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Nigeria’s Currency Faces 15% Devaluation Following President-elect’s Inauguration

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New Naira Notes

Nigeria is expected to devalue its local currency, the naira, by approximately 15% following the inauguration of President-elect Bola Tinubu on May 29. This decision comes as Africa’s largest economy seeks to restore stability and boost its foreign exchange reserves.

Nigeria currently operates under a multiple exchange rate system, with a tightly controlled official rate that limits access for businesses and individuals. This has resulted in a surge in demand for foreign currency on the unregulated black market. To tackle this issue, Tinubu has pledged to review and optimize the naira system, which he has described as “somewhat arbitrary” in his election manifesto.

The Central Bank of Nigeria has maintained the naira at a rate of approximately 460 per dollar since the beginning of the year as a measure to contain inflationary pressures. However, this has led to a widening gap between the official and parallel markets, reaching nearly 60%. Recognizing the need for greater flexibility in the exchange rate regime, experts anticipate an upward adjustment of the naira to around 530 per USD after Tinubu’s inauguration.

Financial analysts have been pricing naira forward contracts with an expected depreciation of around 21% over the next three months. Furthermore, a survey conducted by Bloomberg last year revealed that investors and analysts also predicted a naira devaluation following the election of a new president.

A currency devaluation is expected to help alleviate the severe imbalances currently affecting Nigeria’s foreign exchange and trade markets. It will provide some relief for businesses grappling with limited access to foreign currency, ultimately promoting economic growth and stability.

Several factors support the need for this devaluation. First, there are expectations that inflation may peak in the coming months, which would ease pressure on the central bank to artificially maintain a low exchange rate for the sake of price stability. Second, Nigeria’s international reserves have dwindled to an almost two-year low of $35 billion, which could face further pressure from growing debt servicing costs and weaker oil prices. Historically, when the reserves approach the $30 billion mark, the central bank tends to revise the exchange rate upward, as observed in previous instances such as August 2017, March 2020, and February 2021.

As Nigeria prepares for the inauguration of President-elect Tinubu, the anticipated 15% devaluation of the naira is seen as a significant step toward addressing the nation’s economic challenges. The adjustment aims to restore balance to the foreign exchange market, boost trade, and create a more conducive environment for businesses to thrive. While the devaluation may introduce short-term uncertainties, it is expected to pave the way for long-term economic growth and stability.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Banking Sector

Access Holdings Plc Grants 23.81 Million Shares to Directors, Valued at N420 Million

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Access bank

Access Holdings Plc, a leading financial institution, has recently vested approximately 23.81 million shares valued at over N420 million to its directors.

The share vesting process, a common practice in corporate governance, allows employees, investors, or co-founders to gradually receive full ownership rights to shares or stock options over a specified period.

In this instance, Access Holdings Plc has chosen to reward its directors with shares, signifying confidence in their leadership and contributions to the company’s growth trajectory.

Among the beneficiaries of this share allocation are key figures within Access Bank, a subsidiary of Access Holdings Plc, as well as the acting Group Chief Executive Officer (GCEO).

Recipients include Sunday Okwochi, the company secretary, who received 1.2 million shares at N17.95 per share, and Hadiza Ambursa, a director of Access Bank, who was allocated 1.72 million shares at the same price.

Other directors, such as Gregory Jobome, Chizoma Okoli, Iyabo Soji-Okusanya, Seyi Kumapayi, and Roosevelt Ogbonna, also received allocations ranging from 1.234 million to 12.345 million shares, each valued between N17.85 and N17.95 per share.

Bolaji Agbede, the acting Group CEO of Access Holdings, was granted 2.216 million shares at N17.95 per share, further solidifying his stake in the company’s success.

This move by Access Holdings Plc comes amidst a dynamic economic landscape, where organizations are strategically positioning themselves to navigate challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

By incentivizing its directors through share vesting, the company aims to foster a sense of ownership and accountability while motivating top talent to drive innovation and sustainable growth.

The share vesting scheme not only rewards directors for their past contributions but also incentivizes them to remain committed to the company’s long-term vision.

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Banking Sector

Central Bank of Nigeria Mandates Cybersecurity Levy on Transactions

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

In a bid to bolster cybersecurity measures within the financial sector, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a directive mandating banks and financial institutions to implement a cybersecurity levy on transactions.

The circular, released on Monday, outlines the commencement of this levy within two weeks from the date of issuance.

According to the circular, all commercial, merchant, non-interest, and payment service banks, as well as other financial institutions, mobile money operators, and payment service providers, are instructed to enforce this cybersecurity levy.

The directive is a follow-up to previous communications dated June 25, 2018, and October 5, 2018, emphasizing compliance with the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, Etc.) Act 2015.

The levy is to be applied at the point of electronic transfer origination and subsequently deducted by the financial institution.

This deducted amount will then be remitted to the designated Nigerian Cybersecurity Fund (NCF) account domiciled at the CBN. Customers will see a deduction reflected in their account statement with the narration, ‘Cybersecurity Levy’.

Exemptions from this levy include certain transactions such as loan disbursements and repayments, salary payments, and intra-bank transfers among others.

The CBN aims to streamline and fortify cybersecurity efforts across the financial sector through the implementation of this levy.

This move by the CBN aligns with recent efforts to enhance regulatory oversight and mitigate risks within the financial ecosystem.

It follows closely after directives barring fintechs from onboarding new customers and warnings against engaging in cryptocurrency transactions.

Also, the Federal Government’s directive for the deduction of stamp duty charges on mortgaged-backed loans and bonds demonstrates a broader push for fiscal transparency and regulatory compliance.

The introduction of the cybersecurity levy underscores the CBN’s commitment to safeguarding digital transactions and ensuring the integrity of Nigeria’s financial infrastructure amidst evolving cyber threats.

As financial institutions gear up for implementation, the levy is poised to play a pivotal role in fortifying the nation’s cybersecurity resilience in an increasingly digitized landscape.

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Banking Sector

GTCO Plc’s Profit Before Tax Grows by 587.5% to N509.35 Billion in Q1, 2024

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GTCO Commemorates Listing on Nigerian Exchange - Investors King

Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Plc, one of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, has unveiled its first quarter (Q1) financial results for the period ending March 31, 2024.

According to the report submitted to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NGX), GTCO recorded a 587.5% growth in profit before tax (PBT) to N509.35 billion.

This substantial increase in pre-tax profit represents a significant jump from the N74.089 billion reported in the corresponding period of the previous year.

The financial statement also revealed a 227.93% rise in income tax to N52.213 billion, compared to N15.922 billion in the same period of 2023.

As a result, GTCO’s profit after tax (PAT) for the first quarter of 2024 rose to N457.134 billion, an exceptional growth of 685.9% from N58.167 billion recorded in the first quarter of the previous year.

The strong performance of GTCO can be attributed to several key factors. The Group’s loan book increased by 21.9% rising from N2.48 trillion recorded in December 2023 to N3.02 trillion by March 2024.

Similarly, deposit liabilities grew by 26.0% from N7.55 trillion in December 2023 to N9.51 trillion in March 2024.

Despite the challenging economic environment, GTCO’s balance sheet remained well-structured, diversified, and resilient.

Total assets closed at an impressive N13.0 trillion while shareholders’ funds stood solid at N2.0 trillion.

Commenting on the outstanding financial results, Mr. Segun Agbaje, the Group Chief Executive Officer of Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc, expressed optimism about the future.

He said the robust performance across all business verticals reaffirmed the value of the Holding Company Structure.

“Our first quarter results reflect the unfolding value of what we have created in all our business verticals through the Holding Company Structure – from Banking and Payments to Funds Management and Pension,” said Mr. Agbaje.

“We are positioned to compete effectively on all fronts and fulfill all our customers’ needs under a unified, thriving financial ecosystem.”

The growth in profitability underscores GTCO’s resilience, strategic focus, and unwavering commitment to delivering superior value to its stakeholders amidst evolving market dynamics.

As the Group continues to leverage its strengths and innovative capabilities, it remains well-positioned to navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial services industry with confidence and resilience.

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