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Nigeria’s Borrowing From China Surges by Over 200% Under Buhari Administration

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President Buhari - Investors King

Nigeria’s borrowing from China jumped a whopping 209.15 percent under President Muhammadu Buhari’s administration.

This startling revelation was disclosed by the Debt Management Office (DMO) which revealed that total bilateral loans rose by 219.91 percent from $1.58bn as of June 2015 to $5.07bn as of December 2022.

The data also revealed that Chinese loans make up a whopping 84.73 percent of the total amount Nigeria owes to other countries of the world, with the remaining 15.27 percent being spread across France, Japan, India, and Germany.

According to the DMO, loans from China are concessional loans with interest rates of 2.50 percent per annum, a tenor of 20 years, and a grace period (moratorium) of seven years.

These loans have been used to fund various projects across the country, including the Nigerian 40 Parboiled Rice Processing Plants Project, the Nigerian Railway Modernisation Project (Lagos – Ibadan section), the Nigeria Rehabilitation and Upgrading of Abuja – Keffi – Makurdi Road Project, the Nigeria Supply of Rolling Stocks and Depot Equipment for Abuja Light Rail Project, and the Nigeria Greater Abuja Water Supply Project.

Despite the recent hiccup in loan approval, China loaned Nigeria $658.72m in 2022. However, China-Exim Bank recently declined an earlier agreement to grant Nigeria a loan of $22.79bn, which had been approved under the 2016–2018 Federal Government External Borrowing (Rolling) Plan by the Senate and the House of Representatives on March 5, 2020, and June 2, 2020, respectively.

This may impact the Nigerian Railway Modernisation Project (Kaduna–Kano segment), with the contractor (CCECC Nigeria Limited) and the Federal Ministry of Transportation engaging China Development Bank for a loan of $973.48m.

In 2021, the immediate past Minister of Transportation, Rotimi Amaechi, alleged that China was becoming sceptical of lending Nigeria money because of a National Assembly probe of the Federal Government’s ability to pay back its loan.

Amaechi also alleged that the probe prevented China from granting more loans to Nigeria. However, the combined effort of the Senate President and Speaker helped stop the probe, which has assisted Nigeria in securing further loans from China.

Recently, the President of the World Bank, David Malpass, expressed concern about some of China’s loans to developing economies in Africa.

He said, “What I encourage strongly is that they be transparent in their contracts. That’s been one of the problems; if you write a contract and say ‘but don’t show it to anybody else’, that’s a minus. So, get away from that.”

He warned, “For governments in Africa, they shouldn’t be offering collateral as an inducement to make a loan, because it locks it up for generations. That’s been happening with China.”

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Akinwumi Adesina Calls for Debt Transparency to Safeguard African Economic Growth

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Akinwumi Adesina

Amidst the backdrop of mounting concerns over Africa’s ballooning external debt, Akinwumi Adesina, the President of the African Development Bank (AfDB), has emphatically called for greater debt transparency to protect the continent’s economic growth trajectory.

In his address at the Semafor Africa Summit, held alongside the International Monetary Fund and World Bank 2024 Spring Meetings, Adesina highlighted the detrimental impact of non-transparent resource-backed loans on African economies.

He stressed that such loans not only complicate debt resolution but also jeopardize countries’ future growth prospects.

Adesina explained the urgent need for accountability and transparency in debt management, citing the continent’s debt burden of $824 billion as of 2021.

With countries dedicating a significant portion of their GDP to servicing these obligations, Adesina warned that the current trajectory could hinder Africa’s development efforts.

One of the key concerns raised by Adesina was the shift from concessional financing to more expensive and short-term commercial debt, particularly Eurobonds, which now constitute a substantial portion of Africa’s total debt.

He criticized the prevailing ‘Africa premium’ that raises borrowing costs for African countries despite their lower default rates compared to other regions.

Adesina called for a paradigm shift in the perception of risk associated with African investments, advocating for a more nuanced approach that reflects the continent’s economic potential.

He stated the importance of an orderly and predictable debt resolution framework, called for the expedited implementation of the G20 Common Framework.

The AfDB President also outlined various initiatives and instruments employed by the bank to mitigate risks and attract institutional investors, including partial credit guarantees and synthetic securitization.

He expressed optimism about Africa’s renewable energy sector and highlighted the Africa Investment Forum as a catalyst for large-scale investments in critical sectors.

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Nigeria’s $2.25 Billion Loan Request to Receive Final Approval from World Bank in June

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IMF - Investors King

Nigeria’s $2.25 billion loan request is expected to receive final approval from the World Bank in June.

The loan, consisting of $1.5 billion in Development Policy Financing and $750 million in Programme-for-Results Financing, aims to bolster Nigeria’s developmental efforts.

Finance Minister Wale Edun hailed the loan as a “free lunch,” highlighting its favorable terms, including a 40-year term, 10 years of moratorium, and a 1% interest rate.

Edun highlighted the loan’s quasi-grant nature, providing substantial financial support to Nigeria’s economic endeavors.

While the loan request awaits formal approval in June, Edun revealed that the World Bank’s board of directors had already greenlit the credit, currently undergoing processing.

The loan signifies a vote of confidence in Nigeria’s economic resilience and strategic response to global challenges, as showcased during the recent Spring Meetings.

Nigeria’s delegation, led by Edun, underscored the nation’s commitment to addressing economic obstacles and leveraging international partnerships for sustainable development.

With the impending approval of the $2.25 billion loan, Nigeria looks poised to embark on transformative initiatives, buoyed by crucial financial backing from the World Bank.

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Nigeria Secures $1.05bn Oil-Backed Loan to Bolster Economy

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Bola Tinubu

Nigeria has successfully secured a significant oil-backed loan worth $1.05 billion from the African Import Export Bank.

The syndicated loan, set to be disbursed next month, represents a crucial step in the country’s efforts to revive its economy and enhance foreign exchange liquidity.

This loan forms part of a larger $3.3 billion prepayment facility orchestrated by Afreximbank, with repayment terms intricately linked to crude oil cargoes from the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Ltd.

The agreement, confirmed by Afreximbank’s Senior Executive Vice President for Finance, Administration, and Banking, Denys Denya, underscores the confidence in Nigeria’s oil reserves and its potential to generate revenue even amid global economic uncertainties.

The financial injection is expected to provide a much-needed boost to Nigeria’s economy, which has been grappling with various challenges, including fluctuating oil prices, currency devaluation, and inflationary pressures.

By leveraging its oil reserves, Nigeria aims to enhance its foreign exchange reserves and stabilize its local currency, thereby bolstering investor confidence and stimulating economic growth.

The timing of this loan is particularly significant as Nigeria seeks to navigate the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic and the economic disruptions caused by geopolitical tensions, including the Russia-Ukraine conflict.

With oil prices experiencing fluctuations and market uncertainties looming, the loan serves as a strategic mechanism to mitigate financial risks and enhance economic resilience.

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited had previously announced plans to utilize funds from the $3.3 billion financing deal secured from Afreximbank to support the Federal Government in stabilizing the country’s exchange rate.

The adoption of a conservative crude oil price benchmark of $65 per barrel for the loan facility reflects a prudent approach to risk management, ensuring financial stability amidst volatile market conditions.

Furthermore, the loan disbursement is strategically tied to future oil sales, with repayments structured to align with anticipated revenue streams.

This approach not only mitigates the risks associated with oil price volatility but also ensures a sustainable and manageable debt repayment process.

While the loan provides immediate liquidity and financial flexibility, Nigeria remains committed to implementing comprehensive economic reforms to drive long-term sustainable growth.

The government’s efforts to diversify the economy, enhance infrastructure development, and promote investment in key sectors will complement the benefits derived from the oil-backed loan, fostering inclusive economic development and prosperity for all Nigerians.

As Nigeria embarks on this transformative journey, the successful acquisition of the $1.05 billion oil-backed loan represents a pivotal milestone in the country’s economic recovery efforts. With prudent fiscal management and strategic resource utilization, Nigeria is poised to unlock its full economic potential and emerge stronger in the post-pandemic era.

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