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No to Electricity Tariff Increase

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Electricity - Investors King

The intense and justified desire of stakeholders to have uninterrupted electricity power recently received a shock from the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC), the regulator of the power sector when its Acting Chief Executive, Tony Akah, was quoted to have told members of the Senate Committee on Privatisation that without an increase in electricity tariff or a subsidy from the government, Nigeria would not be able to get steady power supply. He attempted a justification of his position by employing the now old-fashioned arguments of destruction of gas pipelines, huge cost being sustained by power companies, foreign exchange scarcity and fall in the rate of the local currency, Naira, lack of cost-effective tariff or subsidy or incentives that would induce the power companies to commit more money to the sector.

Akah’s solutions include a hike in electricity tariff or provision of subsidy or incentives in the form of tax holidays. He equally proposed that cheap bonds should be provided for the power companies to prevent them from passing high electricity bills to consumers. In proposing subsidy as a solution, he was reported to have asserted that since the petroleum sector was still enjoying subsidy, it would not be out of place for the power sector to enjoy subsidy from the government. He crowned his obvious desperation to advocate and obtain tariff increase for the power operators with the point that “….in the absence of subsidy coming in, in the absence of other mechanism coming in, we (NERC) are bound under the law to provide a tariff that will recover cost of investments.” He was also certain that in the event of no increase in electricity tariff or provision of subsidy or incentives, he has no better ideas on how to make progress with the mandate of his Commission.

It is noteworthy that despite this advocacy on behalf of the private power companies, Senator Ben Murray-Bruce, chairman of the Senate Committee on Privatisation, was reported to have impressed on the NERC the salient fact that most workers in Nigeria have not had pay/wage increase in years; workers operate in the same economic environment as the power companies who want a 200 per cent increase in electricity tariff and also that several businesses in the country have been operating under the same conditions, but have not increase their prices.

Beyond this factual position, it is necessary to point out that the government have unduly indulged and supported the power companies since privatisation. Through the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), government first provided them the Power and Airline Intervention Fund operated through the Bank of Industry at a concessionary interest rate of seven per cent per annum. Many stakeholders questioned the rationale for such provision of the fund which balance as at end of December 2015, stood at N249.6 billion. The second intervention fund was N213 billion Nigeria Electricity Market Stabilisation Facility operated through the deposit money banks at a concessionary interest rate of 10 per cent per annum. The fund, a collaborative initiative of CBN, Ministry of Petroleum Resources and Power, the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission and the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation, was partly aimed at “addressing persistent liquidity challenges facing the power and gas sector, and fast-track the development of a viable and sustainable domestic energy market.”

It is rather unfortunate that these huge tax payers’ funds to the privately-owned power companies have failed to provide the much needed “viable and sustainable domestic energy” in the economy. All Nigerians have received are ‘no power’ and ‘endless excuses,’ now followed by the ‘threat’ that, except tax payers continue to make more funds available, power would remain elusive.

Clearly, the power companies that emerged from the privatisation exercise lack the capacity, in all ramifications, to achieve the objectives of privatising the assets. This situation throws up many questions. For instance, was due diligence conducted before reaching the decisions that produced the companies that won in the privatisation exercise? Did the country do its homework very well to ascertain the problems intended to be solved and was it convinced, beyond all reasonable doubts that the chosen power firms would provide the solutions? And how objective and transparent were the processes that brought about the bid winners. It is advisable that when next the government has the need to embark on serious projects of national interest, enough due diligence backed by non-controvertible practical evidences should be taken into consideration. Essentially, these call for good governance at all times.

Given the difficulties of these times, nothing can justifiably support a tariff hike in the power sector. Practicable ideas on how to revive the economy for sustainable growth are required. What the power companies must do as privately owned organisations is to access the CBN intervention funds or access the capital market for equity and/or bonds. Except their owners are running away from dilution of their shareholding, the Nigerian Capital Market will welcome them. Investment wisdom dictates that one per cent share holding in a performing company is far better than 100 per cent ownership of a non-performing business. The companies must also build up their capacity in human capital, equipment and technology resources.

As for the government, it is high time an integrated power mix was pursued. The country is in a position to tap from solar, wind, hydrocarbon resources alongside gas to bring light to Nigeria in significant quantity and quality levels. Besides, the government has the right to diligently find capable power companies across the globe and license them to get this electricity deficit stigma off the neck of Nigeria. It is also incumbent on government in its bid to improve the power situation, to pay attention to how the federating units in the country should be empowered to provide power within their areas of jurisdiction. The competition this will bring about will produce better services to the consumers.

Finally, regulators that seem to or indeed, lack ideas on possible ways forward for power availability, sustainability and affordability, should desist from threats and refrain from advocating against the people the law requires them not only to serve but to protect.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Dangote Mega Refinery in Nigeria Seeks Millions of Barrels of US Crude Amid Output Challenges

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Dangote Refinery

The Dangote Mega Refinery, situated near Lagos, Nigeria, is embarking on an ambitious plan to procure millions of barrels of US crude over the next year.

The refinery, established by Aliko Dangote, Africa’s wealthiest individual, has issued a term tender for the purchase of 2 million barrels a month of West Texas Intermediate Midland crude for a duration of 12 months, commencing in July.

This development revealed through a document obtained by Bloomberg, represents a shift in strategy for the refinery, which has opted for US oil imports due to constraints in the availability and reliability of Nigerian crude.

Elitsa Georgieva, Executive Director at Citac, an energy consultancy specializing in the African downstream sector, emphasized the allure of US crude for Dangote’s refinery.

Georgieva highlighted the challenges associated with sourcing Nigerian crude, including insufficient supply, unreliability, and sometimes unavailability.

In contrast, US WTI offers reliability, availability, and competitive pricing, making it an attractive option for Dangote.

Nigeria’s struggles to meet its OPEC+ quota and sustain its crude production capacity have been ongoing for at least a year.

Despite an estimated production capacity of 2.6 million barrels a day, the country only managed to pump about 1.45 million barrels a day of crude and liquids in April.

Factors contributing to this decline include crude theft, aging oil pipelines, low investment, and divestments by oil majors operating in Nigeria.

To address the challenge of local supply for the Dangote refinery, Nigeria’s upstream regulators have proposed new draft rules compelling oil producers to prioritize selling crude to domestic refineries.

This regulatory move aims to ensure sufficient local supply to support the operations of the 650,000 barrel-a-day Dangote refinery.

Operating at about half capacity presently, the Dangote refinery has capitalized on the opportunity to secure cheaper US oil imports to fulfill up to a third of its feedstock requirements.

Since the beginning of the year, the refinery has been receiving monthly shipments of about 2 million barrels of WTI Midland from the United States.

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Oil Prices Hold Steady as U.S. Demand Signals Strengthening

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Crude Oil - Investors King

Oil prices maintained a steady stance in the global market as signals of strengthening demand in the United States provided support amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, holds at $82.79 per barrel, a marginal increase of 4 cents or 0.05%.

Similarly, U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude saw a slight uptick of 4 cents to $78.67 per barrel.

The stability in oil prices came in the wake of favorable data indicating a potential surge in demand from the U.S. market.

An analysis by MUFG analysts Ehsan Khoman and Soojin Kim pointed to a broader risk-on sentiment spurred by signs of receding inflationary pressures in the U.S., suggesting the possibility of a more accommodative monetary policy by the Federal Reserve.

This prospect could alleviate the strength of the dollar and render oil more affordable for holders of other currencies, consequently bolstering demand.

Despite a brief dip on Wednesday, when Brent crude touched an intra-day low of $81.05 per barrel, the commodity rebounded, indicating underlying market resilience.

This bounce-back was attributed to a notable decline in U.S. crude oil inventories, gasoline, and distillates.

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported a reduction of 2.5 million barrels in crude inventories to 457 million barrels for the week ending May 10, surpassing analysts’ consensus forecast of 543,000 barrels.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM, underscored the significance of increased refinery activity, which contributed to the decline in inventories and hinted at heightened demand.

This development sparked a turnaround in price dynamics, with earlier losses being nullified by a surge in buying activity that wiped out all declines.

Moreover, U.S. consumer price data for April revealed a less-than-expected increase, aligning with market expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in September.

The prospect of monetary easing further buoyed market sentiment, contributing to the stability of oil prices.

However, amidst these market dynamics, geopolitical tensions persisted in the Middle East, particularly between Israel and Palestinian factions. Israeli military operations in Gaza remained ongoing, with ceasefire negotiations reaching a stalemate mediated by Qatar and Egypt.

The situation underscored the potential for geopolitical flare-ups to impact oil market sentiment.

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Shell’s Bonga Field Hits Record High Production of 138,000 Barrels per Day in 2023

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oil field

Shell Nigeria Exploration and Production Company Limited (SNEPCo) has achieved a significant milestone as its Bonga field, Nigeria’s first deep-water development, hit a record high production of 138,000 barrels per day in 2023.

This represents a substantial increase when compared to 101,000 barrels per day produced in the previous year.

The improvement in production is attributed to various factors, including the drilling of new wells, reservoir optimization, enhanced facility management, and overall asset management strategies.

Elohor Aiboni, Managing Director of SNEPCo, expressed pride in Bonga’s performance, stating that the increased production underscores the commitment of the company’s staff and its continuous efforts to enhance production processes and maintenance.

Aiboni also acknowledged the support of the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and SNEPCo’s co-venture partners, including TotalEnergies Nigeria Limited, Nigerian Agip Exploration, and Esso Exploration and Production Nigeria Limited.

The Bonga field, which commenced production in November 2005, operates through the Bonga Floating Production Storage and Offloading (FPSO) vessel, with a capacity of 225,000 barrels per day.

Located 120 kilometers offshore, the FPSO has been a key contributor to Nigeria’s oil production since its inception.

Last year, the Bonga FPSO reached a significant milestone by exporting its 1-billionth barrel of oil, further cementing its position as a vital asset in Nigeria’s oil and gas sector.

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