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Decentralised Renewable Energy as Magic Wand to Electricity Access

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renewable energy
  • Decentralised Renewable Energy as Magic Wand to Electricity Access

With multi-national oil companies looking more to the international market, where projects are huge and leaving the domestic gas market gasping for oil, Nigeria’s power sector doesn’t seem to be getting off the woods just yet.

Nigeria’s electricity power sector is largely dependent on gas. Low gas availability, occasioned largely by poor pricing, transportation infrastructure and a market that is skewed largely in favour of exports, has continued to plague Nigeria’s power sector over the years. This has, in turn, made a huge mockery of efforts to provide efficient and reliable electricity to the country’s large population.

Government spoke recently of a renewable energy plan. While there is limited information on actual implementation strategies, stakeholders are pointing to a new untapped possibility for solving Nigeria’s age-long energy crisis.

To improve electricity access, guarantee rural economic development and generally demystify supply, experts are pushing for Nigeria to pay attention to decentralised renewable energy (DRE).

At the forefront of this campaign is the Power for All Initiative, championed by international energy policy expert, Ify Malo and the newly formed Renewable Energy Association of Nigeria (REAN).

A renewable energy specialist, Dotun Tokun, described the concept as a world of untapped potentials. Tokun, who is the promoter of Solarmate Engineering Ltd., said: “DRE for rural Agribusiness, with proper financing plan is a win-win situation. Land for the panels would not be a problem. It will increase productivity of the plants, prevent/reduce rural to urban migration and provides gainful employment. Not forgetting the positive impact of renewables on the environment.”

On how renewable energy could become the game changer in Nigeria’s energy revolution, the Campaign Director for Power For All in Nigeria and Co-founder of the Clean Tech Hub, Ifeoma Malo, explained: “Nigeria’s current grid capacity is able to generate about 12,000 megawatts and yet, only 5,000 megawatts is actually available to meet the needs of the country’s teeming population. This means that about 60 percent of Nigerians lack access to the grid. This gap between demand for electricity and available supply means that many Nigerian businesses and home owners are into widespread self-generation of power for their commercial, industrial and residential uses.

“Furthermore, with an ageing grid system, several Nigerians connected to the grid face extensive power outages, due to low reliability. Therefore, the use of diesel fueled generators, as an alternative to the grid and kerosene lamps for the rural poor are still widespread and compensate for the lack of electricity supply across the country. The increased militancy on oil and gas pipeline means that there will be increasingly low reliability to generate power from the grid.

“However, there is another path-way that is cheaper, simpler and more sustainable to get electrified in Nigeria. That is decentralised renewable energy, which specifically involve mini-grid systems and stand-alone home systems. These systems are easy to deploy – usually within a six-month time frame; and the costs for the end user, especially when spread over time, are comparable to both grid based electricity connections. Decentralised Renewable Energy is certainly cheaper than the diesel and kerosene alternatives that many Nigerians currently deploy in their self-generation efforts.

“The market for decentralised renewables in Nigeria is at the cusp of a major take off. However, some of the market enablers for this market to truly emerge are yet to be in place. Despite little incentives from the government for private investor participation, we have seen increased interest and projects targeted at this market.

“There are several programmes and projects springing up in several rural and peri-urban communities across Nigeria, either as pilots or commercial ventures and are increasing, especially in urban centres across the country. These projects are funded either with capital from grant donors or through commercial partnerships, including bank loans and credit facilities. The projects range from stand-alone home systems (SHS), mini grid systems, and solar home appliances, such as, lamps and cooking stoves. Yet, for this market to scale up and meet the latent demand for electricity across the country, there has to be the right enabling policies and market incentives. It is also important to have clear targets and timelines for the decentralised renewable energy sector and broad support by stakeholders.

“This is why the preparations for the emergence of an industry association to help catalyse a collective voice for the sector is one of the most important things happening in recent times. This industry association aims to be a reputable umbrella association, supporting and enabling the sustainable growth of the renewable energy sector throughout Nigeria. The mission of the association is to promote all forms of renewable energy technologies into the mainstream of the Nigerian economy and lifestyle by emphasising the need for quality and best practices in the sector for the benefit of members, consumers and other stakeholders. The association also seeks to facilitate information dissemination, formulate proposals for improvements in the renewable energy sector and make recommendations to the responsible governing and policy authorities, amongst the other stated goals. We believe that decentralised renewable energy will play an important role in meeting these objectives, and help to activate and support the market in sustainable ways, particularly as this sub-sector is the quickest and cheapest way to grow the renewable energy industry and market overall.”

On ways to accelerate renewable energy rates and penetration, she called for the integration of rural access with decentralised renewable energy development.

“With the high demand for electricity amongst urban and rural dwellers, and with Nigeria having one of the best solar radiation rates in the world, achieving rural access electrification is a quick win, using decentralized renewable energy,” she explained. “With several countries in East Africa, such as, Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda, already leading the way in deploying decentralised renewable energy to increase and optimise their electrification rates, particularly in rural communities, Nigeria cannot afford to be left behind. Although, financing the sector remains a challenge, the government, with active stakeholder participation, can make policies and build partnerships with the private sector to subsidise the cost of financing such projects in rural Nigeria to solve the country’s energy challenge.”

On his part, Segun Adaju, President of the Renewable Energy Association of Nigeria (REAN), said the opportunity for decentralised renewable energy is so huge that it has become hard to ignore.

He said: “It is clear that Nigerians have a choice—either to continue with the old pathway to electrification through on-grid methodologies, which has kept electricity access rates static for many years now, or choose a new path, which involves making decentralised renewable energy main stream to meet improved electrification rate. As many Nigerians, especially the growing workforce of the country, buoy by the teeming youth population depend on electricity to make ends meet, it is clear that turning around our current economic crisis, while growing and contributing to the GDP of the country, is dependent on deploying decentralized renewable energy. The time to gain independence from blackouts is now. The time to act is now, and decentralised renewable energy provides the way forward.”

Indeed, stakeholders are making a strong case for Nigeria to scale up the deployment of renewable energy solutions in the country through improved market incentives.

Among other things, they are asking for the abolition of VAT and import duties on renewable energy components brought into the country for projects.

 

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Crude Oil

Oil Prices Sink 1% as Israel-Hamas Talks in Cairo Ease Middle East Tensions

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Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices declined on Monday, shedding 1% of their value as Israel-Hamas peace negotiations in Cairo alleviated fears of a broader conflict in the Middle East.

The easing tensions coupled with U.S. inflation data contributed to the subdued market sentiment and erased gains made earlier.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, dropped by as much as 1.09% to 8.52 a barrel while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil fell by 0.99% to $83.02 a barrel.

The initiation of talks to broker a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas played a pivotal role in moderating geopolitical concerns, according to analysts.

A delegation from Hamas was set to engage in peace discussions in Cairo on Monday, as confirmed by a Hamas official to Reuters.

Also, statements from the White House indicated that Israel had agreed to address U.S. concerns regarding the potential humanitarian impacts of the proposed invasion.

Market observers also underscored the significance of the upcoming U.S. Federal Reserve’s policy review on May 1.

Anticipation of a more hawkish stance from the Federal Open Market Committee added to investor nervousness, particularly in light of Friday’s data revealing a 2.7% rise in U.S. inflation over the previous 12 months, surpassing the Fed’s 2% target.

This heightened inflationary pressure reduced the likelihood of imminent interest rate cuts, which are typically seen as stimulative for economic growth and oil demand.

Independent market analysts highlighted the role of the strengthening U.S. dollar in exacerbating the downward pressure on oil prices, as higher interest rates tend to attract capital flows and bolster the dollar’s value, making oil more expensive for holders of other currencies.

Moreover, concerns about weakening demand surfaced with China’s industrial profit growth slowing down in March, as reported by official data. This trend signaled potential challenges for oil consumption in the world’s second-largest economy.

However, amidst the current market dynamics, optimism persists regarding potential upside in oil prices. Analysts noted that improvements in U.S. inventory data and China’s Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) could reverse the downward trend.

Also, previous gains in oil prices, fueled by concerns about supply disruptions in the Middle East, indicate the market’s sensitivity to geopolitical developments in the region.

Despite these fluctuations, the market appeared to brush aside potential disruptions to supply resulting from Ukrainian drone strikes on Russian oil refineries over the weekend. The attack temporarily halted operations at the Slavyansk refinery in Russia’s Krasnodar region, according to a plant executive.

As oil markets navigate through geopolitical tensions and economic indicators, the outcome of ongoing negotiations and future data releases will likely shape the trajectory of oil prices in the coming days.

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Commodities

Cocoa Fever Sweeps Market: Prices Set to Break $15,000 per Ton Barrier

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Cocoa

The cocoa market is experiencing an unprecedented surge with prices poised to shatter the $15,000 per ton barrier.

The cocoa industry, already reeling from supply shortages and production declines in key regions, is now facing a frenzy of speculative trading and bullish forecasts.

At the recent World Cocoa Conference in Brussels, nine traders and analysts surveyed by Bloomberg expressed unanimous confidence in the continuation of the cocoa rally.

According to their predictions, New York futures could trade above $15,000 a ton before the year’s end, marking yet another milestone in the relentless ascent of cocoa prices.

The surge in cocoa prices has been fueled by a perfect storm of factors, including production declines in Ivory Coast and Ghana, the world’s largest cocoa producers.

Shortages of cocoa beans have left buyers scrambling for supplies and willing to pay exorbitant premiums, exacerbating the market tightness.

To cope with the supply crunch, Ivory Coast and Ghana have resorted to rolling over contracts totaling around 400,000 tons of cocoa, further exacerbating the scarcity.

Traders are increasingly turning to cocoa stocks held in exchanges in London and New York, despite concerns about their quality, as the shortage of high-quality beans intensifies.

Northon Coimbrao, director of sourcing at chocolatier Natra, noted that quality considerations have taken a backseat for most processors amid the supply crunch, leading them to accept cocoa from exchanges despite its perceived inferiority.

This shift in dynamics is expected to further deplete stocks and provide additional support to cocoa prices.

The cocoa rally has already seen prices surge by about 160% this year, nearing the $12,000 per ton mark in New York.

This meteoric rise has put significant pressure on traders and chocolate makers, who are grappling with rising margin calls and higher bean prices in the physical market.

Despite the challenges posed by soaring cocoa prices, stakeholders across the value chain have demonstrated a willingness to absorb the cost increases.

Jutta Urpilainen, European Commissioner for International Partnerships, noted that the market has been able to pass on price increases from chocolate makers to consumers, highlighting the resilience of the cocoa industry.

However, concerns linger about the eventual impact of the price surge on consumers, with some chocolate makers still covered for supplies.

According to Steve Wateridge, head of research at Tropical Research Services, the full effects of the price increase may take six months to a year to materialize, posing a potential future challenge for consumers.

As the cocoa market continues to navigate uncharted territory all eyes remain on the unfolding developments, with traders, analysts, and industry stakeholders bracing for further volatility and potential record-breaking price levels in the days ahead.

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Crude Oil

IOCs Stick to Dollar Dominance in Crude Oil Transactions with Modular Refineries

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Crude Oil - Investors King

International Oil Companies (IOCs) are standing firm on their stance regarding the currency denomination for crude oil transactions with modular refineries.

Despite earlier indications suggesting a potential shift towards naira payments, IOCs have asserted their preference for dollar dominance in these transactions.

The decision, communicated during a meeting involving indigenous modular refineries and crude oil producers, shows the complex dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy landscape.

While the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC) had previously hinted at the possibility of allowing indigenous refineries to purchase crude oil in either naira or dollars, IOCs have maintained a firm stance favoring the latter.

Under this framework, modular refineries would be required to pay 80% of the crude oil purchase amount in US dollars, with the remaining 20% to be settled in naira.

This arrangement, although subject to ongoing discussions, signals a significant departure from initial expectations of a more balanced currency allocation.

Representatives from the Crude Oil Refinery Owners Association of Nigeria (CORAN) said the decision was not unilaterally imposed but rather reached through deliberations with relevant stakeholders, including the Nigerian Upstream Petroleum Regulatory Commission (NUPRC).

While there were initial hopes of broader flexibility in currency options, the dominant position of IOCs has steered discussions towards a more dollar-centric model.

Despite reservations expressed by some participants, including modular refinery operators, the consensus appears to lean towards accommodating the preferences of major crude oil suppliers.

The development underscores the intricate negotiations and power dynamics shaping Nigeria’s energy sector, with implications for both domestic and international stakeholders.

As discussions continue, attention remains focused on how this decision will impact the operations and financial viability of modular refineries in Nigeria’s evolving oil landscape.

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