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Brexit Saga Hits Pound

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British pound
  • Brexit Saga Hits Pound

Sterling slid below $1.20 for the first time in more than three months after newspapers reported that May will signal in a speech on Tuesday her willingness to quit the European Union’s single market for goods and services to regain control of Britain’s borders and laws. It’s the outcome seen by many economists as the least desirable, and the one currency traders have fretted about since the U.K.’s June vote to leave the bloc.

“The main source of inflation does seem to be sterling and the pass-through is very clear and we’ve broken some key levels,” Steven Major, global head of fixed income research at HSBC, said on Bloomberg Television. “The question is whether it affects what the Bank of England is thinking or whether they view it as transitory.”

The pound slid as much as 1.6 percent to $1.1986, dropping to the weakest since the “flash crash” of Oct. 7. It was at $1.2056 at 12:37 p.m. London time. Inflation expectations climbed, with the 10-year break-even rate, a gauge of the bond market’s outlook for U.K. price growth over the next decade, touching the highest since July 2013.

Government officials told the Sunday Times that they expect May’s comments to cause a “market correction.” The BOE declined to comment on the contents of Carney’s address.

Currency Effects

On the day May speaks, data will probably show inflation accelerated to 1.4 percent in December from 1.2 percent. While that’s below the BOE’s 2 percent target, it’s forecast to breach that level within months as the pound’s 19 percent slide since the referendum feeds through to import prices.

The latest decline in sterling means BOE officials may have to make the uncomfortable decision between tolerating an even bigger inflation overshoot or tightening policy — even if that causes more short-term pain — to keep price-growth in check. The central bank will publish new forecasts for growth and inflation on Feb. 2, when it is also scheduled to announce its next policy decision.

The Monetary Policy Committee members have a neutral bias on where rates will go next as they monitor the economic fallout from the decision to quit the EU. While the referendum initially spurred them to cut interest rates and resume asset purchases, and to signal that another rate cut was likely, their stance changed after the economy proved more robust than expected.

The BOE is probably still some way from a rate change. The median forecast of economists is for no change from the current record-low 0.25 percent until at least the second quarter of 2019. When that move comes, there’s a higher chance of a hike, according to a survey conducted last week.

CEO/Founder Investors King Ltd, a foreign exchange research analyst, contributing author on New York-based Talk Markets and Investing.com, with over a decade experience in the global financial markets.

Naira

Daily Naira Exchange Rates (Parallel Market, Bureau De Change and CBN Rates); Friday, January 15, 2021

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Nigeria 500 naira notes

Daily Naira Exchange Rates (Parallel Market, Bureau De Change and CBN Rates); Friday, January 15, 2021

The Nigerian Naira remained under pressure against the United States Dollar on the parallel market at N475 exchange rate, while the value has not improved against the Euro and Pound, inflation rose to 15.75 percent in the month of December to further compound Nigeria’s predicament.

Date USD GBP EURO YUAN Canadian Australian
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
15/01/2021 470/475 635/642 573/580 60/70 375/385 245/293
14/01/2021 470/475 630/640 570/580 60/70 375/385 245/293
13/01/2021 470/474 630/637 570/580 60/70 375/385 245/293
12/01/2021 470/475 630/637 575/580 60/70 375/385 245/293
11/01/2021 468/675 625/635 575/582 60/70 372/382 245/293
08/01/2021 467/672 622/630 570/575 60/70 365/378 245/293
07/01/2021 465/470 620/628 570/575 60/70 365/378 245/293
06/01/2021 465/470 620/628 565/570 60/70 365/378 245/293
05/01/2021 465/470 620/628 565/572 60/70 365/378 245/293
04/01/2021 465/470 620/628 565/572 60/70 365/378 245/293
31/12/2020 465/470 620/628 567/573 60/70 365/378 245/293
30/12/2020 465/470 620/628 567/573 60/70 365/378 245/293
29/12/2020 465/470 620/628 565/573 60/70 365/378 245/293
28/12/2020 460/465 615/625 560/570 60/70 350/367 245/293
25/12/2020 460/465 615/625 560/570 60/70 350/367 245/293
24/12/2020 460/465 615/625 560/570 60/70 350/367 245/293
23/12/2020 470/475 622/632 575/580 60/70 350/367 245/293
22/12/2020 472/476 622/630 570/578 60/70 340/362 250/295
21/12/2020 472/476 622/632 570/580 55/68 340/362 250/295
18/12/2020 472/477 622/630 570/577 55/68 340/362 250/295

 Bureau De Change Naira Rates

Date USD GBP EURO
NGN BUY/SELL BUY/SELL BUY/SELL
15/01/2020 460/475 630/638 570/577
14/01/2020 460/475 630/638 570/577
13/01/2020 460/470 626/633 565/576
12/01/2020 460/470 626/633 566/576
11/01/2020 460/470 620/630 560/573
08/01/2020 460/470 615/625 555/573
07/01/2020 460/470 615/623 550/570
06/01/2020 460/470 610/623 550/572
05/01/2020 460/470 615/624 550/572
04/01/2020 460/470 615/624 550/572
31/12/2020 460/470 600/626 550/573
30/12/2020 460/470 600/626 550/573
29/12/2020 455/475 600/626 550/573
28/12/2020 455/475 605/628 555/573
25/12/2020 455/475 600/628 550/575
24/12/2020 455/474 600/628 555/575
23/12/2020 460/475 621/632 568/580
22/12/2020 470/475 620/631 568/577
21/12/2020 470/475 620/631 568/577

Central Bank of Nigeria’s Official Naira Rates

Date Currency Buying(NGN) Central(NGN) Selling(NGN)
1/15/2021 US DOLLAR 379 379.5 380
1/15/2021 POUNDS STERLING 516.9181 517.6001 518.282
1/15/2021 EURO 459.4996 460.1058 460.712
1/15/2021 SWISS FRANC 426.8499 427.413 427.9761
1/15/2021 YEN 3.6548 3.6596 3.6644
1/15/2021 CFA 0.6839 0.6939 0.7039
1/15/2021 WAUA 545.8708 546.5909 547.3111
1/15/2021 YUAN/RENMINBI 58.531 58.6087 58.6864
1/15/2021 RIYAL 101.0236 101.1568 101.2901
1/15/2021 SOUTH AFRICAN RAND 24.8724 24.9052 24.938

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Naira

Naira Drops to N394.67 Against US Dollar on I&E FX Window

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Naira Dollar Exchange Rate

Naira Drops to N394.67 Against US Dollar on I&E FX Window

Economic uncertainties amid the rising number of COVID-19 continues to weigh on the Nigerian Naira across key foreign exchange markets.

The Nigerian Naira depreciated against the United States Dollar on the Investors and Exporters (I&E) Foreign Exchange Window on Thursday.

The local currency depreciated by 0.34 percent to N394.67 per US Dollar, down from N392.69 it opened the day.

On Thursday, investors exchanged $215.63 million on the I&E window.

Despite efforts to ease forex scarcity with $20 billion diaspora remittance, the Naira continued to fall against global counterparts due to weak remittance inflows from developed nations.

Like other nationalities, Nigerians in the diaspora are struggling with lockdowns, surged in the unemployment rate and the drop in global earnings.

Also, weak foreign reserves amid rising debt servicing and other expenditures are hurting the central bank’s ability to intervene effectively across the foreign exchange markets as usual.

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Forex

Stanbic IBTC Shut Down Bureau De Change Business

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stanbic IBTC Insurance

Stanbic IBTC Shut Down Bureau De Change Business

Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc has shut down its bureau de change subsidiary, Stanbic IBTC Bureau De Change Limited (Stanbic IBTC BDC) due to the change in foreign exchange inflow policy.

It should be recalled that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) adjusted the policy of diaspora remittance inflow to stimulate growth and ease forex scarcity across the nation.

Therefore, Stanbic IBTC said the decision to discontinue its bureau de change operations was because of the recent changes in diaspora inflow that now affords customers the opportunity of purchasing foreign exchange (PTA and BTA) directly from Stanbic IBTC Bank at any of its branches nationwide.

In a statement signed by Chidi Okezie, Company Secretary, Stanbic IBTC, said the bureau de change business was discontinued effective from 01 January 2021 through relinquishing of its operating license.

The intention is to repurpose this subsidiary for other business ventures in the near future, and stakeholders would be duly notified when all engagements have been concluded in this regard,” it stated.

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