Connect with us

Forex

Forex Weekly Outlook August 15 – 19

Published

on

Forex Weekly Outlook August 15 - 19

Forex Weekly Outlook August 15 – 19

The US dollar lost against most of its counterparts last week, even after the economy added 292,000 jobs in June and 255,000 in July. Most analysts attributed the weakness to worse than expected 1.2 percent GDP growth rate in the second quarter of the year, while some economists blamed it on surge in global risks and uncertainty surrounding Federal Reserve’s rate hike this year.

Either way, retail sales added to the dollar woes on Friday, plunging to a year low in July. Another sign that the consumer spending that has been supporting the US economy is waning as uncertainty increases. Although, unemployment claims came out better than expected and remains below 300,000 for the 75th consecutive weeks –yet consumer sentiment rose less than predicted.

But if July inflation rate and building permits came out positive on Tuesday, the US dollar will likely gain back part of its losses as investors are expected to respond positively because it would cast doubt on the validity of the retail sales figure in the long term. Also, it is good to note that the current market trend is largely being influenced by speculations, like we’ve seen in the Kiwi and Aussie dollar when market participants refused to price in the 25 basis points cut because according to them it was too small.

In New Zealand, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the official cash rate by 25 basis points from 2.5 percent to 2.0 percent, but the local currency rose to a year high, peaking at 73.37 cents to a US dollar as banks reportedly passed just 5 – 10 of the 25 basis points to customers and increased deposit rates for savers by 0.5 percent. Hurting monetary expansion by the central bank to pressure costs in order to boost weak inflation. However, economists and experts have said the central bank needs to lower rate by another 25 basis points to 1.75 percent before the current monetary policy will be effective.

Whereas, retail sales rose in the second quarter of the year by 2.3 percent, exceeding 1 percent expected by most economists and 1 percent recorded in the preceding quarter. This indicates that the economy (consumer spending) is picking up even with high foreign exchange rate and weak consumer prices, but the weak China’s data released on Friday weighed on the local currency, plunging it against the US dollar even after US retail sales came out below expectation. However, if the RBNZ decides to hold off on further stimulus to monitor current improvement, especially with the second quarter employment change, unemployment rate and producer price index due on Wednesday, current stimulus may eventually crystallize.

Last week, the pound remained the worst performing currency for a second week after the Bank of England restarted its stimulus program on Monday. The pound declined 1.2 percent to $1.2911 against the US dollar, and weakened 1.9 percent to 86.51 pence per euro. This week, I will be looking at two currency pairs USDCAD and AUDUSD.

USDCAD

Last week, the Canadian dollar gained with crude oil, following the comments of Saudi Arabia’s Energy Minister Kahlid al-Falih on Thursday that the oil rich nation is prepared to discuss how to stabilize oil prices at an informal OPEC meeting in September.

USDCADDaily

Click to enlarge

Since then, the Canadian dollar has gained 122 pips against the US dollar, and currently trading below 1.3033 resistance and upward trend line drawn two weeks ago. This week, as long as 1.3033 resistance holds, I am bearish on USDCAD with 1.2723 as the target. The data for Canada’s July manufacturing sales will be released on Tuesday, while inflation rate and retail sales are due on Friday.

AUDUSD

Two weeks ago I explained why I won’t be buying bullish Aussie dollar after the Reserve Bank of Australia expanded monetary policy. Last week, the currency climbed as high as 77.58 cents to a US dollar before retreating due to weak Chinese economic data, this week I think the weak Chinese data of Friday will likely reinforce sellers’ interest considering the 25 basis points cut is yet to be priced in and open up 0.7505 support, but first a break of 0.7588 is important for a bearish confirmation below the channel.

AUDUSDDaily

Click to enlarge

Australia’s monetary policy minutes is due on Tuesday, while both unemployment rate and employment change will be released on Thursday.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

Continue Reading
Comments

Forex

Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate For Today 1st February 2023

Published

on

Godwin Emefiele - Investors King

You can access the black market Dollar to Naira exchange rate for today, 1st February on Investors King.

This online business news platform has obtained the official dollar to naira exchange rate in Nigeria today including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC) rate, and CBN rates.

Note that the exchange rate changes hourly.… it depends on the volume of dollars available and the Demands. It means that…you can buy or sell 1 dollar at ₦745 and ₦750, and the price can change (high or low) within hours.

How Much Is Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate Today?

Dollar to naira exchange rate today black market (Aboki dollar rate):

Investors King understands that the exchange rate for a dollar to naira at Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market) players buy a dollar for N745 and sell at N750 as of the time of filing this report.

Exchange Rate of Dollar To Naira in Black Market Today?
Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) Black Market Exchange Rate Today
Buying Rate 745
Selling Rate 750

The local currency opened at N750.00 per $1 at the parallel market otherwise known as the black market today Wednesday, 1st February 2023, in Lagos Nigeria, after it closed at N755 per $1 on Tuesday, 31st January 2023.

Even though the dollar to naira opened in the parallel market at N750 per $1 today, Investors King reports that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not recognize the parallel market, otherwise known as the black market. The apex bank has therefore directed anyone who requires forex to approach their bank, insisting that the I&E window is the only known exchange.

Investors King reports that in the black market, the players buy a dollar for N745 and sell for N750 on Wednesday morning, February 1, 2023, after they purchased N752 and sold for N755 on Tuesday, 31st January 2023.

Meanwhile, Investors King reports that the USD started this week at ₦755 in Parallel Market also known as Black Market after it opened at  ₦757 last week Monday, January 23, 2023.

Factors Influencing Foreign Exchange Rates

Here are some of the causes of the dwindling dollar to naira exchange rate.

Inflation Rates: It is well known that inflation directly impacts black market exchange rates. If the Nigerian economy can be stabilized and inflation is controlled, the naira will benefit; however, if the naira continues to fall, it may indicate that food and other necessities are becoming more expensive daily.

Interest Rates: Another tool to keep an eye on is interest rates. If the interest rate at which banks lend money rises, it would harm the economy, causing it to contract and, as a result, the value of the naira to fall.

Government Debt: National debt can impact investor confidence and, as a result, the influx of funds into the economy. If inflows are high, the naira exchange rate will rise in favour of the naira.

Speculators: Speculators frequently impact the naira-to-dollar exchange rate. They stockpile money in anticipation of a gain, causing the naira to plummet even lower.

Conditions of Trade: Favorable trade terms will increase the value of the naira to the dollar, although Nigeria is currently experiencing a trade deficit. Everything comes from China, India, and the majority of Asian countries.

Continue Reading

Black Market Rate

Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate For Today 30th January 2023

Published

on

Naira Dollar Exchange Rate - Investors King

You can access the black market Dollar to Naira exchange rate for today, 30th January on Investors King.

This online business news platform has obtained the official dollar to naira exchange rate in Nigeria today including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC) rate, and CBN rates.

Note that the exchange rate changes hourly.… it depends on the volume of dollars available and the Demands. It means that…you can buy or sell 1 dollar at ₦752 and ₦755, and the price can change (high or low) within hours.

How Much Is Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate Today?

Dollar to naira exchange rate today black market (Aboki dollar rate):

Investors King understands that the exchange rate for a dollar to naira at Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market) players buy a dollar for N752 and sell at N755 as of the time of filing this report.

Exchange Rate of Dollar To Naira in Black Market Today?
Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) Black Market Exchange Rate Today
Buying Rate 752
Selling Rate 755

The local currency opened at N755.00 per $1 at the parallel market otherwise known as the black market today Monday, 30th January 2023, in Lagos Nigeria, after it closed at N755 per $1 on Sunday, 29th January 2023.

Even though the dollar to naira opened in the parallel market at N755 per $1 today, Investors King reports that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not recognize the parallel market, otherwise known as the black market. The apex bank has therefore directed anyone who requires forex to approach their bank, insisting that the I&E window is the only known exchange.

Investors King reports that in the black market, the players buy a dollar for N752 and sell for N755 on Monday morning, January 29, 2023, same rate of Sunday, 29 January 2023.

Meanwhile, Investors King reports that the USD started this week at ₦755 in Parallel Market also known as Black Market on Sunday, January 29, 2023, in Lagos Nigeria.

Factors Influencing Foreign Exchange Rates

Here are some of the causes of the dwindling dollar to naira exchange rate.

Inflation Rates: It is well known that inflation directly impacts black market exchange rates. If the Nigerian economy can be stabilized and inflation is controlled, the naira will benefit; however, if the naira continues to fall, it may indicate that food and other necessities are becoming more expensive daily.

Interest Rates: Another tool to keep an eye on is interest rates. If the interest rate at which banks lend money rises, it would harm the economy, causing it to contract and, as a result, the value of the naira to fall.

Government Debt: National debt can impact investor confidence and, as a result, the influx of funds into the economy. If inflows are high, the naira exchange rate will rise in favour of the naira.

Speculators: Speculators frequently impact the naira-to-dollar exchange rate. They stockpile money in anticipation of a gain, causing the naira to plummet even lower.

Conditions of Trade: Favorable trade terms will increase the value of the naira to the dollar, although Nigeria is currently experiencing a trade deficit. Everything comes from China, India, and the majority of Asian countries.

Continue Reading

Naira

Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate For Today 28th January 2023

Dollar to naira exchange rate today black market (Aboki dollar rate)

Published

on

New Naira notes

You can access the black market Dollar to Naira exchange rate for today, 28th January on Investors King.

This online business news platform has obtained the official dollar to naira exchange rate in Nigeria today including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC) rate, and CBN rates.

Note that the exchange rate changes hourly.… it depends on the volume of dollars available and the Demands. It means that…you can buy or sell 1 dollar at ₦750 and ₦755, and the price can change (high or low) within hours.

How Much Is Black Market Dollar To Naira Exchange Rate Today?

Dollar to naira exchange rate today black market (Aboki dollar rate):

Investors King understands that the exchange rate for a dollar to naira at Lagos Parallel Market (Black Market) players buy a dollar for N750 and sell at N755 as of the time of filing this report.

Exchange Rate of Dollar To Naira in Black Market Today?
Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN) Black Market Exchange Rate Today
Buying Rate 750
Selling Rate 755

The local currency opened at N755.00 per $1 at the parallel market otherwise known as the black market today Saturday, 28th January 2023, in Lagos Nigeria, after it closed at N750 per $1 on Thursday, 26th January 2023.

Even though the dollar to naira opened in the parallel market at N755 per $1 today, Investors King reports that the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not recognize the parallel market, otherwise known as the black market. The apex bank has therefore directed anyone who requires forex to approach their bank, insisting that the I&E window is the only known exchange.

Investors King reports that in the black market, the players buy a dollar for N750 and sell for N757 on Saturday morning, January 28, 2023, after they purchased N744 and sold for N746 on Thursday, 26 January 2023.

Meanwhile, Investors King reports that the USD started this week at ₦745 in Parallel Market also known as Black Market on Monday, January 23, 2023, in Lagos Nigeria, after it opened at ₦744 last week Monday, January 16, 2023.

Factors Influencing Foreign Exchange Rates

Here are some of the causes of the dwindling dollar to naira exchange rate.

Inflation Rates: It is well known that inflation directly impacts black market exchange rates. If the Nigerian economy can be stabilized and inflation is controlled, the naira will benefit; however, if the naira continues to fall, it may indicate that food and other necessities are becoming more expensive daily.

Interest Rates: Another tool to keep an eye on is interest rates. If the interest rate at which banks lend money rises, it would harm the economy, causing it to contract and, as a result, the value of the naira to fall.

Government Debt: National debt can impact investor confidence and, as a result, the influx of funds into the economy. If inflows are high, the naira exchange rate will rise in favour of the naira.

Speculators: Speculators frequently impact the naira-to-dollar exchange rate. They stockpile money in anticipation of a gain, causing the naira to plummet even lower.

Conditions of Trade: Favorable trade terms will increase the value of the naira to the dollar, although Nigeria is currently experiencing a trade deficit. Everything comes from China, India, and the majority of Asian countries.

Continue Reading
Advertisement
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending