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Nigeria’s Non-oil Export to US Falls by 24%

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  • Nigeria’s Non-oil Export to US Falls by 24%

Nigeria’s non-oil export to the United States under the African Growth and Opportunity Act policy has continued to lag, recording $1.141m in 2016.

According to the AGOA trade statistics, non-oil exports to the US under the policy fell by 23.5 per cent from $1.491m in 2015 to $1.141m in 2016.

This is as the oil export under the policy continues to take the centre stage, accounting for 99.9 per cent out of the $3.475bn AGOA exports to the United States in 2016.

In addition, Nigeria’s energy export to the United States under the policy boosted trade balance between the two countries, creating a trade surplus of $2.390bn in 2016.

In the same year, exporters of chemical products, agro-products, mineral and metals enjoyed a duty-free trade deal.

Chemical products valued at $80,000 were exported to the US; agricultural products worth $1.05m, mineral and metal worth $6000 and other export products valued at $1,000 were also exported.

Overall, the total export under AGOA in Nigeria rose by 148 per cent from $1.402bn in 2015 to $3.475bn in 2016.

Nigeria led countries that benefitted from the tariff-free export opportunity last year with South Africa and Angola coming behind it.

After leading for several years, South Africa’s export under AGOA declined from $2.88bn in 2015 to $2.86bn in 2016 with Angola recording a 6.8 per cent improvement from $1.83 to $1.96 in 2016.

AGOA, which is a United States’ trade policy, was enacted in 2000 as a legislation facilitating trade between exporters from sub-Saharan Africa and the United States, duty-free.

After much clamour from the beneficiary countries, the export opportunity was extended in 2015 by another 10 years. This was after completing an initial 15-year validity period.

This means that Nigeria and 42 other countries, which met the eligibility criteria, will benefit from the tariff-free opportunity up until 2025.

The United States is one of Nigeria’s major import and export destinations, with the export representing up to 12.08 per cent of the total exports in 2016 and 8.01 per cent of the total imports into the country.

Statistics from the National Bureau of Statistics showed that the export intensity, which compares the share of Nigeria’s exports to the US with the share of world exports, was 0.6 in October; 0.6 in November; and 0.2 in December 2016.

The President, Nigeria America Chamber of Commerce, Mr. Olabintan Famutimi, said that chamber had redoubled its efforts to fully maximise the AGOA opportunity after its extension to 2025.

This, according to him, will ensure the volume of export to the US under the scheme will surpass the past years.

He said, “We have redoubled our efforts. Just last year, we got more engaged with AGOA. We participated in AGOA forums, set up an AGOA desk at the chamber; and employed a specialist to manage the desk.

“We are part of the United States Agency for International Development trade hub headquartered in Ghana. We signed a Memorandum of Understanding on AGOA. We have been conducting AGOA sensitisation programmes to encourage more participation. We are working with the USAID’s Nigeria Expanded Trade and Transport, which is promoting export for Nigeria community.

“The crude oil has bottomed out. We want to increase the export of Nigeria products to the US and that is why we have embarked on all these activities.”

Meanwhile, stakeholders in the export community have been complaining of low participation in the scheme where other African countries have been earning foreign exchange from the initiative.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Discontent Among Electricity Consumers as Band A Prioritization Leads to Supply Shortages

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In Nigeria, discontent among electricity consumers is brewing as Band A prioritization by distribution companies (DisCos) exacerbates supply shortages for consumers in lower tariff bands.

The move follows the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission’s (NERC) decision to increase tariffs for customers in Band A, prompting DisCos to focus on meeting the needs of Band A customers to avoid sanctions.

Band A customers, who typically receive 20 to 24 hours of electricity supply daily, are now benefiting at the expense of consumers in Bands C, D, and E, who experience significant reductions in power supply.

The situation has ignited frustration among these consumers, who feel marginalized and neglected by DisCos.

Daily Trust investigations reveal that many consumers in lower tariff bands are experiencing prolonged power outages, despite their expectations of a minimum supply duration.

Residents like Christy Emmanuel from Lugbe, Abuja, and Damilola Akanbi from Life Camp are lamenting receiving less than the promised hours of electricity, rendering it ineffective for their daily needs.

Adding to the challenge is the low electricity generation, forcing DisCos to ration power across the grid.

As of recent records, only 3,265 megawatts were available, leading to further difficulties in meeting the demands of all consumers.

The prioritization of Band A customers has been confirmed by officials from DisCos, citing directives from the government to avoid sanctions from NERC.

An anonymous official from the Kaduna Electricity Distribution Company highlighted the pressure from the government to ensure Band A customers receive the required supply, even if it means neglecting other bands.

Meanwhile, the Transmission Company of Nigeria (TCN) has denied reports blaming it for power shortages to Band A customers. General Manager Ndidi Mbah clarified that recent outages were due to technical faults and adverse weather conditions, outside of TCN’s control.

Experts have criticized the DisCos’ prioritization strategy, arguing that it neglects the needs of consumers in lower tariff bands. Bode Fadipe, CEO of Sage Consulting & Communications, emphasized that DisCos cannot ignore the financial contributions from these bands, which sustain the sector.

Chinedu Amah, founder of Spark Nigeria, urged for optimized supply across all bands, emphasizing the importance of improving service levels for all consumers.

As discontent grows among electricity consumers, calls for fair distribution of power and equitable treatment from DisCos are gaining momentum.

The situation underscores the need for regulatory intervention to address the concerns of all stakeholders and ensure a balanced approach to electricity distribution in Nigeria

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Economy

China’s Economic Growth Surges to 5.3% in Q1, But Challenges Loom Ahead

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China has kicked off the year with positive economic growth as its gross domestic product (GDP) expanded by 5.3% in the first quarter.

However, beneath this headline figure lies a story of both resilience and vulnerability as mixed data signals suggest that the road ahead may not be smooth sailing for the world’s second-largest economy.

The latest figures released by the National Bureau of Statistics indicate that China’s economy experienced a slight acceleration from the previous quarter, surpassing analyst estimates.

Much of the growth momentum was concentrated in the early months of the year with March painting a more subdued outlook.

In March, growth in retail sales slumped and industrial output decelerated below forecasts, pointing towards potential challenges on the horizon.

Xiaojia Zhi, Chief China Economist at Credit Agricole, said “Markets may find it hard to be convinced by the strong GDP growth print and difficult to reconcile with the mixed March data.”

Concerns linger that policymakers may become complacent if GDP growth remains above 5%, potentially stalling further policy easing measures.

China’s economic landscape is a tale of two narratives. On one hand, manufacturing remains resilient, buoyed by robust overseas demand and Beijing’s emphasis on fostering advanced technologies domestically.

However, a prolonged real estate crisis coupled with factory prices in deflation for over a year underscore the fragility of domestic demand and excess capacity in certain industries.

The response from economists has been varied but generally optimistic. DBS Group Holdings Ltd raised its forecast for China’s annual growth from 4.5% to 5% following the release of the data, aligning it with the government’s annual target.

Nathan Chow, Senior Economist at the bank, cited stronger-than-expected US demand and improvements in the labor market as reasons for the upgrade.

Despite the encouraging GDP figures, challenges persist. Philipp Hildebrand, Vice Chairman at BlackRock Inc., highlighted the lack of domestic demand and deflationary pressures as significant hurdles.

Moreover, tensions with major trading partners, particularly the US and Germany, have escalated, with concerns over an influx of cheap exports.

Looking ahead, policymakers face the daunting task of stabilizing the property market and stimulating consumer spending.

Efforts such as a proposed trade-in program aim to boost domestic demand by incentivizing businesses and households to invest in new machinery and appliances.

However, monetary policy support may be constrained by the robust performance of the US economy. With the likelihood of a US Federal Reserve rate cut diminishing, China’s central bank may have limited room for further easing.

Nonetheless, the recent loosening of the grip on the Chinese yuan suggests a degree of flexibility in response to evolving economic conditions.

China’s economic growth in the first quarter may have surpassed expectations, but the challenges ahead require proactive measures to navigate.

As the nation strives to maintain momentum amidst a complex global landscape, policymakers and market participants alike remain vigilant, aware that the path to sustained growth may require careful navigation through turbulent waters.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 33.20% in March Despite Economic Mitigation Measures

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Economic uncertainty in Africa’s largest economy, Nigeria, continued to push inflation higher in March despite efforts to ease rising consumer prices.

The Consumer Price Index, which measures the inflation rate, quickened to 33.20 percent in March, according to the latest report from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS).

This represents an increase of 1.50 percent from 31.70 percent reported in February.

On a yearly basis, the inflation rate was 11.16 percent higher when compared to the 22.04 percent filed in March 2023, indicating a broad-based increase in headline inflation.

However, on a month-on-month basis, the headline inflation rate increased at a slower pace in March compared to the previous month. In March, the inflation rate stood at 3.02%, while in February, it was 3.12%

Food Inflation

Prices of food items increased at 40.01% year-on-year basis in March 2024 from 24.45% achieved in March 2023.

The National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) attributed the increase to the rise in prices of the following items Garri, Millet, Akpu Uncooked Fermented (which are under the Bread and Cereals class), Yam Tuber, Water Yam (under Potatoes, Yam, and other Tubers class), Dried Fish Sadine, Mudfish Dried (under Fish class), Palm Oil, Vegetable Oil (under Oil and Fat), Beef Feet, Beef Head, Liver (under Meat class), Coconut, Water Melon (under Fruit Class), Lipton Tea, Bournvita, Milo (under Coffee, Tea and Cocoa Class).

On a monthly basis, the food inflation rate grew at a slower rate of 3.62 percent in March, a 0.17 percent decrease compared to the 3.79 percent recorded in February 2024.

The fall in Food inflation on a Month-on-Month basis was caused by a fall in the rate of increase in the average prices of Guinea corn flour, Plantain Flour etc (under Bread and Cereals class), Yam, Irish Potatoe, Coco Yam (under Potatoes, Yam & Other Tubers class), Titus fish, Mudfish Dried (under Fish class), Lipton, Bournvita, Ovaltine (under Coffee, Tea and Cocoa class).

The average annual rate of Food inflation for the twelve months ending March 2024 over the previous twelve-month average was 31.40%, which was 8.69% points increase from the average annual rate of change recorded in March 2023 (22.72%).

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