Forex

US Dollar on Yellen’s Hawkish View

Published

8 years ago

August 29, 2016

The US dollar snapped two week losing streak on Friday after Fed Chair Janet Yellen said the case for a rate hike is getting stronger. This was after data showed durable goods ordered in July jumped 4.4 percent from previously declining 3.9 percent in June and that new home sales rose 654,000 from 582,000 recorded in the preceding month, while preliminary GDP climbed 1.1 percent as predicted by economists.

All these fundamental couple with continuous improvement from both the labor market and consumer spending will form the basis for rate decision in the remaining half of the year. Nevertheless, I don’t see this happening this September because of slow productivity and high global savings, which will likely limit capital inflow needed to complement high cost of servicing loans and bank rolling capital projects needed to sustain earnings, consumer spending etc. Hence, this current bullish view might be short lived.

However, there is an opportunity for EURUSD sellers this week. Since July 2nd when I first mentioned this pair here. It has repeatedly failed to cross the ascending channel started in March this year. Last week, the pair closed below 1.1233 support, and opened this week below 20-day moving average. This for me, partially confirmed the impending bearish move, but my final confirmation was the statement of the Bank of Japan Governor, Haruhiko Kuroda, that the institution is ready to approve more quantitative easing or even lower negative interest rates without hesitation, this I believe will hurt the attractiveness of the yen as a safe haven and increase the demand for the greenback henceforth.

Click to enlarge

Therefore, I remain bearish on EURUSD with 1.0821 as the target.

Up Next

Dollar Climbs, Commodities Decline as Traders Assess Fed Timing

Don't Miss

Naira Hits Record Low of 414 a Dollar

Samed Olukoya

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Comments

Naira

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today 14th May 2024

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of May 14th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,520.

Published

18 hours ago

May 14, 2024

Samed Olukoya

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of May 14th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,520.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ₦1,500 and sold it at ₦1,480 on Monday, May 13th, 2024.

This indicates a decline in the Naira exchange rate compared to the current rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in the black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

Buying Rate: ₦1,500
Selling Rate: ₦1,480

As economic conditions continue to evolve, staying informed about currency exchange rates empowers individuals to make informed financial decisions. While the black market provides immediate insights, adherence to regulatory guidelines ensures stability and transparency in forex transactions.

Naira

Black Market Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today 13th May 2024

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of May 13th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,500.

Published

2 days ago

May 13, 2024

Samed Olukoya

The black market, also known as the parallel market or Aboki fx, US dollar to Nigerian Naira exchange rate as of May 13th, 2024 stood at 1 USD to ₦1,500.

Recent data from Bureau De Change (BDC) reveals that buyers in the Lagos Parallel Market purchased a dollar for ₦1,470 and sold it at ₦1,460 on Friday, May 10th, 2024.

This indicates a decline in the Naira exchange rate compared to the current rate.

The black market rate plays a crucial role for investors and participants, offering a real-time reflection of currency dynamics outside official or regulated exchange channels.

Monitoring these rates provides insights into the immediate value of the Naira against the dollar, guiding decision-making processes for individuals and businesses alike.

It’s important to note that while the black market offers valuable insights, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not officially recognize its existence.

The CBN advises individuals engaging in forex transactions to utilize official banking channels, emphasizing the importance of compliance with regulatory frameworks.

How much is dollar to naira today in the black market

For those navigating the currency exchange landscape, here are the latest figures for the black market exchange rate:

Buying Rate: ₦1,500
Selling Rate: ₦1,480

Forex

Zimbabwe Implements Strict Rules: $14,782 Fine for Violating Official Exchange Rate

Published

5 days ago

May 10, 2024

Samed Olukoya

Zimbabwe, in a bid to stabilize its currency and clamp down on black-market trading, has introduced stringent regulations to penalize individuals and companies found violating the official exchange rate of its new currency, the ZiG.

Under the new rules announced by Finance Minister Mthuli Ncube, offenders will face a hefty fine of 200,000 ZiG or $14,782.

The move comes as the government seeks to enforce the sole use of the official exchange rate, which is determined daily by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe.

The decision to impose such a significant penalty underscores the seriousness with which Zimbabwean authorities are approaching the issue of currency stability.

By cracking down on those who flout the official exchange rate, the government aims to curb the proliferation of parallel markets and ensure the orderly functioning of the economy.

Previously, retailers were required to price their goods within 10% of the official exchange rate to prevent excessive profiteering.

However, this regulation has now been scrapped as it was deemed ineffective in curbing informal trading and maintaining the value of the currency.

The ZiG, introduced on April 5 as a successor to the Zimbabwean dollar, represents the country’s sixth attempt to establish a stable local currency.

Backed by 2.5 tons of gold and approximately $100 million in foreign currency reserves held by the central bank, the ZiG is intended to restore confidence in the nation’s monetary system.

Despite these efforts, the ZiG has faced challenges since its launch, including fluctuations in its value against major currencies.

Trading at 13.53 to the dollar as of Thursday, the currency experienced a record low of 13.67 to the dollar earlier in the week, highlighting the volatility inherent in Zimbabwe’s currency market.

The introduction of strict penalties for violating the official exchange rate reflects Zimbabwe’s determination to maintain control over its currency and stabilize its economy.

However, it remains to be seen how effective these measures will be in addressing the underlying issues contributing to currency instability and informal trading in the country.