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Banks’ Deposits Rise by N5.33bn in January

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  • Banks’ Deposits Rise by N5.33bn in January

Banks’ deposits rose marginally by N5.33 billion in January thus reversing negative trend recorded in December.

However, the naira depreciated to its lowest level in the parallel market last week with the exchange rate rising to N506 per dollar in the market.

Meanwhile, Nigeria’s Eurobond appreciated last week due to upsurge in demand which halted three weeks of decline.

Deposits rise by N5.3bn:

Banks are mandated to keep 22.5 percent of their total deposit as Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) with the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN). Consequently, the apex bank, on a monthly basis, debits banks for 22.5 percent of any increase in bank deposit for the month. However, if banks record decline in deposit, the CBN credits the industry 22.5 percent of that decline in deposit.

Financial investigations reveal that the CBN debited banks N1.2 billion last week for CRR for January, implying that banks’ deposit rose by N5.3 billion.

Parallel market exchange rate:

The increase, however represents 2.5 percent of the N213 billion decline recorded in December.

Naira depreciates to N506/$ in the parallel market:

Despite the steady increase in the nation’s external reserves, which rose further to $28.69 billion last week, the naira depreciated to its lowest level in the parallel market. From N498 per dollar the previous week, the parallel market exchange rate rose to N506 per dollar at the close of business on Friday.

Parallel market sources attributed the depreciation to upsurge in demand amidst constrained dollar supply. Though the CBN sells $8,000 dollars to each BDCs per week, market sources however insist that this is not sufficient to moderate demand pressures in the market.

According to Managing Director/Chief Executive, H.J Trust BDC, Mr. Harisson Owoh, there is need for CBN to increase dollar sale to BDCs so as to accommodate more demands and moderate the pressure in the parallel market.

However, the naira appreciated in the interbank market for spot and forward transactions last week. Data by the Financial Market Dealers Quote (FMDQ) show that the naira appreciated slightly by 0.08 per cent for spot transactions, with the spot exchange rate dropping to N305 per dollar. Also the exchange rates for 1 month, 3 months, 6 months and 12 months contracts fell by 1.51 per cent, 2.2 per cent, 4.2 per cent and 7.67 per cent respectively to N315.34 per dollar, N323.27, N331.53 and N349 per dollar.

CBN, DMO to raise N252.4bn:

Meanwhile, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Debt Management Office (DMO) will this week raise N252.44 billion through treasury bills and FGN bonds sales.

Liquidity inflow:

While the CBN is expected to sell 91-days bills worth N32.436 billion, 182-days bills worth N30 billion and 36- days bills worth N80 billion. The TB sale is meant to mop up liquidity inflow from matured TBs of the same value.

The DMO on its part is seeking to raise N110 billion by re-opening the FGN 5-year (2021), 10-year (2024) and 20-year (2036) benchmark bonds.

Consequently, and in the absence of any major liquidity inflow, the interbank money market will this week experience scarcity of funds and increase in cost of funds.

Nigeria’s Eurobonds appreciate as investors renew interest:

Prices of Nigeria’s Eurobond last week rose for the first time following renewed investors interest which triggered upsurge in demand.

According to data by the Debt Management Office (DMO), price of the 5-year, 5.13% July 12, 2018 Eurobond rose by $2.68 (the yield fell to 5.4 per cent), while the 10-year, 6.38 per cent July 12, 2023 bond gained $2.68 (yield fell to 6.21 per cent). But the 10-year, 6.75 percent January 28, 2021 lost $0.03.

The renewed investor’s interest might have been prompted by the roadshow that preceded the $1 billion Eurobond issued by the FG last week. Prior to issuing the 15 year bond, federal government’s officials including Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, Senator Udoma Udo Udoma, the Honorable Minister of Budget and National Planning, Godwin Emefiele, Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Dr. Abraham Nwankwo, the Director-General of the Debt Management Office (DMO) and Mr Ben Akabueze, the Director General of the Budget Office met with foreign investors twice in London and the United States.

These interactions resulted into $7.8 billion subscription to the $1 billion bond, implying 800 per cent oversubscription.

Analysts predict a moderate rise in January inflation:

Economic analysts have predicted moderate rise in January inflation figures, scheduled to be released by the National Bureau of Statistics this week.

Analysts at Afrinvest Plc predicted that inflation will rise to 18.7 percent from 18.55 percent in December while analysts at Financial Derivatives Company (FDC) predicted 18.6 percent January inflation rate.

Percentage decline:

“We forecast Year-on-Year (Y-o-Y) headline inflation rate to inch higher to 18.7 per cent from 18.6 per cent in December 2016 due to a relatively lower base despite projected slower month-on-month (M-o-M) change to 1.0 per cent from 1.1 per cent in December 2016 as the impact of yuletide season on prices wears off.” said Afrinvest analysts.

On their part, FDC analysts said: “The FDC Think Tank estimates a relatively flat movement in the January headline inflation rate to 18.6 per cent from 18.55 per cent in December. Prices have generally either declined or remained flat recently.

The percentage decline in 2017 was pale in comparison to 2016, leading to a marginal surge of 0.05 per cent. The food basket especially has been relatively more inelastic than other commodities.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Nigeria’s N3.3tn Power Sector Rescue Package Unveiled

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President Bola Tinubu has given the green light for a comprehensive N3.3 trillion rescue package.

This ambitious initiative seeks to tackle the country’s mounting power sector debts, which have long hindered the efficiency and reliability of electricity supply across the nation.

The unveiling of this rescue package represents a pivotal moment in Nigeria’s quest for a sustainable energy future. With power outages being a recurring nightmare for both businesses and households, the need for decisive action has never been more urgent.

At the heart of the rescue package are measures aimed at settling the staggering debts accumulated within the power sector. President Tinubu has approved a phased approach to debt repayment, encompassing cash injections and promissory notes.

This strategic allocation of funds aims to provide immediate relief to power-generating companies (Gencos) and gas suppliers, while also ensuring long-term financial stability within the sector.

Chief Adebayo Adelabu, the Minister of Power, revealed details of the rescue package at the 8th Africa Energy Marketplace held in Abuja.

Speaking at the event themed, “Towards Nigeria’s Sustainable Energy Future,” Adelabu emphasized the government’s commitment to eliminating bottlenecks and fostering policy coherence within the power sector.

One of the key highlights of the rescue package is the allocation of funds from the Gas Stabilisation Fund to settle outstanding debts owed to gas suppliers.

This critical step not only addresses the immediate liquidity concerns of gas companies but also paves the way for enhanced cooperation between gas suppliers and power generators.

Furthermore, the rescue package includes provisions for addressing the legacy debts owed to power-generating companies.

By utilizing future royalties and income streams from the gas sub-sector, the government aims to provide a sustainable solution that incentivizes investment in power generation capacity.

The announcement of the N3.3 trillion rescue package comes amidst ongoing efforts to revitalize Nigeria’s power sector.

Recent initiatives, including tariff adjustments and regulatory reforms, underscore the government’s determination to overcome longstanding challenges and enhance the sector’s effectiveness.

However, challenges persist, as highlighted by Barth Nnaji, a former Minister of Power, who emphasized the need for a robust transmission network to support increased power generation.

Nnaji’s advocacy for a super grid underscores the importance of infrastructure development in ensuring the reliability and stability of Nigeria’s power supply.

In light of these developments, stakeholders have welcomed the unveiling of the N3.3 trillion rescue package as a decisive step towards transforming Nigeria’s power sector.

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Nigeria’s Inflation Climbs to 28-Year High at 33.69% in April

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Nigeria's Inflation Rate - Investors King

Nigeria is grappling with soaring inflation as data from the statistics agency revealed that the country’s headline inflation surged to a new 28-year high in April.

The consumer price index, which measures the inflation rate, rose to 33.69% year-on-year, up from 33.20% in March.

This surge in inflation comes amid a series of economic challenges, including subsidy cuts on petrol and electricity and twice devaluing the local naira currency by the administration of President Bola Tinubu.

The sharp rise in inflation has been a pressing concern for policymakers, leading the central bank to take measures to address the growing price pressures.

The central bank has raised interest rates twice this year, including its largest hike in around 17 years, in an attempt to contain inflationary pressures.

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria has indicated that interest rates will remain high for as long as necessary to bring down inflation.

The bank is set to hold another rate-setting meeting next week to review its policy stance.

A report by the National Bureau of Statistics highlighted that the food and non-alcoholic beverages category continued to be the biggest contributor to inflation in April.

Food inflation, which accounts for the bulk of the inflation basket, rose to 40.53% in annual terms, up from 40.01% in March.

In response to the economic challenges posed by soaring inflation, President Tinubu’s administration has announced a salary hike of up to 35% for civil servants to ease the pressure on government workers.

Also, to support vulnerable households, the government has restarted a direct cash transfer program and distributed at least 42,000 tons of grains such as corn and millet.

The rising inflation rate presents significant challenges for Nigeria’s economy, impacting the purchasing power of consumers and adding strains to household budgets.

As the government continues to grapple with inflationary pressures, policymakers are faced with the task of implementing measures to stabilize prices and mitigate the adverse effects on the economy and livelihoods of citizens.

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FG Acknowledges Labour’s Protest, Assures Continued Dialogue

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Power - Investors King

The Federal Government through the Ministry of Power has acknowledged the organised Labour request for a reduction in electric tariff.

The Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) and Trade Union Congress (TUC) had picketed offices of the National Electricity Regulatory Commission (NERC) and Distribution Companies nationwide over the hike in electricity tariff.

The unions had described the upward review, demanding outright cancellation.

Addressing State House correspondents after the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting on Tuesday, Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, said labour had the right to protest.

“We cannot stop them from organizing peaceful protest or laying down their demands. Let me make that clear. President Bola Tinubu’s administration is also a listening government.”

“We have heard their demands, we’re going to look at it, we’ll make further engagements and I believe we’re going to reach a peaceful resolution with the labor because no government can succeed without the cooperation, collaboration and partnership with the Labour unions. So we welcome the peaceful protest and I’m happy that it was not a violent protest. They’ve made their positions known and government has taken in their demands and we’re looking at it.

“But one thing that I want to state here is from the statistics of those affected by the hike in tariff, the people on the road yesterday, who embarked on the peaceful protests, more than 95% of them are not affected by the increase in the tariff of electricity. They still enjoy almost 70% government subsidy in the tariff they pay because the average costs of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity is not less than N180 today.

“A lot of them are paying below N60 so they still enjoy government’s subsidy. So when they say we should reverse the recently increased tariff, sincerely it’s not affecting them. That’s one position.

“My appeal again is that they should please not derail or distract our transformation plan for the industry. We have a clearly documented reform roadmap to take us to our desired destination, where we’re going to have reliable, functional, cost-effective and affordable electricity in Nigeria. It cannot be achieved overnight because this is a decay of almost 60 years, which we are trying to correct.”

He said there was the need for sacrifice from everybody, “from the government’s side, from the people’s side, from the private sector side. So we must bear this sacrifice for us to have a permanent gain”.

“I don’t want us to go back to the situation we were in February and March, where we had very low generation. We all felt the impact of this whereby electricity supply was very low and every household, every company, every institution, felt it. From the little reform that we’ve embarked upon since the beginning of April, we have seen the impact that electricity has improved and it can only get better.”

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