- Foreign Investors Intensify Demand for Nigeria’s Eurobond
For the second consecutive week, Nigeria’s Eurobonds traded on the London Stock Exchange appreciated in value as foreign investors intensified demand for the nation’s debt instrument.
The five-year, 5.3% $500 million JUL 12, 2018, appreciated by $.40 (yield fell to 5.29 per cent). Also, the 10-year, 6.38% $500 million JUL 12, 2023 appreciated by $.71 (yield fell to 6.09 per cent). However, the 10-year, 6.75 % $500 million JAN 28, 2021 lost $19 (yield rose to 3.74 percent).
This trend, according to analysts at Cowry Assets Management Company Limited, a Lagos based investment firm, is expected to continue this week.
The renewed interest in Nigeria’s Eurobond on the LSE is one of the fallouts of success recorded in the $1 billion Eurobond issued by the federal government two weeks ago. Prior to the issue, there was investor apathy to the country’s Eurobond on the LSE, resulting in two consecutive weeks of decline in prices.
This trend was, however, reversed following the federal government’s road-show for the Eurobond issue which featured presentations that revived investor’s confidence in the nation’s economy and hence the 800 percent oversubscription to the $1 billion Eurobond issue.
Similarly, performance of Nigerian Corporate Eurobonds was also broadly bullish as instruments enjoyed some positive sentiments on the domino effect of the successful issuance of the $1.00bn Nigerian Eurobond last week.
The FIDELITY 2018 received the most interest as yield dropped 55 basis points (bps) followed by the GUARANTY 2018 (-33bps) and FIRST BANK 2021 (-32bps) instruments. Nevertheless, the DIAMOND 2019 remains the best performing with YTD return of 13.1 per cent.
Cost of funds rises above 18%
Meanwhile, cost of funds in the interbank money markets rose for the second consecutive week, due to scarcity of funds intensified by liquidity outflows via treasury bills and FGN bond auctions.
During the week, the CBN sold N400 billion worth of treasury bills (bills) comprising N202.4 billion Primary Market Auction (PMA) and N197.6 billion Open Market Operation (OMO) bills while the Debt Management Office (DMO) sold N160 billion FGN Bond.
These resulted to outflow of N570 billion, which erased the impact of the inflow of N200 billion through statutory allocation from Federal Accounts Allocation Committee (FAAC). The ensuing liquidity squeeze prompted interbank interest rates to rise sharply, with interest rates on Overnight and OBB lending rising to 18.67 and 17.83 percent respectively from 12.17 and 11.33 per cent the previous week.
These increases are however expected to be reversed this week due to expectation of inflow of funds which include N198.05 billion via matured treasury bills.
The nation’s foreign reserves last week maintained its upward trend rising to $29.1 billion last week Thursday from $28.76 billion the previous week. Consequently, the reserves rose by $3.26 billion.
Meanwhile the CBN moved on Friday to curb the steady depreciation of the naira in the parallel market. Through last week, the Naira depreciated in the parallel market due to intense dollar scarcity. From N506 per dollar the previous week, the parallel market exchange rate rose to N516 at the close of business on Friday.
Foreign reserve hits $29.1bn
However to curb this trend, the apex bank met with banks’ chief executives Friday evening, with a decision to increase dollar supply to banks to meet demand for payment of university school fees and Personal Travel Allowance (PTA).
A source who attended the meeting told Vanguard that the CBN and the CEOs after identifying the factors behind the depreciation of the Naira, agreed on the need to boost dollar supply to meet critical foreign exchange needs. It was gathered that the apex bank decided to increase dollar supply to meet demand for Personal Travel Allowance (PTA) and payment for University school fees.
According to the source, the PTA is subject to maximum of $4000 per person and can only be purchased less than five hours to the flight time of the end-user. The dollar sale for payment of university fees is however subject to maximum of $15,000 per term.
Global Oil Drops as Coronavirus Infections Rises in India and Other Nations
Oil prices declined on Monday during the Asian trading session amid rising concerns that the surge in coronavirus in India and other nations could force regulators to enforce stronger measures at curbing its spread and eventually affect economic activity and drag on demand for commodities like crude oil.
Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, declined by 22 cents or 0.33 percent to $66.55 per barrel at 8:19 am Nigerian time on Monday, following a 6 percent surge last week.
The US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) declined by 18 cents or 0.29 percent to $62.95 per barrel, after it gained 6.4 percent last week.
The decline was after India reported 261,500 new coronavirus infections on Sunday, taking the country’s total cases to almost 14.8 million, second to only the United States that has reported over 31 million coronavirus infections.
“With … a resurgence of virus cases in India and Japan, topside ambitions continue to run into walls of profit-taking,” said Stephen Innes, chief market strategist at Axi.
Businesses in Japan believed the world’s third-largest economy will experience a fourth round of coronavirus infections, with many bracing for an additional slow down in economic activity.
While Japan has had fewer COVID-19 cases when compared with other major economies, concerns about a new wave of infections are fast rising, according to responses in Reuters poll.
On Tuesday, April 20, 2020, Hong Kong will suspend all from India, Pakistan and the Philippines because of imported coronavirus infections, authorities stated in a statement released on Sunday.
India’s COVID-19 death rose by a record 1,501 to hit 177,150.
Global Markets Near Record Peaks and Will Get Stronger: deVere CEO
As the FTSE 100 hits 7,000 points for the first time since the Covid pandemic, global stock markets are poised to “get even stronger”, says the CEO of one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory and fintech organisations.
The observation from Nigel Green, the chief executive and founder of deVere Group, comes as London’s index jumped over the important threshold in early trading in London, gaining over 0.5% to 7024 points.
Mr Green notes: “London’s blue-chip index is up 40% since the worst lows of the pandemic.
“This landmark moment represents the wider optimistic sentiment gripping global markets which are near record peaks.
“We can expect global stock markets to get even stronger as investors look to seize the opportunities from economies reopening.
“They are looking towards economies rebounding in a post-pandemic era due to the monetary and fiscal stimulus, pent-up cash and demand, and strong corporate earnings.
“The current ultra-low interest rate environment and the under-performance of bonds will also act as a catalyst for stock markets.”
However, the CEO’s bullish comments also come with a warning.
“I would urge investors to proceed with caution as there are some headwinds on the horizon, including relations between the U.S. and China, the world’s two largest economies, which could be coming to a tipping point in coming weeks.
“As such, in order to capitalise on the opportunities and mitigate risks, investors must ensure proper portfolio diversification.”
Mr Green concludes: “A variety of factors are going to drive global stock markets. Investors will not want to miss out and should work with a good fund manager to judiciously top-up their portfolios.”
Refinitiv Expands Economic Data Coverage Across Africa
Building on its commitment to drive positive change through its data and insights, Refinitiv today announced the expansion of its economic data coverage of Africa. The new data set allows investment managers, central bankers, economists, and research teams to use Refinitiv Datasteam analytical data for detailed exploration of economic relationships and investment opportunities among data series covering the African continent.
Securing reliable, detailed, timely, locally sourced content has not been easy for economists who have in the past had to use international sources which often can take many months to update and opportunities to monitor the market can be missed. Because Africa is a diverse continent, economists and strategists need more timely access to country-specific data via national sources to create tailored business, policy, trading and investment strategies to meet specific goals.
Africa continues to develop critical infrastructure, telecommunications, digital technology and access to financial services for its 1.3bn people. The World Bank estimates that over 50% of African inhabitants will be under 25 by 2050. This presents substantial opportunities for investors who can spot important trends and make informed decisions based on robust and timely economic data.
Stuart Brown, Group Head of Enterprise Data Solutions, Refinitiv, said: “Africa’s growing, dynamic and fast evolving economies makes it a focal point for financial markets today and in the coming decades. As part of LSEG’s commitment to empowering the global markets with accurate and timely data, we are excited about making these unique datasets available via the Refinitiv Data Platform. Our economic data coverage of Africa will provide our customers with deeper and broader inputs for macroeconomic analyses and enable more effective investment strategies and economic research.”
Refinitiv Africa economic data coverage:
- Africa economics content comprises around 500,000 nationally sourced time series data covering 54 African nations
- Content is sourced from national statistical offices, central banks and other key national institutions
- The full breadth of economics categories in Datastream including national accounts, money and finance, prices, surveys, labor market, consumer, industry, government and external sectors
- International sources including OECD, World Bank, IMF, African Development Bank, Oxford Economics & more provide comparable data & forecasts across the continent
Refinitiv® Datastream® has global macroeconomics coverage to analyze virtually any macro environment, and better understand economic cycles to uncover trends and forecast market conditions. With over 14.2 million economic times series map trends, customers can validate ideas and identify opportunities using Refinitiv Datastream. Access its powerful charting tools, 9,000 pre-built chart templates and chart studies for commonly used valuation, performance, and technical and fundamental analysis.
Refinitiv continually grows available data – the China expansion in 2019 covered a unique combination of economic and financial indicators. Refinitiv plans to expand Southeast Asia covering Thailand, Vietnam, Philippines and Malaysia with delivery expected in 2021. This ensures that Refinitiv will have much needed emerging market economic content.
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