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FG Slashes 2017 Independent Revenue by N298bn

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  • FG Slashes 2017 Independent Revenue by N298bn

The harsh economic climate, which has resulted in the slowdown of business activities, may have forced the Federal Government to reduce its projected independent revenue from N1.5tn in 2016 to N1.2tn.

Independent revenues of government are funds generated by agencies as captured by the Fiscal Responsibility Act of 2007, which stipulates that any government agency that generates revenue must remit 80 per cent of their operating surplus to the Consolidated Revenue Fund account.

Some of these agencies are the Central Bank of Nigeria, Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation, Securities and Exchange Commission, Nigerian Shippers Council, Nigerian Export Promotion Council, National Health Insurance Scheme, Nigerian Civil Aviation Authority, and Nigerian Communication Commission.

The reduction is part of the proposals contained in the Medium Term Expenditure Framework and Fiscal Strategy Paper, which has been submitted by the executive to the National Assembly.

The MTEF, which is currently before the National Assembly and awaiting legislative approval, provides the basis for annual budget planning and consists of a macroeconomic framework that indicates fiscal targets, estimates, revenues and expenditure, including government financial obligations in the medium term.

The document, prepared by the Ministry of Budget and National Planning, also sets out the underlying assumptions for these projections; provide an evaluation and analysis of the previous budget; and present an overview of consolidated debt and potential fiscal risks.

In the document, a copy of which was obtained by our correspondent in Abuja, the Federal Government said the current economic realities had necessitated a downward review of the independent government revenue.

It listed some of the factors that might affect revenue projections in the 2017 fiscal period as slowdown of economic activities, which would affect tax revenue; insurgency in the North-East; lags in fiscal spending; the issue of climate change, which would affect revenue based on agricultural productivity.

The document read in part, “Government recognises the potential implications of a strong non-oil revenue drive and is, therefore, working to ensure proper coordination of its policies in a manner that will not be counterproductive or distort medium-term fiscal projection.

“Slowdown in economic activities as well as insurgency in parts of the North-East remains potential risks to non-oil revenue. While insurgency contributes to the moderation of taxable activities around the region, lags in fiscal spending in critical economic sectors resulting from shortfalls may drag activities in the real sector with implications for government tax revenues as well as social welfare.

“There are also concerns about climate change effects on rainfall, and consequently, on agricultural productivity with spillover effects on food imports, forex demand and current account balances.

“Proactive flood and drought risk assessment, prevention and control measures as well as other potential damage-mitigation measures are being deployed in order to effectively curb the risks of drastic weather changes in the medium term.”

To guard against an unrealistic budget framework, the report explained that revenue projections had been carefully determined, factoring the developments in the international oil market, actual non-oil revenue performances, domestic oil sector developments and reforms.

The Minister of Finance, Mrs. Kemi Adeosun, had stated that the Federal Government would reduce the level of revenue leakages by making the revenue generating agencies more efficient.

She said a circular had been issued on the approved template for the computation of operating surpluses of revenue generating agencies.

She said henceforth, the ministry would not allow any revenue generating agency to incur what she described as “non-allowable expenses in the computation of operating surpluses.”

These non-allowable expenses, according to her, are salary and staff loans in excess of approved scale by National Salaries, Incomes and Wages Commission; monetisation of medical and other allowances; expenditure in excess of approved limit; and donations to individuals, political and charitable organisations.

The minister said the agencies had also been mandated to disclose additional information in their financial statements such as expenses incurred on behalf of supervisory or regulatory agencies.

Others are salaries and allowances paid to board of directors, governing council and commissions outside the approved amount; donations, sponsorships and gifts given or transferred to staff or board members.

She put the total independent revenues generated between January and October 2016 at N272.03bn out of the projected N1.5tn, adding that the government planned to increase this to N811.03bn.

She said as part of the measures to check revenue leakage, a new financing model would also be instituted for universities and hospitals.

This, she noted, would take into consideration their funding model and requirement for better control and improved service delivery.

Adeosun added that a circular on the inclusion of 92 additional corporations, agencies and government owned-companies to the schedule of the Fiscal Responsibility Act had been issued.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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