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Dollar Snaps Three-Day Slide on Higher Rate-Increase Probability

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DOLLAR CURRENCY

A gauge of the dollar snapped a three-day slide after two Federal Reserve officials suggested markets were underestimating the likelihood of increases in U.S. interest rates.

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index halted declines near the weakest level in more than three months as the probability the Federal Reserve will boost interest rates by December rose past 50 percent for the first time since June 23, when the U.K. voted to leave the European Union in June. New York Fed President William Dudley and Atlanta Fed President Dennis Lockhart indicated the central bank could potentially raise rates as soon as next month.

“While Dudley was at least able to stem the bleeding for the dollar index, price action is not encouraging for the dollar near term,” said Sean Callow, a senior foreign-exchange strategist at Westpac Banking Corp. in Sydney. “Still, so long as a rate hike seems more likely than not as the Fed’s next move, we wouldn’t get super bearish on the dollar.”

The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index, which measures the U.S. currency against 10 peers, was little changed as of 9:12 a.m. in Tokyo, following a three-day 1 percent slide. The measure reached its lowest level since May 3 on Tuesday.

The dollar gained 0.1 percent to 100.45 yen and was steady at $1.1277 per euro.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Dollar

U.S. Dollar Pulls Back on Thursday After Hitting a 20-Year High

The United States Dollar pulled back slightly on Thursday after hitting a 20-year high on the back of rising interest rates and global demand for haven currencies.

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U.S dollar - Investors King

The United States Dollar pulled back slightly on Thursday after hitting a 20-year high on the back of rising interest rates and global demand for haven currencies.

The dollar index rose to 107.05 in the previous session, the highest in 20 years before pulling back to 106.57 at 11:07 am Nigerian time.

Against the Euro common currency, the U.S. Dollar gave back some of its gains on Thursday to trade at 1.0213, up from 1.0173 attained after dropping below 1.0350 support levels.

Similarly, the greenback pared gains against the British Pound to 1.2009 despite over 40 British lawmakers resigning their positions and calling for the resignation of Prime Minister Boris Johnson enmeshed in a series of scandals.

The value of the United States Dollar rose in recent weeks after it became clear that the Federal Reserve won’t be halting its rate increase anytime soon. The surge in demand for the United States Dollar was to avoid paying excessive borrowing costs going forward and also to ensure cash availability going into recession, known cash is king.

The Federal Reserve is expected to raise borrowing costs by another 50 basis points to 75 basis points in the month of July as it continues to battle 40 years high inflation rate of 8.6%.

This persistent increase in borrowing costs is expected to weigh on new job creation, new investment, earnings, and subsequently, drag on consumer spending that over the years has sustained the world’s largest economy.

Overseas orders will start waning American goods become more expensive to holders of foreign currencies. This, Investors King predicted would hurt manufacturing activity.

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Pound

British Pound Extends Decline as 44 British Lawmakers Resigns

British Pound sustained its decline against the United States Dollar and other global counterparts on Wednesday after five additional British lawmakers resigned their positions in protest against a series of scandals rocking the House of Commons in recent weeks.

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British pound

British Pound sustained its decline against the United States Dollar and other global counterparts on Wednesday after five additional British lawmakers resigned their positions in protest against a series of scandals rocking the House of Commons in recent weeks.

A total of 44 British lawmakers have resigned under Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s leadership, accusing the Prime Minister of engaging in or condoning actions that put parliament moral in question.

Against the American Dollar, Great Britain Pounds (GBP) dropped from 1.2164 it peaked on Monday to 1.1934 in the early hours of Thursday.

While against the Japanese Yen, one of the world’s safe-haven currencies, GBP exchanged at 162.02, down from 165.26 it traded on Tuesday.

The decline was broad-based as the embattled GBP also lost some ground against the Swiss Franc to exchange at 1.1568, down from about 1.1687 on Tuesday.

On Wednesday,  five lawmakers signed in one go. In their letter, they said “It has become increasingly clear that the Government cannot function given the issues that have come to light and the way in which they have been handled,” they wrote.

Selaine Saxby, Claire Coutinho and David Johnston were the latest lawmakers to tender their resignation on Wednesday.

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Naira

Naira Plunges to N621 at Black Market

The Nigerian Naira remained under pressure at the unregulated parallel market popularly known as the black market on Tuesday.

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Naira - Investors King

The Nigerian Naira remained under pressure at the unregulated parallel market popularly known as the black market on Tuesday. The Naira exchanged at N621 to a United States Dollar amid persistent foreign exchange scarcity.

At the Investors and Exporters’ forex window, the local currency dropped to N425.75 against the United States Dollar after opening the day at N422.25/US$1 on Monday. Forex traders in that segment of the forex market transacted $47.56 million in value and volume, Investors King reports.

However, Naira improved slightly against the U.S Dollar at the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) forex section. Naira exchange rate to dollar improved marginally from N415.86/US$ to N415.8.

Against the Pounds Sterling, the Nigerian Naira declined in value to N505.6544 from N500.6539. Similarly, against the European common currency, the local currency dipped slightly in value from N434.0331 to N434.7605.

Crude Oil

Oil prices dropped by $6 on Tuesday as concerns over the global recession containing demand outweighed supply concerns.

Brent crude oil, the international benchmark for Nigerian oil, declined by $6.65 to $106.85 a barrel while the U.S. West Texas Crude Oil lost $5.65 to $102.78 a barrel.

“Oil is still struggling to break out from its current recessionary malaise as the market pivots away from inflation to economic despair,” Stephen Innes of SPI Asset Management wrote.

Crude oil remains an important commodity for the Nigerian economy given its nature as a mono-product economy. Africa’s largest economy relies on crude oil revenue to service its economy and sustain its currency value against its global counterparts.

However, the inability to prop up crude oil production despite the increase in oil prices continued to hurt Nigeria’s foreign reserves and the availability of dollars in the economy. Hence, the Nigerian Naira is presently trading at a record low of N621 to a United States Dollar.

Cryptocurrency Exchange Rates

Global economic uncertainty ahead of the projected recession continues to dictate the performance of the cryptocurrency space in recent weeks.

Bitcoin extended its decline by 2.37% in the last 24 hours to $19,387.33 per coin. ETH, a token of the Ethereum protocol, lost 3.09% of its value to $1,079 a coin.

Meanwhile, Meta, formerly known as Facebook, has suspended its cryptocurrency project called Libra.  Celsius, a cryptocurrency lender, has paused withdrawals and announced plans to cut 150 jobs.

Cryptocurrency space market value dropped from over $2.5 trillion at its peak to about $900 million presently. The huge decline forced several players to cut losses and halt capital inflow into the cryptocurrency space.

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