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Electricity Generation Falls by 1,450.8MW in Two Days

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Electricity - Investors King
  • Electricity Generation Falls by 1,450.8MW in Two Days

Despite the near zero rupturing of gas pipelines by vandals in the past three months, particularly in the Niger Delta, the supply of gas for power generation has remained a challenge.

This challenge was badly felt in the sector last week, as the total quantum of electricity generated by generation companies across the country crashed by 1,450.8MW within two days.

After hitting a peak of 4,553.9megawatts on Tuesday, power generation plunged to 3,103.1MW on Thursday, according to industry figures obtained by our correspondent in Abuja on Friday.

The 3,103.1MW was a far cry from what the country requires to meet its current electricity demand, as the National Control Centre put Nigeria’s peak electricity demand at 19,100MW.

The NCC, however, stated that the country’s total installed generation and available capacities were 11,165.4MW and 7,139MW, respectively.

The peak generation ever attained by Nigeria was put at 5,074.7MW, which was recorded about a year ago.

Explaining the magnitude of the gas supply challenge and how it affected power generation last week, the NCC stated that on April 29, 30, May 1 and 2, the gas constraints recorded in the sector led to the inability to generate 2,636MW; 2,181MW; 2,250MW and 2,2907MW, respectively.

“Despite improvement in gas supply due to pipeline availability, gas constraints continue to be reported as increasing,” it said.

The Minister of State for Petroleum Resources, Ibe Kachikwu, last week Tuesday announced that Nigeria witnessed no pipeline vandalism arising from militant activities in the Niger Delta in the past three months.

He stated that the near zero rupturing of pipelines in the oil rich region was mainly due to the consultations and ongoing discussions between the Federal Government and stakeholders in the Niger Delta.

Early this year, the Minister of Power, Works and Housing, Babatunde Fashola, had urged vandals to stop rupturing gas pipelines in order to ensure increased power generation as well as its supply across the country.

On why gas remained a challenge to power generation despite the improvement in pipelines availability, the Executive Secretary, Association of Power Generation Companies, an umbrella body for electricity generating firms in Nigeria, Dr. Joy Ogaji, said the inability of the Gencos to adequately pay for gas was the limiting factor.

She said, “The poor remittance of market funds by the power distribution companies has prevented the rest of the electricity value chain from meeting up with their operations and service their liabilities which include gas payments. Gencos, the supply sector of the industry, can no longer perform the required and scheduled maintenance as well as pay for gas supply.”

Ogaji stated that the Gencos as power producers bought gas to fire up their electricity generating turbines and wondered why the Discos had continually failed to make the remittances needed to run the sector effectively.

She said, “Currently, the domestic gas price approved by the Federal Government is $2.50 per mmscf and you now pay $0.80 for transportation. These things are captured inside the generation company’s tariff as the final price that we charge.

“The final price also includes the operations and maintenance cost. We produce power and send it to the grid, expecting payments from the Nigeria Bulk Electricity Trading Plc based on how the market is structured. But we only get about 30 per cent of what is due to us.”

Ogaji went on, “Can any business person survive like that? We’ve been surviving on credit and loans from our lenders and they have sent us threatening letters. The gas companies are not happy too and recently about 23 power units could not produce because we don’t have gas.

“But how can we pay for gas with so much debt on us? We have the capacity to give Nigeria up to 12,500MW of electricity, but without this money, how do we survive? Our installed power generation capacity is 8,000MW, but funds paucity is dragging us down.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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