For years, I’ve heard that 90% of traders lose money trading, and they lose it to the 10% who are making money. More recently, it seems that the numbers I hear are 95-5, so even worse.
FXCM recently released a report showing, according to them, retail fx traders received better executions than institutional or exchange traders. In my experience working for two fx brokers, they are exactly right. Retail traders get ridiculously great pricing and fills.
How is it that retail traders are getting better pricing, but they still lose on a higher percentage of trades than institutional and professional traders? I think there are five reasons why retail traders aren’t as successful as professional traders.
1. Execution of Trading Strategy
Through many years of working on a trading desk and talking to customers and banks, I didn’t see much of a difference in the actual trading strategies between our trading desk, the trading desk at a bank, our institutional/professional traders, or our retail trader. Everyone has the same access to charting, technical analysis and pricing analysis.
Professional traders do not simply limit themselves to technical analysis. They know their own trading very well: their tendencies, how much they are comfortable risking, how to minimize their bad trades while maximizing their good trades. It’s more than even that. Good professional traders have scenario analysis that gives them further analysis on their own trading: expectancy, confidence, equity moving average, etc.
Professional traders also tend to look at a potential trade through the lens of many different trading strategies and many types technical analysis. They also have a pulse on the fundamentals behind the products they are trading. They eat, sleep and breathe the markets.
2. Big Picture Oriented
A professional trader and a retail trader might be trading the same strategy and looking at the same chart to make a trade, but the professional trader is looking at many other things to determine the viability of a trade before entering the trade. There is no fear of missing a trade. The professional trader lets the trade come to them…they are not chasing trades.
So what are professional traders looking at that retail traders often ignore? Professional traders are looking at long and short term charts and analysis…and they ask themselves what could happen…how could this trade go wrong…how much could I lose on this trade?
A professional trader looks beyond this trade and is more concerned with the overall market. What could hinder me from hitting my limit? What could cause the market to move against me? When might I need to cut my losses? They aren’t waiting until they are in position to think through these things…they are asking these questions before making the trade.
3. More Discipline
Enough cannot be said about discipline in trading (or any endeavor). The best traders, professional or retail, are all very disciplined. Looking at the last two things that make people better traders, the best traders do their research before entering the trade.
The best traders know why they are in a trade. They know when they are going to get out of a trade. They work orders. Why? Because they have seen what can happen when you don’t work orders. They work stops and let those stops fill if they are due to be filled.
A less disciplined trader will pull their stop because they just know that the currency, stock, commodity is going to go their direction. They just don’t want to miss out, or maybe, they just can’t stomach losing on another trade.
Most professional traders answer to someone. There is a boss, an investor, another trader. There is almost always someone that a professional trader has to answer to and make a case for each and every trade. Sometimes, they don’t have to make a case of the trade beforehand, but they will need to answer questions if the trade goes bad.
Those questions are almost always around the other points of this article. “Didn’t you see that the daily chart was showing this and was clearly a strong trend in the opposite direction?” “Where was your stop order to protect from this happening?” “You risked 100 ticks to gain 10?” “Why did you take the trade?” “Why did you move your stop?”
Trust me. These are just a tip of the iceberg in terms of questions asked when a trade goes sour. It is a very uncomfortable time, and the trader needs answers to why they did everything.
My point is this: How many retail traders have to make a case to someone before making a trade? Sometimes, it is good to get someone else’s opinions on a product before trading it. After working on the desk for 9 years, I found that my fellow traders hardly ever agreed with my analysis. At the very least, they had very good insight that I was missing.
5. Patient and Calculated
Professional traders are very competitive and very confident. The best traders wait until the odds are stacked in their favor before trading. I love the Jim Rogers quote: “I just wait until there is money lying in the corner, and all I have to do is go over there and pick it up. I do nothing in the meantime.”
Like I said earlier, the best traders let the trades come to them and don’t go chasing after trades. They are patient. They are calculating. They take risks and lose money, but the money they lose is calculated beforehand. The risk of them losing is small, as is the amount of money being risked.
The point of all of this is that you don’t need tighter spreads to be more profitable. You probably don’t even need better charts or a new trading strategy.
Most likely, all you might need is more insight and better discipline on applying that insight. Just like most things in life, more knowledge is a great thing, but discipline can really reap positive rewards.
Dollar to Naira Today January 24, 2022
Here is the daily dollar to Naira exchange rates at both the official and black markets today, January 24, 2022.
How Much is Dollar to Naira Exchange Rate Today, January 24, 2022, at the Official Market?
The official exchange rate for $1 dollar to naira = ₦415.64/$1, according to the Central Bank of Nigeria official exchange rates.
However, FMDQ Group forex data puts the dollar to naira exchange rate at ₦416 to $1 on Friday, 21st January 2022. The Investors and Exporters forex platform is yet to be updated today.
How Much is Black Market Exchange Rate for Dollar to Naira Today?
The dollar to naira exchange rate at the unregulated forex market popularly known as the black market is N560 for buyers and sells at N565 today, Monday, January 24, 2022, according to sources cited by Bureau De Change (BDC).
The Central Bank of Nigeria has warned against patronising the black market and directed all Nigerians to visit their banks for their forex needs.
How Much is Bitcoin to Naira Today?
Bitcoin to Naira exchange rate dipped by 0.25 percent in the last 24 hours to N14.630 million while Ethereum [ETH] to Naira stood at N979,245, representing a decline of 3.40 percent.
The entire cryptocurrency plunged in December 2021 after the US Federal Reserve announced plans to adjust its monetary policy to accommodate the change in the nation’s economic realities. Experts are predicting that an increase in interest rate will impact the crypto space as capital inflow is projected to drop.
Meanwhile, the minister of finance Mrs Zainab Ahmed on Monday said the federal government has suspended plans to remove fuel subsidy in 2022 given the nation’s inflation rate.
Speaking at National Assembly, she said “We discovered that practically, there is still heightened inflation and that the removal of subsidy would further worsen the situation and impose more difficulties on the citizenry,” Ahmed said at the meeting.
“Mr. President does not want to do that. What we are now doing is to continue with the ongoing discussions and consultations in terms of putting in place a number of measures.
“One of these include the roll-out of the refining capacities of the existing refineries and the new ones which would reduce the amount of products that would be imported into the country.”
Naira Slides Marginally Against US Dollar, Exchanges at N415
The Nigerian Naira fell slightly against the United States Dollar on Monday, according to the last update from the Central Bank of Nigeria.
The local currency was exchanged at N414.89 per dollar on Friday before depreciating by N0.11 or 0.03 percent to N415 on Monday.
It should be recalled that the Naira plunged to N435 against the United States on Friday 31, December 2021 when the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) adjusted its exchange rate by N2 to accommodate the change in Nigeria’s economic realities.
The Naira has now improved by about 4.6 percent against the United States Dollar from the year to date. The improvement was after the market digested and interpreted the CBN action as the usual forex devaluation in line with the apex bank policy.
At the unregulated black market, traders in Abuja sold the greenback at N570 a unit and buy it at N569. CBN had attributed Nigeria’s forex challenges to the activities of black market operators and warned Nigerians to stop patronising that section of forex.
Meanwhile, the crypto space remained bearish across the board ahead of US Federal Reserve rate decisions. Bitcoin to Naira exchange rate declined by 2.5 percent to N17.346 million in the last 24 hours while Eth shed 3.6 percent.
Other cryptocurrencies suffer the same fate as Binance coin, Tether, Cardano and XRP depreciated by 3.70 percent, 0.31 percent, 1.72 percent and 2.93 percent.
Bitcoin looks vulnerable above the $41,000 support level, largely due to the drop in capital inflow into the crypto space ahead of a possible interest rate increase in the world’s largest economy, the United States.
“Bitcoin continues to look vulnerable having failed to bounce back strongly off the recent lows. It appeared to be gathering some upside momentum at times last week but it quickly ran into resistance just shy of $45,000 where it had previously seen support. All eyes are now on $40,000 and whether we’re going to see another run at that major support level,” said Craig Erlam, Senior Market Analyst, UK & EMEA, OANDA, in an email to Investors King.
Naira Gains 1.58 Percent to N416 at Official FX Market, Bitcoin, Other Cryptocurrencies Plunge
The Nigerian Naira gained 1.58 percent or N7.56 against the United States Dollar at the official forex market on Wednesday.
The local currency opened the day at N423.56 to a US Dollar before improving in value to N416 against the greenback. At the official forex window managed by the FMDQ Group, investors traded $114.95 million on Wednesday.
The improvement in Naira value was after the market had digested the Central Bank of Nigeria’s currency adjustment. The central bank had adjusted the Naira to Dollar exchange rate by N2 from N411 to N413 on Friday, leading to devaluation outcry across Africa’s largest economy.
On Friday, the Naira plunged to as low as N435 against the United States Dollar at the official forex trading market and N575 at the unregulated parallel market, popularly known as the black market, before moderating to N416.
Meanwhile, bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies plunged across the board. Bitcoin depreciated by 7.16 percent to $43,058 per coin in the last 24 hours. The decline does not stop there as the second most capitalised digital asset, Eth dipped by 9.77 percent to $3,441.
Solana, Ripple (XRP), Luna and Cardano (ADA) lost 11.48 percent, 8.13 percent, 9.5 percent and 8.6 percent, respectively.
The decline was after the US Federal Reserve minutes of December 14 – 15 meeting released on Wednesday revealed that policymakers are planning to raise interest rates as early as March 2022 to curb escalating inflation rate. Generally, hawkish monetary policy is negative for cryptocurrency as it drags on capital inflow into the space and encourages investors to look into more stable assets for higher interest rates.
According to The Wall Street Journal, the “Federal Reserve officials at their meeting last month eyed a faster timetable for raising interest rates this year, potentially as soon as in March, amid greater discomfort with high inflation.
“Minutes of their Dec. 14-15 meeting, released Wednesday, showed officials believed that rising inflation and a very tight labor market could call for lifting short-term rates “sooner or at a faster pace than participants had earlier anticipated.”
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