Forex

Pound Slides as BOE Cuts Rate

Published

7 years ago

August 4, 2016

The pound fell the most in more than four weeks after the Bank of England cut interest rates for the first time since March 2009, part of a suite of stimulus measures to help boost the economy after the U.K.’s vote to leave the European Union in June.

Sterling dropped at least 1.4 percent against all of its 16 major peers after the nine-member Monetary Policy Committee voted unanimously to lower the benchmark rate by 25 basis points to a record-low 0.25 percent. Officials led by Governor Mark Carney increased the central bank’s asset-purchase target for the first time in four years, raising the target by 60 billion pounds ($79 billion) to 435 billion pounds. U.K. government bonds jumped, pushing the 10-year gilt yield to a record low.

The MPC also said it will buy as much as 10 billion pounds of corporate bonds in the next 18 months, though there was disagreement among the nine members about whether quantitative easing was warranted at this stage. Options trading showed the pound could fall further in coming months.

Brexit ‘Headwinds’

“The BOE clearly is willing to provide an array of stimulus policies because it thinks that the U.K. economy is going to face substantial headwinds from Brexit,” said Peter Frank, global head of Group-of-10 currency strategy at Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentaria SA in London. “I think the BOE and the government is keen to see a much weaker pound.”

The pound fell 1.5 percent to $1.3126 as of 4:02 p.m. London time, the steepest decline since July 5, a day before it touched a 31-year low of $1.2798. Sterling weakened 1.4 percent to 84.85 pence per euro.

The decision to cut borrowing costs was forecast by all but two of 52 economists surveyed by Bloomberg, with the majority predicting a 25 basis-point reduction. Before the announcement, swaps pricing showed a 100 percent chance of a cut.
Economists in a separate survey were less certain about the possibility of the BOE announcing further stimulus measures, with 23 of 44 analysts forecasting no change to the the central bank’s quantitative-easing plan.

‘Further Easing’

“We feel this is an appropriate first step and anticipate further easing from the MPC in the coming months as the growth outlook becomes clearer,” said David Zahn, London-based head of European fixed income at Franklin Templeton Investment Management Ltd. “This is good news as it is supportive of the bond market. However, in general this will be slightly bearish for the pound.”

The pound has declined almost 12 percent against the dollar since the nation opted for Brexit, weakening for a third consecutive month in July, as economic consequences of the decision began to surface.

Derivatives trading suggested the pound will weaken further. The premium for three-month options granting the right to sell the currency against the dollar relative to those for buying rose 16 basis points to 1.07 percentage points. That’s still lower than the level on the referendum day when it was 4.13 percentage points.

On a longer-term horizon however, that concern was less pronounced. The premium for 12-month options was little changed at 1.635 percentage points.

Benchmark 10-year gilt yields dropped 16 basis points, or 0.16 percentage point, to 0.64 percent, having earlier touched 0.634 percent. The 2 percent bond due in September 2025 rose 1.505, or 15.05 pounds per 1,000-pound face amount, to 111.985. The nation’s two-year gilt yield fell eight basis points to 0.12 percent, after reaching 0.07 percent, the lowest since July 1.

“So the BOE delivered a dovish surprise as regards QE measures,” said Thu Lan Nguyen, a foreign-exchange strategist at Commerzbank AG in Frankfurt. “Only roughly half the market probably had expected an increase of QE, probably less the introduction of corporate bonds. The BOE wants to set a clear signal that it has switched into crisis mode.”

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Samed Olukoya

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Naira

Black Market Exchange Rate Today 1st December 2023

What is the Dollar to Naira exchange rate at the parallel market, known as the black market (Abokifx) today? As of December 1st, 2023, the dollar to naira exchange rate is 1 USD to 1160 NGN at the black market.

Published

1 day ago

December 1, 2023

Investors King

What is the Dollar to Naira exchange rate at the parallel market, known as the black market (Abokifx) today? As of December 1st, 2023, the dollar to naira exchange rate is 1 USD to 1160 NGN at the black market.

This means that for every one US dollar, you can exchange it for ₦1160, Investors King reports.

This digital business news platform has obtained the official dollar to naira exchange rate in Nigeria today including the Black Market rates, Bureau De Change (BDC) rate, and CBN rates.

How Much is Dollar to Naira Today in the Black Market?

This rate is subject to change depending on a variety of factors including global economic trends, political developments, and market fluctuations. However, you can buy and sell 1 USD at ₦1160 and ₦1150 as of the time of writing today.

What is the current exchange rate of the dollar to naira in the black market today?

According to Investors King, as of the time this report was filed, a dollar can be purchased at the Lagos parallel market (black market) for ₦1160 and sold for ₦1150.

Exchange Rate of Dollar To Naira in Black Market Today?

Dollar to Naira (USD to NGN)	Black Market Exchange Rate Today
Selling Rate	1150
Buying Rate	1160

Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) Naira Exchange Rates for Banks

Date	Currency	Buying(NGN)	Central(NGN)	Selling(NGN)
11/29/2023	US DOLLAR	822.762	823.262	823.762
11/29/2023	POUNDS STERLING	1044.8255	1045.4604	1046.0954
11/29/2023	SWISS FRANC	939.5478	940.1188	940.6897
11/29/2023	YEN	5.5773	5.5807	5.5841
11/29/2023	CFA	1.3496	1.3596	1.3696
11/29/2023	WAUA	1092.8802	1093.5443	1094.2085
11/29/2023	RIYAL	219.3213	219.4546	219.5879
11/29/2023	DANISH KRONA	121.203	121.2766	121.3503
11/29/2023	SDR	1097.1531	1097.8199	1098.4866
11/29/2023	YUAN/RENMINBI	115.4268	115.4969	115.5671

Investors King understands that although the dollar to naira opened at N1160 per $1 in the parallel market today, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) does not acknowledge the parallel market, also referred to as the black market. The CBN has instructed individuals in need of forex to approach their bank as the I&E window is the sole recognized exchange.

On Friday, December 1st, 2023, individuals in the black market purchased one US dollar for N1160 and sold it for N1150. This shows that the value of the Naira declined when compared to Monday, November 27th, 2023 when the local currency was exchanged at N1155 to a Dollar and a Dollar was purchased at N1145.

To stay informed about the dollar to naira exchange rate, there are several reliable sources that you can turn to. Here are some tips for staying up-to-date:

Check the Central Bank of Nigeria’s website: The CBN is responsible for regulating the country’s monetary policy and is a reliable source for the latest exchange rates. You can check their website regularly for updates.
Follow financial news outlets: Financial news outlets such as Investors King, Bloomberg, Reuters, and CNBC provide regular updates on the global currency markets, including the dollar to naira exchange rate.
Use online currency converters: There are a number of online currency converters that allow you to quickly and easily check the exchange rate between the dollar and the naira.
Follow social media accounts of financial experts: Following social media accounts of financial experts such as analysts, economists, and financial advisors can give you valuable insights into the latest trends in the currency markets.

By staying informed about the dollar-to-naira exchange rate, you can make informed decisions when buying or selling foreign currencies. Whether you are a business owner looking to trade in foreign currencies or an individual looking to invest in the currency markets, knowledge of the latest exchange rates is key to success. Keep these tips in mind and stay informed about the latest trends in the global currency markets.

Dollar

Dollar Sees Uptick, But November Nears Steepest Monthly Decline in a Year

Published

2 days ago

November 30, 2023

Investors King

The dollar made modest gains on Thursday, but it still faces the prospect of marking its most significant monthly decline in a year.

This trend is largely attributed to heightened speculation that the Federal Reserve will refrain from further rate hikes, a sentiment reinforced ahead of a crucial inflation report scheduled for later in the day.

The dollar index, gauging the U.S. currency against six counterparts, managed to climb 0.35% to 103.18, rebounding from Wednesday’s low of 102.46—the weakest level since August 11.

Despite this slight recovery, the index is on track to conclude November with a 3.3% slump, fueled by mounting expectations of a Fed interest rate cut in the first half of 2024.

Mohamad Al-Saraf, Associate of FX and Rates Strategy at Danske Bank, noted, “The key drivers in November for the dollar weakness have been the benign inflation data and the loosening signs of the labor market.”

Market focus intensifies as investors await the crucial Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, the Fed’s targeted measure of inflation, scheduled for release on Thursday.

Christopher Wong, Currency Strategist at OCBC, emphasized that the PCE data would offer insights into the persistence of the disinflation trend.

As U.S. rates futures markets price in over 100 basis points of rate cuts for next year, commencing in May, the dollar’s path remains contingent on inflationary signals and cues from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday.

The global economic landscape, underscored by weaker data in Germany, Spain, and France, amplifies the volatility in currency markets, leaving investors closely monitoring central bank responses.

Euro

Euro Weakens as Weak French Data Fuels Rate Cut Speculation

Published

2 days ago

November 30, 2023

Investors King

The euro faced a decline and German government bonds experienced an upswing following disappointing French economic data, intensifying speculations about potential rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB).

The euro exhibited a 0.4% weakening against the dollar while ten-year bund yields dropped four basis points, indicating growing anticipation of an earlier initiation of ECB interest-rate reductions in the coming year.

The Stoxx 600 index slightly receded, marking a moderate adjustment to its most impressive month since January. Concurrently, US equity futures maintained stability with minimal changes.

US Treasuries, however, experienced a brief pause in their November rally as investors awaited further signals regarding the potential timing of a shift towards rate cuts in the upcoming year.

The upcoming data on Thursday is projected to demonstrate a deceleration in the personal consumption expenditures price index, the Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation metric.

“The PCE inflation data for October is most likely going to echo what we already saw in the October CPI and PPI reports and add to the soft-landing narrative,” stated Evelyne Gomez-Liechti, a multi-asset strategist at Mizuho International Plc in London.

The French economy contracted by 0.1%, coupled with a decline in November inflation to the lowest level this year.

Markets are now pricing in a quarter-point reduction in ECB rates by April.

Investors are closely watching for signals from Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday, considering it a potential litmus test for market sentiment and the Fed’s stance on monetary policy.

Analysts caution against excessive optimism in the market, urging prudence in evaluating the forward curve and expecting clarity from Powell’s statements later this week.