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FBN Holdings Maintains Stability

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FBN Holdings - Investors King
  • FBN Holdings Maintains Stability

The stock market was last week awash with financial results for the nine months ended September 30, 2016. FBN Holdings Plc was among the companies that submitted their results. In line with expectations of that the challenging operating environment would impact negatively on most companies, some recorded outright losses, while others ended the period with improved bottom-lines. Although FBN Holdings recorded a marginal decline in profit before tax (PBT), it recorded growth in revenue, indicating stability in its performance.

Financial performance

FBN Holdings posted gross earnings of N417.3 billion, up by 7.0 per cent from N390 billion in 2015. Net-interest income improved by 5.2percent to N202.9 billion, from N192.9 billion in 2015, driven by a 38.4 per cent reduction in interest expense on customers’ deposits to N56.7 billion.

Non-interest income increased by 56.5 per cent to N131.0 billion, up from N83.7 billion. The increase in non-interest income was driven largely by the foreign exchange translation gain as well as fees and commission income. Foreign exchange income in the period increased to N68.4 billion, from N22.5 billion.

However, net impairment charge on credit losses came up to N114.7 billion, up from N46.6 billion, resulting from incremental provisions from oil and gas sector. Other sectors include construction, transport, general commerce and information services sectors. Consequently, cost of risk increased to 6.9 per cent as against 3.0 per cent), while Non-performing loan (NPL) ratio increased to 24.9 per cent, largely driven by the translation effect of the Naira devaluation.

As a result, the company ended the period with a profit after tax of N42.5 billion, showing a decrease of 15 per cent from N50.2 billion in 2015.

Commenting on the results, the Group Managing Director of FBN Holdings Plc, UK Eke said: “FBN Holdings’ performance has again demonstrated its underlying resilience despite the ongoing macroeconomic and business challenges with gross earnings and profit before tax closing at N417.3 billion and N57.5 billion respectively. This has been achieved through sustained revenue generation as well as increased cost efficiencies.

Although the current currency weakness is a challenge for our remedial process, we are steadfastly progressing on improving the overall risk management culture, governance and technology as well as the degree of compliance across the group. The Group remains committed to ensuring sustained improvement in our performance with a view to restoring shareholder value.”

Declined Opex

A further analysis of the results showed that operating expenses declined by 5.1 per cent to N161.8 billion, from N170.4 billion following broad range declines in: advert and corporate promotions, operational and other losses, maintenance, and regulatory cost.

The decline in operating expenses was, however, largely offset by staff costs (+4.6%, N2.9 billion) to N65.4 billion and to a lesser extent a 46.9 per cent increase in net insurance claims to N2.9 billion following the crystalisation of some operational risks in the ordinary course of business.

“Taking into consideration the current high inflation environment, a 5.1 per cent overall reduction in operating expenses is a testament to our commitment to drive cost efficiencies and instill operational excellence across our businesses,” the bank said.

Improved Cost-to-income ratio

Following strong operating income growth and a sustained decline in operating expenses, FBN Holdings cost-to-income ratio improved to 48.4 per cent, from 61.6 per cent.

“We remain steadfast in achieving further efficiency gains as we consolidate our two-pronged objectives of efficiency and revenue optimisation. We have realised the current improvement largely by entrenching budget discipline, deployment of shared services framework, staff rationalisation and other cost containment measures of the Group. There is scope for further progress as we continue to push ahead with a clear operational efficiency program including implementation of the enterprise resource planning/risk management project,” the bank explained.

Oil/Gas Provisions Drive Impairment

The major jump in then net impairment charge on credit losses from N46.6 billion to N114.7 billion resulted from incremental provisions from oil and gas sector. Other sectors include construction, transport, general commerce and information services sectors. Consequently, Cost of risk increased to 6.9 per cent from 3.0 per cent), while NPL ratio increased to 24.9 per cent, largely driven by the translation effect of the Naira devaluation. According to the bank, it remains focused on remediation and recovery activities towards declassifying non-performing accounts and driving asset quality improvements.

Growth in Deposits, Loans

FBN Holdings total customer deposits rose by 10.9 per cent to N3.3 trillion, up from N2.97 trillion). The bank said it is focusing on ensuring an appropriate deposit mix at the optimum price.

“Low-cost deposits now represent 69.1 per cent of the group’s total deposits, up from 67.3 per cent as at December 2015. Deposit growth was essentially driven by a 41.8 per cent and a 9.4 per cent increase in domiciliary and savings deposits respectively,” it said.

Demonstrating the strength of its franchise and ability to continually attract a well-diversified and sustainable funding base, retail banking deposits within FirstBank (Nigeria) remain strong at 69.5 per cent of total deposits, up from 67.7 per cent as at December 31, 2015 as deposits in other business lines grew stronger.

Similarly, the bank’s total and advances to customers (net) increased by 21.6 per cent to N2.2 trillion, from N1.82 trillion as at December 2015. However, the loan growth was driven largely by the translation effect of the Naira devaluation.

“Due to the impact of the currency devaluation, foreign currency (FCY) loans, as at nine months 2016 now constitute 51.8 per cent of the loan portfolio as against 44.7 per cent as at December 2015. The oil and gas sector accounts for 43.1 per cent of the loan portfolio with oil upstream accounting for 21.9 per cent, while downstream and services are 13.9 per cent and 7.3 per cent respectively,” the bank said.

FBN Holdings said concerted efforts are being made on reducing the FCY net portfolio in dollar terms.

“The matured foreign currency forwards reduced some of the FCY exposure. In dollar terms, the foreign currency net loans portfolio in First Bank (Nigeria) declined by about $319 million. We are also focusing on converting some of the FCY exposures, to curtail the technical growth and its attendant impact of the loan portfolio. A total of $85 million have been converted to Naira. Our priorities remain non-oil trades, short-cycle and self-liquidating transactions with preference in the retail and consumer lending sector in order to optimise portfolio mix, enhance portfolio yield, improve asset quality and enhance capital,” the bank said.

Jump in total assets

FBN Holdings total assets increased by 21.6 per cent to N5.1 trillion, up from N4.2 trillion driven by: increase in loans to banks and customers as well as growth in investment securities. Loans to banks and customers grew by 69.0 per cent and 21.6 per cent to N652.0 billion and N2.2 trillion respectively, while investment securities were up by 25.9 per cent to N1.2 trillion, up from N970.2 billion as at December 31, 2015. Total interest earning assets grew by 28.6 per cent to N4.1 trillion from N3.2 trillion, representing 80.6 per cent of total assets, compared with 76.2 per cent as at December 31, 2015.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Commodities

Cocoa Fever Sweeps Market: Prices Set to Break $15,000 per Ton Barrier

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Cocoa

The cocoa market is experiencing an unprecedented surge with prices poised to shatter the $15,000 per ton barrier.

The cocoa industry, already reeling from supply shortages and production declines in key regions, is now facing a frenzy of speculative trading and bullish forecasts.

At the recent World Cocoa Conference in Brussels, nine traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expressed unanimous confidence in the continuation of the cocoa rally.

According to their predictions, New York futures could trade above $15,000 a ton before the year’s end, marking yet another milestone in the relentless ascent of cocoa prices.

The surge in cocoa prices has been fueled by a perfect storm of factors, including production declines in Ivory Coast and Ghana, the world’s largest cocoa producers.

Shortages of cocoa beans have left buyers scrambling for supplies and willing to pay exorbitant premiums, exacerbating the market tightness.

To cope with the supply crunch, Ivory Coast and Ghana have resorted to rolling over contracts totaling around 400,000 tons of cocoa, further exacerbating the scarcity.

Traders are increasingly turning to cocoa stocks held in exchanges in London and New York, despite concerns about their quality, as the shortage of high-quality beans intensifies.

Northon Coimbrao, director of sourcing at chocolatier Natra, noted that quality considerations have taken a backseat for most processors amid the supply crunch, leading them to accept cocoa from exchanges despite its perceived inferiority.

This shift in dynamics is expected to further deplete stocks and provide additional support to cocoa prices.

The cocoa rally has already seen prices surge by about 160% this year, nearing the $12,000 per ton mark in New York.

This meteoric rise has put significant pressure on traders and chocolate makers, who are grappling with rising margin calls and higher bean prices in the physical market.

Despite the challenges posed by soaring cocoa prices, stakeholders across the value chain have demonstrated a willingness to absorb the cost increases.

Jutta Urpilainen, European Commissioner for International Partnerships, noted that the market has been able to pass on price increases from chocolate makers to consumers, highlighting the resilience of the cocoa industry.

However, concerns linger about the eventual impact of the price surge on consumers, with some chocolate makers still covered for supplies.

According to Steve Wateridge, head of research at Tropical Research Services, the full effects of the price increase may take six months to a year to materialize, posing a potential future challenge for consumers.

As the cocoa market continues to navigate uncharted territory all eyes remain on the unfolding developments, with traders, analysts, and industry stakeholders bracing for further volatility and potential record-breaking price levels in the days ahead.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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Energy

Nigeria’s Dangote Refinery Overtakes European Giants in Capacity, Bloomberg Reports

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Aliko Dangote - Investors King

The Dangote Refinery has surpassed some of Europe’s largest refineries in terms of capacity, according to a recent report by Bloomberg.

The $20 billion Dangote refinery, located in Lagos, boasts a refining capacity of 650,000 barrels of petroleum products per day, positioning it as a formidable player in the global refining industry.

Bloomberg’s data highlighted that the Dangote refinery’s capacity exceeds that of Shell’s Pernis refinery in the Netherlands by over 246,000 barrels per day. Making Dangote’s facility a significant contender in the refining industry.

The report also underscored the scale of Dangote’s refinery compared to other prominent European refineries.

For instance, the TotalEnergies Antwerp refining facility in Belgium can refine 338,000 barrels per day, while the GOI Energy ISAB refinery in Italy was built with a refining capacity of 360,000 barrels per day.

Describing the Dangote refinery as a ‘game changer,’ Bloomberg emphasized its strategic advantage of leveraging cheaper U.S. oil imports for a substantial portion of its feedstock.

Analysts anticipate that the refinery’s operations will have a transformative impact on Nigeria’s fuel market and the broader region.

The refinery has already commenced shipping products in recent weeks while preparing to ramp up petrol output.

Analysts predict that Dangote’s refinery will influence Atlantic Basin gasoline markets and significantly alter the dynamics of the petroleum trade in West Africa.

Reuters recently reported that the Dangote refinery has the potential to disrupt the decades-long petrol trade from Europe to Africa, worth an estimated $17 billion annually.

With a configured capacity to produce up to 53 million liters of petrol per day, the refinery is poised to meet a significant portion of Nigeria’s fuel demand and reduce the country’s dependence on imported petroleum products.

Aliko Dangote, Africa’s richest man and the visionary behind the refinery, has demonstrated his commitment to revolutionizing Nigeria’s energy landscape. As the Dangote refinery continues to scale up its operations, it is poised to not only bolster Nigeria’s energy security but also emerge as a key player in the global refining industry.

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