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Market Sheds 0.3% on Profit Taking

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Market Sheds 0.3% on Profit Taking

The Nigerian stock market closed on a negative note last week as profit taking halted a four week rally. The market had in the previous week hit a record high following an unprecedented surge in investors’ appetite for risk assets. While the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) All-Share Index surged 7.46 per cent, the market capitalisation added N676 billion.

However, attempts by some investors to realise part of the capital gains recorded the previous week led to a decline in the benchmark index closing the week 0.28 per cent lower at 28,113.38, while market capitalisation ended at N9.719 trillion.

Similarly, all other indices finished lower except the NSE Premium, NSE Main Board, NSE Banking, NSE Insurance and the NSE Pension indices that appreciated by 3.05 per cent, 0.23 per cent, 0.38 per cent and 0.97 per cent while the NSE ASeM Index closed flat.

The negative close notwithstanding, analysts at Cordros Capital Limited, said: “Fundamentally, the market remains strong, particularly in light of improved stability and liquidity in the currency space, and the government’s recent progress in creating and harnessing growth and stability in the Nigerian economy.”

Daily Market performance

The first day of the week saw investor besiege the market to lock in profits recorded in the previous week. Consequently, the NSE ASI declined by 2.41 per cent to close at 27,513.69, while market capitalisation shed N234.6 billion to close lower at N9.5 trillion.

Activity level also fell with volume and value shares traded declining by 36.9 per cent and 13.9 per cent to 671.0 million units and N7.9 billion respectively.

There were only 10 price gainers and 41 price losers. Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc led the price gainers, trailed by Presco Plc with 4.2 per cent appreciation. Dangote Cement Plc chalked up 4.16 per cent, while Linkage Assurance Plc and UAC of Nigeria Plc rose 3.85 per cent ND 3.04 per cent respectively among others.

The price losers’ table was led by Oando Plc with a decline of 9.6 per cent followed by Eterna Plc, which went down by 9.5 per cent. Fidson Healthcare Plc, Diamond Bank Plc and Zenith Bank Plc shed 9.3 per cent, 9.0 per cent, and 5.6 per cent in that order.

Analysts at Meristem Securities Limited, said: “We attribute the day’s loss to the much expected profit-taking activities on counters that had gained in the market’s recent rally. The day’s loss was tempered by the 4.16 per cent price appreciation of Dangote Cement Plc, as the market would have fared worse, ex-Dangote Cement (-4.88 per cent),” they said.

In terms of sectoral performance, all the sectors ended the day in red led by the NSE Oil & Gas Index that fell by 3.8 per cent following losses in Oando (-9.6 per cent) and Seplat (-5.0 per cent). The NSE Consumer Goods Index shed 3.7 per cent, while the NSE Banking Index, NSE Industrial Goods Index and Insurance Index went down by 3.3 per cent, 1.1 per cent and 1.0 per cent respectively.

However, the market rebounded on Tuesday with the benchmark index appreciated 0.4 per cent to settle at 26,609.67. Similarly, investors gained N33.2 billion as market capitalisation increased to N9.5 trillion. Performance across sectors was mixed as three of the five indices advanced. The NSE Consumer Goods Index appreciated the most, rising by 1.3 per cent on account of price appreciation in Nigerian Breweries (+2.4 per cent), Nestle (+0.3 per cent) and Flour Mills of Nigeria (+3.2 per cent). The NSE Banking Index followed, advancing 0.9 per cent on the back of gains in GTBank (+1.7 per cent), Access Bank (+2.4 per cent) and Zenith Bank (+0.6 per cent). In the same in vein, the NSE Industrial Goods Index trended 0.2 per cent northwards due to gains in CAP Plc (+4.4 per cent). On the negative side, the NSE Oil and Gas Index fell 3.4 per cent on the back of continuous profit taking in Seplat (-9.0 per cent) and Total (-1.5 per cent) while AIICO Insurance (-1.9 per cent) dragged the Insurance index (-0.1 per cent) southwards.

The bulls retained their hold on the market lifting the as the index rose 1.05 per cent to close higher at 27,900.44, while market capitalisation added N100.5 billion to close at N9.645 trillion. A total of 25 stocks appreciated compared with 13 that declined in value.

Bellwethers such as Nestle Nigeria, GTBank Plc, Nigerian Breweries were among the price gainers. However, Oando Plc led the table, chalking up 9.9 per cent. May & Baker Nigeria Plc closed as the second highest price gainer with 9.8 per cent, while Linkage Assurance Plc and Redstar Express Plc added 7.4 per cent and 4.9 per cent respectively.

Conversely, C & Leasing Plc led the price losers, shedding 8.2 per cent close at N0.67, trailed by Law Union and Rock Insurance Plc and Livestock Feeds Plc with 4.7 per cent apiece. Union Bank of Nigeria Plc and African Prudential Registrars Plc declined by 2.9 per cent and 2.1 per cent in that order.

The bulls dominated the equity market on Thursday with the index appreciating by 0.72 per cent to close at 28,101.63. The appreciation recorded in the share prices of FBN Holdings, GTBank, Nestle, Zenith Bank and UBA were mainly responsible for the gain recorded in the Index.

Similarly, the market capitalisation appreciated by 0.73 per cent to close at N9.71 trillion, compared with the appreciation of 1.05 per cent recorded on Wednesday.

Investors traded 353.14 million shares worth N9.16 billion, up by 162.48 per cent from N3.49bn recorded the previous day. The most actively traded sectors were: Financial Services (249.18 million), Consumer Goods(34.80 million) and Conglomerates (30.86 million), while the three most actively traded stocks were: Zenith Bank (63.20 million), FBNH (35.74 million) and Transcorp (30.52 million)

Market turnover

By the end of the week, investors traded 2.271 billion shares worth N32.647 billion in 20,710 deals compared to a total of 3.255 billion shares valued at N28.738 billion that exchanged hands the previous week in 25,370 deals.

As usual, the Financial Services Industry remained the most active he activity chart with 1.843 billion shares valued at N17.715 billion traded in 12,119 deals; thus contributing 81.19 per cent and 54.26 per cent to the total equity turnover volume and value respectively. The Oil and Gas Industry followed with 119.755 million shares worth N5.198 billion in 2,599 deals. The third place was occupied by Conglomerates Industry with a turnover of 119.281 million shares worth N273.785 million in 1,109 deals.

Trading in the top three equities namely – Access Bank Plc, Zenith Bank Plc and FBN Holdings Plc accounted for 998.849 million shares worth N10.412 billion in 4,831 deals.

Also traded during the week were a total of 1,470 units of Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) valued at N10,128.30 executed in two deals compared with a total of 948 units valued at N16,591.16 transacted the previous week in 14 deals.

A total of 6,308 units of Federal Government Bonds valued at N5.481million were traded last week in three deals, compared with a total of 5,201 units valued at N5.400 million transacted last week in three deals.

Price Gainers and Losers

Meanwhile, 30 equities appreciated in price last week, lower than 57 equities of the previous week, while 31 equities depreciated in price, higher than 13 equities of the previous week.

May & Baker Nigeria Plc led the price gainers with 14.8 per cent to close at N1.47 per share. Linkage Assurance Plc trailed with a gain of 11.5 per cent. United Bank for Africa Plc, Oando Plc and Neimeth International Pharmaceuticals Plc garnered 9.6 per cent, 7.7 per cent and 7.5 per cent.

Other top price gainers were: N.E.M Insurance Plc(6.1 per cent); FCMB Group Plc(5.4 per cent); Transcorp Plc(5.2 per cent); GTBank and Red Star Express (5.0 per cent apiece).

Conversely, Newrest ASL Nigeria Plc led the price losers with 13.2 per cent, trailed by C & I Leasing Plc with 11.8 per cent. Diamond Bank Plc shed 11 per cent, while Eterna Plc and Cement Company of Northern Nigeria Plc depreciated by 8.7 per cent and 8.1 per cent in that order.

Other top price losers were: Seplat (8.1 per cent); Jaiz Bank Plc (8.0 per cent); Livestock Feeds Plc (7.8 per cent); UPDC (7.6 per cent); Fidson Healthcare (6.7 per cent.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Energy

Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Overtakes European Giants in Capacity, Bloomberg Reports

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Aliko Dangote - Investors King

The Dangote Refinery has surpassed some of Europe’s largest refineries in terms of capacity, according to a recent report by Bloomberg.

The $20 billion Dangote refinery, located in Lagos, boasts a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels of petroleum products per day, positioning it as a formidable player in the global refining industry.

Bloomberg’s data highlighted that the Dangote refinery’s capacity exceeds that of Shell’s Pernis refinery in the Netherlands by over 246,000 barrels per day. Making Dangote’s facility a significant contender in the refining industry.

The report also underscored the scale of Dangote’s refinery compared to other prominent European refineries.

For instance, the TotalEnergies Antwerp refining facility in Belgium can refine 338,000 barrels per day, while the GOI Energy ISAB refinery in Italy was built with a refining capacity of 360,000 barrels per day.

Describing the Dangote refinery as a ‘game changer,’ Bloomberg emphasized its strategic advantage of leveraging cheaper U.S. oil imports for a substantial portion of its feedstock.

Analysts anticipate that the refinery’s operations will have a transformative impact on Nigeria’s fuel market and the broader region.

The refinery has already commenced shipping products in recent weeks while preparing to ramp up petrol output.

Analysts predict that Dangote’s refinery will influence Atlantic Basin gasoline markets and significantly alter the dynamics of the petroleum trade in West Africa.

Reuters recently reported that the Dangote refinery has the potential to disrupt the decades-long petrol trade from Europe to Africa, worth an estimated $17 billion annually.

With a configured capacity to produce up to 53 million liters of petrol per day, the refinery is poised to meet a significant portion of Nigeria’s fuel demand and reduce the country’s dependence on imported petroleum products.

Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man and the visionary behind the refinery, has demonstrated his commitment to revolutionizing Nigeria’s energy landscape. As the Dangote refinery continues to scale up its operations, it is poised to not only bolster Nigeria’s energy security but also emerge as a key player in the global refining industry.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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