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Investors Lose N432bn as Stocks Value Drops

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Investors Lose N432bn as Stocks Value Drops

The value of shares held by investors in the Nigerian capital market (equities category) fell by N432bn in the third quarter of 2016 when compared with the performance of the market in the second quarter.

Within the space of three months, investors in the Nigerian capital market have lost N432bn, statistics from the Nigerian Stock Exchange have indicated.

The data specifically showed that the NSE’s market capitalisation slid from N10.165tn to N9.733tn in the third quarter of 2016.

Experts said the continued drop in the value of most equities in the nation’s capital market must have dampened the spirits of investors.

Between September 28, 2015 and September 28, 2016, the NSE’s market capitalisation dropped by N873bn from N10.572tn to N9.699tn. The All-Share Index also fell to 28,236.23 basis points from 30,762.29 basis points.

There was also a significant drop in the volume of transactions in the market, as this dropped to 159.046 million from 266.652 million.

In the same vein, the value of market transactions and deals plummeted; compared to last year’s figures. In 2015, while the value of transactions and market deals stood at N3.179bn and 3,366, respectively, the figures dropped to N1.454bn and 3,237, respectively in the third quarter of 2016.

Experts noted that the fall of the nation’s capital market indices had persisted for some period.

For instance, between August and September this year, the stock market recorded a drop in liquidity to the tune of N0.411bn.

The drop reflected on the volume and value of shares traded in the period under review, which also plummeted.

The NSE ASI as of June 30, 2016 was 29,597.79 basis points; but at the close of the third quarter (September 30), the NSE ASI stood at 28,335.40.

There was a slide in the turnover of shares traded on the floor of the NSE during the period under review. For instance, the third quarter report showed that a total of 1.183 billion shares worth N10.300bn in 16,522 deals were traded in September 2016 by investors.

This, however, was in contrast with a turnover of 1.361 billion shares worth N10.711bn in 16,070 deals traded in August 2016 by investors on the Exchange’s floor.

Share turnover is a measure of stock liquidity calculated by dividing the total number of shares traded over a period by the average number of shares outstanding for the period. Thus, the lower the share turnover, the less liquid the shares of companies quoted on the Exchange, vice versa.

The National Bureau of Statistics had in the second quarter of this year said the country recorded its lowest investment inflow in nine years.

The participation of foreign investors in the NSE fell by 15 per cent between January and February this year, according to data from the bourse.

The NSE had put the level of participation by the foreigners at 51.57 per cent for January 2016. But in February 2016, the number dropped to 36.48 per cent.

Investors in the country’s capital market (equities category) lost over N1.053tn in the first quarter of 2016.

Within three months (January to March), the equities market had depreciated by 10.79 per cent, according to the NSE data.

As of the first day of trading this year (January 4), the NSE’s market capitalisation stood at N9.757tn, while the ASI was 28,370.32 basis points.

But as of the last day of trading in the first quarter of 2016 (March 31), the market capitalisation and ASI had crashed to N8.704tn and 25,306.22 basis points, respectively.

In the light of these developments, the Chartered Institute of Stockbrokers said although Nigeria had been an attractive domain for investment, there was the need for well-thought-out policies to drive businesses and the economy at large.

The institute said foreign investors would be further encouraged if the country could be consistent with its monetary policies in line with the global best practices.

It noted that the participation of local investors remained very critical to the growth of the market, adding that they (local investors) were the people that would bring stability to the equity market.

Commenting on the current market situation, the Chief Executive Officer, Alpha African Advisory, Sanyade Okoli, said the Nigerian equities market lacked the needed depth.

According to her, the market needs a significant inflow of funds to make it relatively stable to withstand traditional shocks that will always confront it.

She stressed that the market had yet to recover from the global financial crisis of 2007/2008 given its current value.

A former Managing Director, Asset Management Corporation of Nigeria, Mustafa Chike-Obi, in an interview, said the value of most equities in the country’s capital market had significantly been eroded, leaving most investors with little or nothing in terms of investment worth.

This development, he noted, had given rise to investor scepticism as far as the Nigerian equity market was concerned.

He described the situation as pathetic and grave, saying all stakeholders must come together to decide the way forward and redirect the trends in the market.

Chike-Obi said the beating the stock market had received would be better understood if the stock market value could be graded in dollar terms, considering the current foreign exchange rate.

“There is the need to encourage investors. Nobody is going to put their money in a place where they will lose the money. This is one thing that must be changed for us to move forward,” he added.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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