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Non-oil Export Sector Loses N581bn in Two Years

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NEPC
  • Non-oil Export Sector Loses N581bn in Two Years

The non-oil export sector may have lost over $1.9bn between 2014 and 2016. This is approximately N580.72bn, using the exchange rate of N305/dollar.

According to data from the National Bureau of Statistics, the export from the sector in 2013 August was $3.4bn. But at the end of 2015, it had dropped to $1.6bn and operators in the sector blamed government’s foreign exchange policies and lack of incentives for the drop.

Aside from the Executive Secretary of the Organised Private Exporters Association, Mr. Jaiyeola Olarewaju, who said that non-oil export declined because of the disruption in the implementation of Export Expansion Grant, incentives to exporters, non-oil exporters also blamed the Central Bank of Nigeria’s 2015 export proceeds repatriation policy for the decline.

The CBN in February 2015 ordered exporters to pay their dollar earnings into the domiciliary accounts of their various banks.

Non-exporters started protesting against the implementation of the policy when they were made to exchange their dollars for naira at the official exchange rate of N197/dollar instead of the parallel market rate of N237.

The National President, Federation of Agricultural Commodity Association of Nigeria, Mr. Victor Iyama, lamented the hardship that the policy caused exporters, noting that it drove some of them underground.

The downward twist in non-oil export earnings continued throughout 2015 as indicated by data from the CBN and in 2016, earnings fell to $1.096bn.

The Director-General, Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Mr. Muda Yusuf, called for a review of the policy, saying that it was a disincentive to the sector.

He maintained that in an economy with a weakened currency as in the case of Nigeria, exporters were supposed to benefit but restricting access to their proceeds would only drive them away from the sector.

Some of the exporters who spoke to our correspondent said that the policy was further compounding issues in the Nigerian environment, which was not conducive for business.

“Exporters face numerous challenges, especially with power, which leads to increase in cost of production. Forex policy has equally added to the problem because we are not allowed unrestricted access to our earnings.

“Currently, we are being forced to sell our proceeds at the official exchange rate of N315/dollar while in the open market, the dollar exchanges for up to N400,” a cashew processor, Mr. Banand Balodi, told our correspondent.

Another exporter, Mr. Wale Ogundeji, said he avoided the domiciliary account arrangement and instead, sold his produce at the open market outside Nigeria, using his agents.

“My agents sell and send the money to me. I can go to the parallel market and exchange it at the prevailing market rate,” he told our correspondent.

Yusuf said that that the policy was encouraging corruption among banks that would collect the dollars from exporters for N305 per dollar and then turn around to sell it for N350 to vendors.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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