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The Fed is Spooking Investors Into Adopting Fundamentals

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The Federal Reserve’s expected move today to raise interest rates is spooking investors into doing what they should be doing already: ensuring their portfolios are properly diversified – and this is a good thing.

This is the assessment from Nigel Green, the chief executive and founder of deVere Group, one of the world’s largest independent financial advisory, asset management and fintech organisations, as markets wait for the U.S. central bank’s announcement on Wednesday at which they could signal the first lift-off in U.S. interest rates since 2018 as they seek to tackle hot-running inflation.

He notes: “Today is the day. Investors around the world have been prepping for the Fed’s big decision since the beginning of the year, which, in turn, has sparked bouts of volatility in global stock markets.

“We saw this turbulence on Monday with one of the most remarkable Wall Street rebounds on record. It was the first time since the fallout of the 2008 financial crisis that the Nasdaq had been down more than 4% on the session and closed up. It was a similar story on the Dow Jones index.”

The deVere CEO explains what’s happening: “While higher interest rates increase borrowing costs for all businesses, they also make firms’ projected profits worth less in investors’ valuation models. This is exacerbated for tech and other growth stocks whose peak earnings are not expected for years to come.

“As such, investors are now more eager to reconsider the value sectors of energy, industrials, materials and financials, and increase their exposure to them.

“Some of the tech and growth stocks’ valuations are simply too high and it doesn’t make sense to be over-exposed.

“However, sensibly, they will not be dumping all growth stocks. They will also be aware that the pandemic has led to the advancement of fundamental trends, such as online shopping, remote working and gaming.”

In short, says Nigel Green, the Fed’s expected move on interest rates is “is spooking investors into doing what they should be doing already: ensuring their portfolios are properly diversified.”

This, he goes on to say, “is a good thing.”

A diversified portfolio is a collection of different investments that combine to reduce an investor’s overall risk profile. Diversification includes owning stocks from several different industries, regions, and risk profiles, as well as other investments such as bonds, commodities, currencies and real estate.

“As ever, the best way to mitigate risk and position yourself for opportunities is to be diversified.”

He concludes: “The Fed is delivering a high-pitched wake-up call to investors around the world about financial history: review your portfolio regularly, remain diversified and don’t try and ‘time the market’.”

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Microsoft to Invest $2.2 Billion in Malaysia’s Digital Infrastructure

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Microsoft Corporation has announced plans to inject $2.2 billion into Malaysia’s digital infrastructure over the next four years.

This investment shows the company’s determination to harness the potential of Southeast Asia’s burgeoning technology market.

During his visit to Kuala Lumpur, Microsoft’s Chief Executive Officer, Satya Nadella, revealed the company’s ambitious agenda, which encompasses the construction of essential infrastructure to support its cloud computing and artificial intelligence (AI) services.

Nadella also outlined plans to provide AI training to 200,000 individuals in Malaysia and collaborate with the government to enhance the nation’s cybersecurity capabilities.

The move comes amidst intensified competition among tech giants, including Alphabet Inc., Amazon.com Inc., and Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., to gain a foothold in Southeast Asia’s rapidly digitizing landscape.

With a population exceeding 650 million people, the region presents a lucrative market for tech companies seeking to expand their operations beyond traditional strongholds like China.

“We are committed to supporting Malaysia’s AI transformation and ensure it benefits all Malaysians,” stated Nadella.

During his visit, Nadella met Prime Minister Anwar Ibrahim and discussed the importance of collaboration between the public and private sectors in driving digital innovation.

Microsoft’s investment not only serves to fortify Malaysia’s technological infrastructure but also aligns with the company’s broader strategy to assert its presence in the Asian market.

Nadella has previously pledged a substantial sum of $7 billion to bolster Microsoft’s services across the region, emphasizing the pivotal role of AI as a catalyst for growth and urging countries to ramp up investment in the technology.

In Malaysia, the southern region of Johor Bahru, linked to Singapore by a causeway, is emerging as a key hub for AI data centers.

The partnership between Nvidia Corp. and local utility YTL Power International Bhd. to establish a $4.3 billion AI data center park in the area underscores the region’s growing significance in the realm of digital infrastructure.

While AI adoption in Southeast Asia is still in its nascent stages, experts predict significant economic benefits with the potential to add approximately $1 trillion to the region’s economy by 2030.

Malaysia is poised to capture a substantial portion of this growth with estimates suggesting a potential windfall of around $115 billion for the country.

Microsoft’s commitment extends beyond Malaysia, as the company announced similar investments during Nadella’s regional tour.

In Indonesia, Microsoft unveiled a $1.7 billion investment plan, while an undisclosed amount was pledged for initiatives in Thailand. Notably, Microsoft intends to invest approximately $1 billion in a new data center in Thailand, as reported by the Bangkok Post.

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Investors Flock to Nigerian Treasury Bills, Subscriptions Soar to N23.75 Trillion

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Nigeria’s Treasury Bills market has witnessed an unprecedented surge in investor interest with subscriptions soaring to N23.75 trillion in the first four months of 2024.

This increase represents a significant 292% Year-on-Year growth from N6.06 trillion recorded in the same period in 2023.

Treasury Bills, short-term government debt instruments issued by the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), have become increasingly attractive to both local and foreign investors.

The double-digit interest rates offered on NTBs have lured investors seeking refuge from the uncertainties of the global economic landscape.

The surge in subscriptions comes amidst Nigeria’s efforts to bridge its budget deficit and manage monetary challenges amidst a scarcity of foreign exchange and double-digit inflation rates.

Investors’ confidence in the CBN’s ability to navigate these challenges has been bolstered by robust subscription rates, indicating a positive outlook for the country’s fiscal stability.

The 2024 Budget of ‘Renewed Hope’, proposed by President Bola Tinubu, outlines a total expenditure of N27.5 trillion, with a deficit of N9.18 trillion.

The high demand for NTBs underscores investors’ confidence in the government’s fiscal policies and its commitment to economic reform.

As interest rates on NTBs have risen in response to inflationary pressures, the CBN has capitalized on this demand by auctioning larger volumes of NTBs.

The move aims to address liquidity in the financial system while attracting foreign investors seeking higher yields.

Analysts view the surge in NTBs subscriptions as a testament to investors’ confidence in the Nigerian government and its reforms.

The massive oversubscription signals significant system liquidity and reflects the attractiveness of NTBs as a safe investment option amidst economic uncertainties.

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A.P. Moller-Maersk Pledges $600m Investment in Nigerian Ports

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A.P. Moller-Maersk, one of the world’s largest shipping and logistics companies, has committed a $600 million investment into Nigerian ports.

The decision was unveiled during a high-profile meeting between Chairman of A.P. Moller-Maersk, Mr. Robert Maersk Uggla, and Nigerian President Bola Tinubu.

The investment, aimed at expanding port infrastructure to accommodate larger container ships, comes at a pivotal moment for Nigeria’s economy.

Historically, the West African coast has been serviced by smaller vessels but with this injection of capital, A.P. Moller-Maersk envisions deploying larger ships to Nigeria, transforming the country into a major logistics hub for the region.

The move not only underscores Nigeria’s strategic importance but also highlights the company’s confidence in the country’s growth potential.

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum Special Meeting on Global Collaboration, Growth, and Energy for Development in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, Chairman Robert Maersk Uggla expressed optimism about Nigeria’s prospects.

“We have seen a significant opportunity for Nigeria to cater for larger container ships,” Uggla stated. “To achieve this, we need to expand the port infrastructure, especially in Lagos, where we need a bigger hub for logistics services. The growth potential is hard to quantify.”

In response, President Tinubu welcomed the firm’s commitment and emphasized the government’s dedication to fostering an enabling environment for investments.

“We appreciate your business and the contribution you have made and continue to make to our country’s economy over time,” Tinubu remarked. “A bet on Nigeria is a winning bet. It is also a bet that rewards beyond what is obtainable elsewhere.”

The infusion of $600 million into Nigerian ports signifies more than just a financial transaction; it symbolizes a partnership built on mutual trust and shared objectives.

With Nigeria poised to benefit from enhanced port infrastructure and increased trade capacity, the ripple effects of this investment are expected to be felt across various sectors of the economy.

Furthermore, A.P. Moller-Maersk’s decision aligns with Nigeria’s broader vision of becoming a regional economic powerhouse. By attracting foreign investment and fostering strategic collaborations, the country is laying the groundwork for sustainable growth and development.

As Nigeria charts a course towards prosperity, the $600 million commitment from A.P. Moller-Maersk serves as a beacon of hope and a testament to the nation’s potential on the global stage. With determination and collective effort, Nigeria stands poised to capitalize on this opportunity and navigate the waters of progress with confidence.

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