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Experts Fault in planned $15b Rail Projects

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Rail
  • Experts Fault in planned $15b Rail Projects

Experts in the transport sector yesterday faulted the $15 billion planned railway projects by the Federal Government and some state governments, saying they lacked participatory and development indices.

For them, the projects’ sustainability can only be assured if Nigerians are allowed to properly participate in the execution phase, which will lead to manpower and local content development.

Speaking yesterday in Lagos at the first international rail conference organised by Planet Projects Limited, the experts raised the alarm that previous projects failed due to the aforementioned pitfalls, while Nigerians continue to miss out on huge opportunities in the sector.

Ogun State governor, Ibikunle Amosun, however, unveiled the Ogun Light Rail Project, a project he said would rev up its current $20 billion Gross Domestic Product to $100 billion in a space of 10 years.Already, the phase one of the project, according to Amosun, was being planned for delivery and commissioning within quarter one, 2019.

Addressing the theme of the conference, ‘Nigeria’s Railway Industry – Moving from the 19th to 21th Century: Challenges and Opportunities’, Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi, said the current administration would follow the vision of the 25-year railway master plan to overhaul the system.

Nigeria is regarded as one of the only countries with about 200 million people and is estimated to become the third largest country in the world by 2050, but lacks an efficient transportation system.

Amaechi said the current transformation in the sector would open up rail transportation in the country and create a level playing ground for investors, adding that government ha approved a programme that would allow Nigerians participate in the development and create knowledge sharing and apprenticeship platform to tackle necessary challenges.

But Managing Director, Planet Project, Abiodun Otunola, insisted that though the sector was worth over $100 billion and could drastically solve the unemployment challenge in the country, Nigerians were not being carried along to take opportunities the sector presents. “Everybody talks about power, but the poor transportation accounts for 30 per cent increase in cost of goods,” he said.

This, he noted, had eaten deep into the purchasing power of the average Nigerian and consumed huge man-hours, as Lagosians spend three out of every 10 years in traffic.Amosun added that one of the strategic ways the state has identified for growing its GDP to $100 billion was through the provision of an inter-city rail network.

The network, which is expected to be about 332 kilometres, will connect Agbara to Berger, Ogere to Sagamu, Berger and Ojota, while another phase will connect Abeokuta to Sagamu and Ijebu-Ode, Ijoko, Ifo and Abeokuta, and another line from Ijoko to Sagamu down to Ijebu-ode.

“I am happy that everybody has realised that there is only one way to go. Look at the population of Nigeria, but there is only about 40,000 kilometers of railway. We are happy that the Federal Government has started something, but this is not the first time we have seen initiatives like this. We only pray that they follow through,” he said.

He said the first phase of 102.3 kilometres would connect the state capital to Sagamu and Ogere to Berger, to address the traffic situation along the Lagos-Ibadan expressway, which has annual average daily traffic of about 40,000 and over two million worshipers monthly.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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