Moody’s Investors Service in late May triggered suspected intervention.

Apart from dollar weakness, “some intervention cannot be ruled out, especially as we see the onshore yuan starting to trade persistently stronger than onshore,” said Fiona Lim, senior currency analyst at Malayan Banking Bhd. in Singapore. “The PBOC has also stated no further tightening in the second half. So, to keep the yuan stable, they seem to be using the fixing to support it as we move into the next half of the year.”

The onshore yuan has strengthened about 1 percent in the past three days, and touched the highest level since November on Thursday. In Hong Kong’s offshore market, the currency also climbed for a third day, rising 0.26 percent to 6.7861, set for a quarterly gain of 1.26 percent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Forex

BDC Operators in Abuja Face EFCC Crackdown: Chaos Erupts in Wuse Zone 4

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BDC Operators - Investors King

The bustling streets of Wuse Zone 4 in Abuja transformed into a scene of chaos and apprehension as the Economic and Financial Crimes Commission (EFCC) conducted a surprise crackdown on Bureau De Change (BDC) operators.

The operation, which unfolded on Monday, sent shockwaves through the financial district, leaving traders and residents bewildered.

Eyewitnesses recounted scenes of pandemonium as EFCC agents descended upon the area, swiftly apprehending an undisclosed number of BDC operators.

The raid, which occurred around noon, disrupted normal trading activities and prompted fear among the local populace.

Speaking on condition of anonymity, BDC operators confirmed the raid, expressing dismay at the sudden turn of events.

“EFCC just raided the market, arresting many operators. They arrested some persons seen on the street and even pursued some persons to their offices. We are still looking for N30,000 or N50,000 to bail those arrested on Friday yet they came again today,” one trader lamented.

The crackdown comes as part of the EFCC’s concerted efforts to combat illicit financial activities and restore stability to the foreign exchange market.

Last Friday, the anti-graft agency announced the arrest of 34 suspected currency speculators for alleged involvement in foreign exchange fraud, signaling a firm stance against financial malpractice.

However, the EFCC’s actions have stirred controversy, with some questioning the efficacy of such raids in addressing underlying issues affecting the Nigerian currency.

Despite these efforts, the naira opened the week on a negative trajectory against the United States dollar, signaling potential challenges ahead.

At the official market on Monday, the naira witnessed a significant depreciation, trading at N1,419 against the dollar, representing a loss of N58 or 4.3% from the previous trading session.

The decline underscores the persistent demand for the greenback amid economic uncertainties.

Currency traders at the Zone 4 market reported heightened volatility, with the dollar trading at N1,340 per dollar, marking a notable increase from the weekend rate.

Amidst the turmoil, traders like Abubakar Taura navigated the fluctuating market, capitalizing on the volatility to secure profits.

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Naira

Dollar to Naira Black Market Today, April 30th, 2024

As of April 30th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,340 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

As of April 30th, 2024, the exchange rate for the US dollar to the Nigerian Naira stands at 1 USD to 1,340 NGN in the black market, also referred to as the parallel market or Aboki fx.

For those engaging in currency transactions in the Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market), buyers purchase a dollar for N1,310 and sell it at N1,300 on Monday, April 29th, 2024 based on information from Bureau De Change (BDC).

Meaning, the Naira exchange rate declined when compared to today’s rate below.

This black market rate signifies the value at which individuals can trade their dollars for Naira outside the official or regulated exchange channels.

Investors and participants closely monitor these parallel market rates for a more immediate reflection of currency dynamics.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

Kindly be aware that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the existence of the parallel market, commonly referred to as the black market.

The CBN has advised individuals seeking to participate in Forex transactions to utilize official banking channels.

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate

  • Buying Rate: N1,340
  • Selling Rate: N1,330

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Forex

ABCON President Announces Blueprint for Unified Retail Forex Market

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Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

The President of the Association of Bureaux De Change Operators of Nigeria (ABCON), Aminu Gwadabe, has revealed plans to establish a unified retail end forex market structure.

This strategic initiative seeks to address volatility and streamline operations across the Bureaux De Change (BDC) sub-sector.

Gwadabe outlined the objectives of ABCON’s blueprint and the need to integrate operators from various segments of the market.

Central to the plan is the inauguration of state chapters to facilitate coordination, integration, and administration of a united market structure.

ABCON intends to extend its automation policies and platforms to all BDC operators nationwide, upgrading its Business Process Platform to enhance efficiency and transparency.

The proposed unified retail end forex market will feature a centralized, democratized, and liberalized online real-time trading platform.

This innovation aims to provide market participants with greater accessibility and transparency while fostering regulatory compliance and government oversight.

Speaking on the vision for the unified market, Gwadabe highlighted the importance of collaboration with regulatory agencies, security operatives, and government bodies to ensure a secure and thriving forex market environment.

Gwadabe reiterated the benefits of a realistic and vibrant retail forex market, aligning with the Central Bank of Nigeria’s (CBN) objectives of achieving true price discovery for the naira and balancing international obligations.

Also, the unified market structure aims to provide market intelligence reports, enhance the image of BDCs, and stimulate employment generation.

Furthermore, ABCON’s initiative aims to combat the proliferation of unlicensed forex platforms by creating a transparent and competitive market environment. By digitizing retail forex transactions and ensuring regulatory compliance, the association aims to capture revenues for the government and curb illicit financial activities.

ABCON, as a self-regulatory body representing all CBN-licensed BDCs, acknowledges the importance of maintaining integrity and adherence to regulatory standards within the sector.

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