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Japan Stocks Fall as Yen Strengthens After Abe Stimulus Package

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Japanese shares fell for a third day as the yen jumped after details of the government’s stimulus package disappointed investors. Glassmakers and banks led declines.

The Topix index retreated 1.8 percent to 1,277.42 as of 10:08 a.m. in Tokyo, with all but one of the 33 industry groups dropping. The Nikkei 225 Stock Average sank 1.4 percent. The yen traded at 101.23 per dollar after gaining 1.5 percent on Tuesday as a 28 trillion yen ($277 billion) spending package failed to ignite optimism Japan can revive its economy.

“A risk-off mood is coming to the forefront,” said Chihiro Ohta, a senior strategist at SMBC Nikko Securities Inc. in Tokyo. “In Japan, where many companies, especially in the auto sector, are easily affected by currency moves, the strength in the yen weighs on the overall profits for listed firms.”

Japan’s cabinet announced 4.6 trillion yen in extra spending for the current fiscal year, as Prime Minister Shinzo Abe seeks to bolster the economy without abandoning targets for improving fiscal health. The package will include 13.5 trillion yen of fiscal measures, including 7.5 trillion yen in new spending starting this year, and 6 trillion yen in low-cost loans.

Electric-appliance makers and banks were the biggest drags on the Topix, while telecommunication and trading houses were the only two industry groups that rose.

  • Casio Computer Co. sank 11 percent after lowering its operating profit forecast by 11 percent to 20 billion yen for the half year through June.
  • Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group Inc. slumped 3.4 percent, the second-biggest drag on the Topix.
  • Honda Motor Co. rose 4.3 percent after posting operating profit that beat analyst estimates.
  • FamilyMart Co. surged 13 percent after the operators of the Nikkei 225 Stock Average said it will add the convenience store operator to its measure.

The stronger yen has increased speculation that the Bank of Japan will cut negative rates further, damping the prospects for banks’ profits, said SMBC Nikko’s Ohta. The Topix Banks Index has tumbled 33 percent in 2016 after the central bank cut rates earlier this year, leaving Japanese shares among the worst performing developed markets. While the central bank’s latest expansion to its stimulus program — almost doubling exchange-traded-fund purchases — boosted shares on Friday, the measure has fallen every day since.

Futures on the S&P 500 Index lost 0.1 percent. The underlying measure fell 0.6 percent on Tuesday, declining the most in four weeks, as sliding crude prices and lackluster consumer spending data revived anxiety that global growth will falter. Oil traded near $40 a barrel in New York following a drop in U.S. stockpiles.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Surge as Hurricane Threat Looms Over U.S. Gulf Coast

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Oil jumped in Asian trading on Monday as a potential hurricane system approached the U.S. Gulf Coast, and as markets recovered from a selloff following weaker-than-expected U.S. jobs data on Friday.

West Texas Intermediate crude oil rose 72 cents, or 1.06%, to $68.39 a barrel while Brent crude oil was up 71 cents, or 1%, at $71.77 a barrel.

Prices had gained as much as $1 during early Asian trading before pulling back.

Analysts said the bounce was in part a reaction to a potential hurricane in the U.S. Gulf Coast.

A weather system in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico is forecast to become a hurricane before it reaches the northwestern U.S. Gulf Coast, the U.S. National Hurricane Center said on Sunday.

The U.S. Gulf Coast accounts for some 60% of U.S. refining capacity.

“Sentiment recovered somewhat from last week’s selloff,” said independent market analyst Tina Teng.

At the Friday close, Brent had dropped 10% on the week to the lowest level since December 2021, while WTI fell 8% to its lowest close since June 2023 on weak jobs data in the U.S.

A highly anticipated U.S. government jobs report showed nonfarm payrolls increased less than market watchers had expected in August, rising by 142,000, and the July figure was downwardly revised to an increase of 89,000, which was the smallest gain since an outright decline in December 2020.

A decline in the jobless rate points to the Federal Reserve cutting interest rates by just 25 basis points this month rather than a half-point rate cut, analysts said.

Lower interest rates typically increase oil demand by spurring economic growth and making oil cheaper for holders of non-dollar currencies.

But weak demand continued to cap price gains.

The weakness in China is driven by economic slowdown and inventory destocking, Jeff Currie, chief strategy officer of energy pathways at U.S. investment giant Carlyle Group, told the APPEC energy conference in Singapore on Monday.

Refining margins in Asia have slipped to their lowest seasonal levels since 2020 on weak demand from the two largest economies.

Fuel oil exports to the U.S. Gulf Coast fell to the lowest level since January 2019 last month on weaker refining margins.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound on OPEC+ Output Delay Talks and U.S. Inventory Drop

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Oil prices made a modest recovery on Thursday on the expectations that OPEC+ may delay planned production increases and the drop in U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 66 cents, or 0.9% to $73.36 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 64 cents or 0.9% to $69.84 per barrel.

The rebound in oil prices was a result of the American Petroleum Institute (API) report that revealed that the U.S. crude oil inventories had fallen by a surprising 7.431 million barrels last week, against analysts 1 million barrel decline projection.

The decline signals better than projected demand for the commodity in the United States of America and offers some relief for traders on global demand.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates, attributed the rebound in crude oil prices to the API report.

He said, “There is a pause of breath and light reprieve for oil prices.”

Also, discussions within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, are fueling speculation about a potential delay in planned output increases.

The group was initially expected to increase production by 180,000 a day in October 2024.

However, concerns over softening demand in China and potential developments in Libya’s oil production have prompted the group to reconsider its strategy.

Despite the recent rebound, analysts caution that lingering uncertainties around global oil demand may continue to weigh on prices in the near term.

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Energy

Power Generation Surges to 5,313 MW, But Distribution Issues Persist

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Nigeria’s power generation continues to get better under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

According to the latest statement released by Bolaji Tunji, the media aide to the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, power generation surged to a three-year high of 5,313 megawatts (MW).

“The national grid on Monday hit a record high of 5,313MW, a record high in the last three years,” the statement disclosed.

Reacting to this, the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, called on power distribution companies to take more energy to prevent grid collapse as the grid’s frequency drops when power is produced and not picked by the Discos.

He added that efforts would be made to encourage industries to purchase bulk energy.

However, a top official of one of the Discos was quoted as saying that the power companies were finding it difficult to pick the extra energy produced by generation companies because they were not happy with the tariff on other bands apart from Band A.

“As it is now, we are operating at a loss. Yes, they supply more power but this problem could be solved with improved tariff for the other bands and more meter penetration to recover the cost,” the Disco official, who pleaded not to be named due to lack of authorisation to speak on the matter, said.

On Saturday, the ministry said power generation that peaked at 5,170MW was ramped down by 1,400MW due to Discos’ energy rejection.

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