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Geregu Power Stock Poised for Explosive Growth as Positive Catalysts Drive Fundamentals

Geregu Power Surges to New Heights, Positioned for Breakthrough Growth in Energy Sector

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electricity

Geregu Power, a prominent player in the energy industry, appears to be on the verge of a significant breakthrough as it consolidates its position and exhibits promising technical patterns.

Market experts believe that the stock’s current price may just be marking time before an explosive upward surge, fueled by a series of positive catalysts that are set to drive the company’s long-term growth.

The second-quarter financial statement released by Geregu on Friday revealed a remarkable 34 percent increase in revenue from energy sales and capacity charges.

The company’s stock, traded on the NGX, experienced a notable 6.45 percent surge, reaching a new 52-week high of N330 per share. This positive development was met with great enthusiasm by investors, particularly in light of Geregu’s recent partnership announcement involving the Lagos State Government, the State Grid Corporation of China, and the African Development Bank (AfDB).

The company’s unaudited financial statement showed Geregu Power recorded revenue of N20.465 billion during the three-month period ending in June 2023, representing a 48.5 percent increase.

Also, Geregu reduced its receivables from related party Amperion Power Distribution Company Ltd to a mere N6.9 billion, while receiving a total payment of N31.58 billion. This resulted in an overall decline of trade receivables by 22.4 percent, settling at N59.633 billion.

In terms of liquidity, Geregu remained in a robust position with cash and cash equivalents amounting to a healthy N44.3 billion while the company’s interest earnings exceeded its interest payments, alleviating concerns over interest payment coverage.

During the quarter, Geregu also demonstrated its commitment to financial stability by repaying N35.82 billion in long-term borrowings.

This repayment led to a significant 47 percent reduction in outstanding term loans, which now stand at N17.363 billion. The outstanding amount represents a N17 billion facility provided by First Bank Ltd at a 20 percent interest rate, serving to augment working capital and finance major overhaul projects.

One of the major highlights for Geregu during this period was its collaboration with the State Grid Corporation of China, the largest electricity company globally, and the Lagos State Government (LASG).

The partnership aimed to enhance Geregu’s transmission capacity by approximately 3,000MW through a combination of upgrades and new developments in the short-to-medium term. Acting as the lead arranger and financier, the African Development Bank played a crucial role in facilitating this partnership.

The objective of the collaboration is to ensure stable and affordable electricity supply to residents of Lagos State, with long-term plans of establishing a state grid with a capacity exceeding 10,000MW.

This quick win initiative will enable immediate distribution and transmission upgrades, providing a minimum of 3,000MW, a significant improvement compared to the current 500MW supply.

Geregu Power’s market capitalization currently stands at an impressive N825 billion. Year-to-date, the stock has soared by an astonishing 121 percent, as traders continue to absorb the positive catalysts driving the firm’s earnings potential.

Market analysts and speculators anticipate further growth, with some eyeing the N1,000 per share milestone, largely due to positive announcements regarding public-private partnerships (PPP) and the company’s future acquisition plans, coupled with the favorable stance of the new government led by President Bola Tinubu in Abuja, which aims to open up the power sector to private sector players like Geregu, add further momentum to the company’s prospects.

“Investors and other speculators are looking to buy the shares, which could push it much higher towards the N1,000 per share level, especially in light of the positive announcements on PPP as well as future plans of the company in terms of planned acquisitions. There is also the new Government in Abuja under President Bola Tinubu who will further open up the power sector to private sector players like Geregu,” explained a buy-side analyst at a major investment firm.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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