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Hurdles for Local Carriers as Foreign Airlines Dominate Lagos

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  • Hurdles for Local Carriers as Foreign Airlines Dominate Lagos

Local carriers operating on the international route are faced with fresh hurdles as fellow African airlines now have dominance in the Lagos market.

The entry of the likes of RwandAir, Asky and Ethiopian airlines into the Lagos market, the heart of air travel in Nigeria, opens Arik Air, Air Peace and Med-View to competition right at their hub.

While fear has since gripped the local airlines over lack of competitive advantage, Nigerian passengers may witness great times enjoying more attractive offers, better onboard services and competitive fares from the foreign airlines.

Some experts have, however, faulted the development, describing it as indicative of government’s failure to protect its own flag carriers, airlines and the market.

The Guardian learnt at the weekend that the patronage of some local flights to Accra and South African routes has slightly dipped with the attendant drop in revenue in the last one week. The hint was given at a time International Air Transport Association (IATA) recorded a 7.1 per cent traffic growth among African carriers, compared to the traffic a year ago.

It was learnt that the national carrier of Rwanda, RwandAir, last month gained the approval of the Ministry of Aviation in Nigeria to ply Lagos-Accra route on a direct flight. The approval widens competition with Arik Air, Med-View, Air Peace and Ghana-based Africa World Airlines (AWA) on the route.

The fastest growing carrier in East Africa said the new addition was part of its consolidation on the African market.

RwandAir Country Manager, Nigeria, Ibiyemi Odusi, said the direct flight between the two West African cities was a result of the “fifth freedom right” the carrier secured from the Nigerian government.

The “fifth freedom of the air” is the right or privilege, in respect of scheduled international air services, granted by one state to another state to put down and to take on, in the territory of the first state, traffic coming from or going to a third state. The rights were packaged in the United States several decades ago.

RwandAir has been running the Lagos-Accra flights since March 23, 2017, creating more travel options for passengers on the route with the state-of-the-art Airbus 330 and Boeing 737.

Similarly, Asky Airlines has commenced its non-stop flight on the Lagos-Lome-Johannesburg route, giving already troubled Arik Air and South African Airways a challenge.

The Lome-based airlines in Togo have Ethiopian Airlines as its parent company and partner. Ethiopian Airlines, with at least 16, 787 dream liners, uses the Lome airport as transit hub for its Lagos-U.S. flights.

A keen observer of the industry, Group Captain John Ojikutu (rtd), was alarmed by the development, saying that the government should investigate officials that signed such agreements.

Ojikutu said: “RwandaAir flies direct Lagos to Accra! Who signed this patrimony of ours out again in the name of commercial agreements? How can the domestic airlines develop their capacities when the markets on the national exclusive routes are being mortgaged to foreign airlines?”

The Nigerian Civil Aviation Authority (NCAA) explained that it was a legitimate commercial agreement that would give government more revenue.

The spokesman of the apex regulatory body, Sam Adurogboye, said there was nothing untoward about the approval, claiming it was within the ambit of aviation regulations.

Adurogboye said the commercial agreement was signed with some conditions, which include certain royalty that the airlines must pay.

On its effect on the local airlines, he said that they were not running the routes as they should and needed to put their houses in order instead of complaining.

The ability of local airlines to withstand competitions with African leading carriers on the local route, however, worries more industry watchers.

The Chairman of Airlines Operators of Nigeria (AON), Capt. Nogie Meggison, said such agreements were possible where officials did not put Nigeria first.

He said: “Nobody does fifth freedom anymore. It is like giving your own away to develop others. Those countries are developing their economies at our own expense, just because our own people fail to put Nigeria first to grow our local airlines.

“Cape Town Convention was signed in South Africa, but South Africa is not a signatory to the agreement. You don’t operate an open sky when you are the one that has the advantage. The people struggling to sign open skies have just one airport, compare to yours that is 22. Seventy per cent of West Africans reside in Nigeria. So, why are you throwing yourself and your economy to others to prey on?”

Other experts have little sympathy for the local airlines. A source, who craved anonymity, said they got what they deserved in the matter, given their usual habit of blocking other airlines from plying the route they are not ready to take.

“Nigeria currently has many Bilateral Air Service Agreements (BASA) that are open to airlines to explore. Besides, Yamoussoukro open-sky agreement is there for African airlines to freely explore and Nigeria signed into it. Why are our airlines not exploring it?

“They don’t want anyone to call them weak, yet they are not ready to do anything. They are the same group of people that will be making noise that government is giving their market away. But the world has changed and far gone is the era of holding tightly to a market, that it is all yours. The passengers want options, authorities want streams of income and the market is ready for multiple players that are serious and ready,” the top official said.

The President of the ART, Gbenga Olowo, earlier raised concern that the domestic airlines had consistently rejected the option of merger and partnership to come out stronger and be in a position to compete with the foreign carriers dominating the African airspace.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Brent Approaches $83 as US Crude Inventories Decline

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As global oil markets remain volatile, Brent crude oil prices edged closer to the $83 per barrel price level following reports of a decline in US crude inventories.

The uptick in prices comes amidst ongoing concerns about supply constraints and rising demand, painting a complex picture for energy markets worldwide.

The latest data from the American Petroleum Institute (API) revealed a notable decrease of 3.1 million barrels in nationwide crude stockpiles for the previous week.

Also, there was a drawdown observed at the critical hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, a key indicator for market analysts tracking US oil inventories.

Investors and traders have been closely monitoring these inventory reports, seeking clues about the supply-demand dynamics in the global oil market.

The decline in US crude inventories has added to the optimism surrounding oil prices, pushing Brent towards the $83 threshold.

The positive sentiment in oil markets is also fueled by anticipation surrounding the upcoming report from the International Energy Agency (IEA).

Market participants are eager to glean insights from the IEA’s assessment, which is expected to shed light on supply-demand balances for the second half of the year.

However, the recent rally in oil prices comes against the backdrop of lingering concerns about inflationary pressures in the United States.

Persistent inflation has raised questions about the strength of demand for commodities like oil, leading to some caution among investors.

Furthermore, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) face their own challenges in navigating the current market dynamics.

The group is grappling with the decision of whether to extend production cuts at their upcoming meeting on June 1. Questions about member compliance with existing output quotas add another layer of complexity to the discussion.

Analysts warn that while the recent decline in US crude inventories is a positive development for oil prices, uncertainties remain.

Vishnu Varathan, Asia head of economics and strategy at Mizuho Bank Ltd. in Singapore, highlighted the potential for “fraught and tense OPEC+ dynamics” as member countries seek to balance their economic interests with market stability.

As oil markets await the IEA report and US inflation data, the path forward for oil prices remains uncertain. Investors will continue to monitor inventory levels, demand trends, and geopolitical developments to gauge the future trajectory of global oil markets.

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Oil Prices Dip on Sluggish Demand Signs and Fed’s Interest Rate Outlook

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Oil prices on Monday dipped as the U.S. Federal Reserve officials’ comments showed a cautious approach to interest rate adjustments.

The dip in prices reflects concerns over the outlook for global economic growth and its implications for energy consumption in the world’s largest economy.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, slipped by 7 cents or 0.1% to $82.72 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude oil stood at $78.21 per barrel, a 5 cents decline.

Auckland-based independent analyst Tina Teng highlighted that the oil market’s focus has shifted from geopolitical tensions in the Middle East to the broader world economic outlook.

Concerns arose as China’s producer price index (PPI) contracted in April, signaling continued sluggishness in business demand.

Similarly, recent U.S. economic data suggested a slowdown, further dampening market sentiment.

The discussions among Federal Reserve officials regarding the adequacy of current interest rates to stimulate inflation back to the desired 2% level added to market jitters.

While earlier in the week, concerns over supply disruptions stemming from the Israel-Gaza conflict had provided some support to oil prices, the attention has now turned to macroeconomic indicators.

Analysts anticipate that the U.S. central bank will maintain its policy rate at the current level for an extended period, bolstering the dollar.

A stronger dollar typically makes dollar-denominated oil more expensive for investors holding other currencies, thus contributing to downward pressure on oil prices.

Furthermore, signs of weak demand added to the bearish sentiment in the oil market. ANZ analysts noted that U.S. gasoline and distillate inventories increased in the week preceding the start of the U.S. driving season, indicating subdued demand for fuel.

Refiners globally are grappling with declining profits for diesel, driven by increased supplies and lackluster economic activity.

Despite the prevailing challenges, expectations persist that the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and their allies, collectively known as OPEC+, may extend supply cuts into the second half of the year.

Iraq, the second-largest OPEC producer, expressed commitment to voluntary oil production cuts and emphasized cooperation with member countries to stabilize global oil markets.

However, Iraq’s suggestion that it had fulfilled its voluntary reductions and reluctance to agree to additional cuts proposed by OPEC+ members stirred speculation and uncertainty in the market.

ING analysts pointed out that Iraq’s ability to implement further cuts might be limited, given its previous shortfall in adhering to voluntary reductions.

Meanwhile, in the United States, the oil rig count declined to its lowest level since November, signaling a potential slowdown in domestic oil production.

As oil markets continue to grapple with a complex web of factors influencing supply and demand dynamics, investors and industry stakeholders remain vigilant, closely monitoring developments and adjusting their strategies accordingly in an ever-evolving landscape.

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Brent Crude Hovers Above $84 as Demand Rises in U.S. and China

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Brent crude oil continued its upward trajectory above $84 a barrel as demand in the United States and China, the two largest consumers of crude globally increased.

This surge in demand coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East has bolstered oil markets, maintaining Brent crude’s resilience above $84 a barrel.

The latest data revealed a surge in demand, particularly in the U.S. where falling crude inventories coincided with higher refinery runs.

This trend indicates growing consumption patterns and a positive outlook for oil demand in the world’s largest economy.

In China, oil imports for April exceeded last year’s figures, driven by signs of improving trade activity, as exports and imports returned to growth after a previous contraction.

ANZ Research analysts highlighted the ongoing strength in demand from China, suggesting that this could keep commodity markets well supported in the near term.

The positive momentum in demand from these key economies has provided a significant boost to oil prices in recent trading sessions.

However, amidst these bullish indicators, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have added further support to oil markets. Reports of a Ukrainian drone attack setting fire to an oil refinery in Russia’s Kaluga region have heightened concerns about supply disruptions and escalated tensions in the region.

Also, ongoing conflict in the Gaza Strip has fueled apprehensions of broader unrest, particularly given Iran’s support for Palestinian group Hamas.

Citi analysts emphasized the geopolitical risks facing the oil market, pointing to Israel’s actions in Rafah and growing tensions along its northern border. They cautioned that such risks could persist throughout the second quarter of 2024.

Despite the current bullish sentiment, analysts anticipate a moderation in oil prices as global demand growth appears to be moderating with Brent crude expected to average $86 a barrel in the second quarter and $74 in the third quarter.

The combination of robust demand from key economies like the U.S. and China, coupled with geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, continues to influence oil markets with Brent crude hovering above $84 a barrel.

As investors closely monitor developments in both demand dynamics and geopolitical events, the outlook for oil prices remains subject to ongoing market volatility and uncertainty.

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