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Stocks Appreciate Marginally, AXA Mansard, UPDC Top Losers

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Stocks Appreciate Marginally, AXA Mansard, UPDC Top Losers

The Nigerian equity market traded relatively flat on Wednesday (the last trading day of the month), with AXA Mansard Insurance Plc, UACN Property Development Company Plc and Nascon Allied Industries Plc emerging as the top three losers.

The Nigerian Stock Exchange market capitalisation rose to N8.689tn from N8.686tn, while the All-Share Index closed at 25,241.63 basis points from 25,233.42 basis points.

The NSE ASI rose by three basis points as bargain hunters snap up beaten-down stocks. Nonetheless, the ASI ended the lackluster month in the red, posting a negative month-to-date return of 7.3 per cent – the worst performance since January.

A total of 414.155 million shares valued at N3.418bn were traded in 2,567 deals.

The oil and gas sector led advances after Mobil Oil Nigeria Plc closed limit up for the second consecutive session, riding on positive sentiment on deal valuation of ExxonMobil’s proposed sale of 60 per cent stake to Nipco, as well as gains in Oando Plc and Total Nigeria Plc by 4.99 per cent and 1.59 per cent, respectively.

The financial services and consumer goods sectors also closed in positive territory following gains across Guaranty Trust Bank Plc, Stanbic IBTC Holdings Plc, Zenith Bank Plc, Cadbury Nigeria Plc and Nigerian Breweries Plc by 3.9 per cent, 3.88 per cent, 2.07 per cent10.15 per cent and 1.4 per cent, accordingly.

However, the industrial goods sector underperformed yet again, dragged down by a 2.53 per cent loss in Dangote Cement Plc.

Market breadth turned even with 20 advances and 20 declines.

On what would shape the next trading session, analysts at Vetiva Capital Management Limited, in the firm’s daily market report, said, “We expect the mixed trading pattern to persist in coming sessions as investors continue to pick up battered bellwethers.”

On the global front, Asian markets (which closed earlier) were mixed amidst an overnight decline in oil prices ahead of Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries’ meeting. However, European and the United States markets were higher following a jump in oil prices as OPEC agreed its first cut (1.2 million barrels per day) on oil output since 2008.

Meanwhile, the interbank call rate moderated 58 basis point to 10 per cent amid a relatively unchanged liquidity system.

At the foreign exchange interbank market, the naira appreciated N0.25 against the dollar at the Central Bank of Nigeria spot market to close at N305 at the CBN forex spot market while the one year forward rate remained unchanged at N349.

With no Open Market Operations announcement in Wednesday’s session, buying momentum resurfaced in the Treasury bills market with yields declining 37 basis points on the average particularly across the short to mid-dated maturities.

Specifically, yields on the 15 day-to-maturity, 36DTM and 113DTM bills declined to 10.01 per cent, 10.05 per cent, and 15.83 per cent, respectively.

However, trading remained bearish in the bond market as yields on benchmark bonds rose by four basis points on the average.

Sell offs were most apparent on the long end of the space with yields on the 12.1493 per cent FGN July 2034 and 12.40 per cent FGN March 2036 bonds rising seven basis points and three basis points to close at 15.94 per cent and 16.06 per cent,respectively.

Notwithstanding the improvement in buying momentum, analysts expect Thursday’s market activity to be guided by the yet-to-be-released results of the Primary Market Auction held yesterday (Wednesday). In addition, they expect bearish sentiment to persist in the bond market.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Energy

Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Overtakes European Giants in Capacity, Bloomberg Reports

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Aliko Dangote - Investors King

The Dangote Refinery has surpassed some of Europe’s largest refineries in terms of capacity, according to a recent report by Bloomberg.

The $20 billion Dangote refinery, located in Lagos, boasts a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels of petroleum products per day, positioning it as a formidable player in the global refining industry.

Bloomberg’s data highlighted that the Dangote refinery’s capacity exceeds that of Shell’s Pernis refinery in the Netherlands by over 246,000 barrels per day. Making Dangote’s facility a significant contender in the refining industry.

The report also underscored the scale of Dangote’s refinery compared to other prominent European refineries.

For instance, the TotalEnergies Antwerp refining facility in Belgium can refine 338,000 barrels per day, while the GOI Energy ISAB refinery in Italy was built with a refining capacity of 360,000 barrels per day.

Describing the Dangote refinery as a ‘game changer,’ Bloomberg emphasized its strategic advantage of leveraging cheaper U.S. oil imports for a substantial portion of its feedstock.

Analysts anticipate that the refinery’s operations will have a transformative impact on Nigeria’s fuel market and the broader region.

The refinery has already commenced shipping products in recent weeks while preparing to ramp up petrol output.

Analysts predict that Dangote’s refinery will influence Atlantic Basin gasoline markets and significantly alter the dynamics of the petroleum trade in West Africa.

Reuters recently reported that the Dangote refinery has the potential to disrupt the decades-long petrol trade from Europe to Africa, worth an estimated $17 billion annually.

With a configured capacity to produce up to 53 million liters of petrol per day, the refinery is poised to meet a significant portion of Nigeria’s fuel demand and reduce the country’s dependence on imported petroleum products.

Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man and the visionary behind the refinery, has demonstrated his commitment to revolutionizing Nigeria’s energy landscape. As the Dangote refinery continues to scale up its operations, it is poised to not only bolster Nigeria’s energy security but also emerge as a key player in the global refining industry.

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Crude Oil

Brent Crude Hits $88.42, WTI Climbs to $83.36 on Dollar Index Dip

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Brent crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices surged as Brent crude oil appreciated to $88.42 a barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude climbed to $83.36 a barrel.

The uptick in prices comes as the U.S. dollar index dipped to its lowest level in over a week, prompting investors to shift their focus from geopolitical tensions to global economic conditions.

The weakening of the U.S. dollar, a key factor influencing oil prices, provided a boost to dollar-denominated commodities like oil. As the dollar index fell, demand for oil from investors holding other currencies increased, leading to the rise in prices.

Investors also found support in euro zone data indicating a robust expansion in business activity, with April witnessing the fastest pace of growth in nearly a year.

Andrew Lipow, president of Lipow Oil Associates, noted that the market had been under pressure due to sluggish growth in the euro zone, making any signs of improvement supportive for oil prices.

Market participants are increasingly looking beyond geopolitical tensions and focusing on economic indicators and supply-and-demand dynamics.

Despite initial concerns regarding tensions between Israel and Iran and uncertainties surrounding China’s economic performance, the market sentiment remained optimistic, buoyed by expectations of steady oil demand.

Analysts anticipate the release of key economic data later in the week, including U.S. first-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) figures and March’s personal consumption expenditures, which serve as the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge.

These data points are expected to provide further insights into the health of the economy and potentially impact oil prices.

Also, anticipation builds around the release of U.S. crude oil inventory data by the Energy Information Administration, scheduled for Wednesday.

Preliminary reports suggest an increase in crude oil inventories alongside a decrease in refined product stockpiles, reflecting ongoing dynamics in the oil market.

As oil prices continue their upward trajectory, investors remain vigilant, monitoring economic indicators and geopolitical developments for further cues on the future direction of the market.

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