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Nigeria, Other African Nations Must Improve Infrastructures, Reduce Unemployment to Boost Growth

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Trade - Investors King

Nigeria’s rising unemployment rate is becoming unbearable with no end in sight despite the nation’s potential and vast natural resources. Battered by the Covid-19 pandemic, weak economic fundamentals and many more, Africa’s largest economy, continues to struggle to address salient issues like infrastructure, rising debt servicing cost, etc.

Nigeria and other African countries have been advised to broaden and improve their infrastructures if they must rein in their unemployment rates and boost economic growth post-pandemic.

According to a report by Bloomberg, the most industrialized African nation, South Africa has the highest unemployment rate on a global list of 82 countries with a jobless rate of 34.4 percent in Q2, 2021, while Namibia trailed South Africa with 33.4 percent and Nigeria, Africa’s largest economy, came third with 33.3 percent unemployment rate.

The global chief economist, Renaissance Capital, Charles Robertson advised the African countries to look deeply into industrialization, their educated population and electricity in a bid to record sustainable growth like their Asian counterpart.

According to him, about five decades ago, the Asian Tigers, Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, and Taiwan, were in almost similar conditions as most African countries today, but they leveraged on the impact of industrialization, building major industrial estates, offering tax incentives to foreign investors, and implementing compulsory education for its young population, this was when the global economy was just starting to recover from the traumas of the Second World War.

A professor in the institution of statistical, social, and economic research, University of Ghana, Peter Quartey stated that African countries should look beyond becoming import-dependent with less production, less manufacturing, and more consumption. Quartey explained that the region if continued on the current path, will keep creating jobs for others, who have developed their country.

In a statement by the World Bank, 80 percent of the world’s extremely poor people reside in countries with a human capital index under 0.5, which Nigeria with (0.36), Angola (0.36), Ethiopia (0.38), and Tanzania (0.38) falls into this category compared to the ‘tiger’ nations that have some of the world’s highest human capital index, Singapore (0.88), Hong Kong (0.81) and South Korea (0.80).

The CEO, Alluvial Agriculture, Dimieari Von Kemedi at the business gathering has challenged Africa for underutilizing agriculture given its 60 percent of the world’s uncultivated arable land. He urged the continent to effectively utilize its comparative advantage in agriculture, adding that it will enhance the capacity and productivity of small-scale farmers.

However, the industry experts claimed that the ability to create opportunities for its young talents to acquire skills and reduce brain drain will also play a role in taking Africa to its desired destination.

In recent times, many of Africa’s experts and talented minds had fled the continent to other regions with necessary infrastructures. For example, Nigeria saw 805 medical doctors migrate to the UK between July and December 2021, according to the data by the British General Medical Council.

The managing director of Africa’s largest disposable Syringe Company, Jubilee Syringe, Akin Oyediran said if Africa continent must achieve the much-needed development, it should do well by retaining its health workers in order to boost the health sector, reduce brain drain, and ease medical workers off tax.

 

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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