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Refineries: Ex-NNPC Executives Okay FG’s Reduced Stake

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refineries
  • Ex-NNPC Executives Okay FG’s Reduced Stake

Industry experts including two former top executives of the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation have expressed support for the plan by the Federal Government to reduce its stake in the nation’s refineries.

The Federal Government, in its 2017-2020 Economic Recovery and Growth Plan, said it would reduce its stakes in Joint Venture oil assets, refineries and other downstream subsidiaries such as pipelines and depots.

The country continues to rely heavily on importation for petroleum products as its four refineries have been operating far below their installed capacity of 445,000 barrels per day for many years.

A former Director of Research, Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and ex-top executive at the NNPC, Chief Mike Olorunfemi, said the government could even completely sell the refineries to private investors whether local or foreign.

He said, “The government has been advised for a long a time to deregulate the downstream sector to enable private investors to see refining as an attractive business and begin to build new refineries.

“But as long as we regulate fuel prices not reflecting the market forces, no private investors will come in. So what they are doing now is what they ought to have done a long time ago.”

The Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, International Energy Services Limited, Dr. Diran Fawibe, said the government had not made a success of its involvement in the refining business.

Fawibe, who was a general marketing manager responsible for selling Nigerian crude oil in the world market at the NNPC, said, “A dynamic country like Nigeria should make its refineries operationally efficient and build additional ones because we have a dynamic economy where demand for refined petroleum products keeps increasing.

“Over the past decades, the refineries’ operation has continued to go down. Today, the refineries are more of an embarrassment to the country.”

He noted that the country had been depending on importation for most of its fuel consumption over the years despite being a major producer of crude oil

Fawibe said, “To a large extent, this is against our national interest because it undermines the energy security and the national interest of the country. If the government says now it wants to divest its interest, any right thinking person should support this. I have been one of the advocates of this for many years. The only thing is that they should not sell them as a scrap.”

The Head of Energy Research, Ecobank Group, Mr. Dolapo Oni, described the reduction of government’s stake in the refineries and other oil assets as “potentially a good move as it will enable the government to raise some revenue from the sale.”

He said, “Furthermore, the expected transfer of operatorship as government stake is reduced below 50 per cent could unlock private capital if the right regulations are in place to protect investors.

“In our view, the plans for the refineries are largely dependent on getting capital to invest, security in the Niger Delta and liberalisation of the downstream market. These aspects, however, require amendments to key laws of the federation, as well as passage of the Petroleum Industry Bill.”

According to Oni, attracting private investment in the refineries will also require significant level of investor protection due to the history of such partnerships in Africa.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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