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Newly Imposed Excise Duty of N10 Per Litre On Carbonated and Non-Alcoholic Drink Will Hurt Demand and Lead To Job Loss – LCCI and NLC

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The Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry (LCCI) and Nigeria Labour Congress (NLC) reject the federal government’s newly imposed excise duty of N10 per liter on all Non-alcoholic, carbonated and sweetened Beverages.

Excise duty is a tax imposed on the manufacture, sale, or consumption of some selected products such as alcoholic drinks, tobacco and petroleum products.  it is an indirect tax, causing the manufacturers or producer to recover their loss by raising the price of their goods.

At the public presentation of the approved 2022 FGN budget last week, the minister of Finance, Budget and National Planning, Mrs. Zainab Ahmed said, “there is now Excise Duty of N10 per liter imposed on all non-alcoholic, carbonated and sweetened beverages. This is to discourage excessive consumption of sugar in beverages which contributes to diabetes, obesity, etc.

“The new ‘Sugar Tax’ introduced is also to raise excise duties and revenues for health-related and other critical expenditures. It is in line with the 2022 budget priorities.”

This new development was not welcomed by LCCI and NLC, the two bodies request the government to reconsider its decision as this newly imposed excise duty will have an adverse effect on the economy. Reminding the federal government of the two giant tyre manufacturing companies, Dunlop and Michelin, which were forced to relocate to neighboring countries as a result of epileptic power supply that dragged on their cost of production.

It is believed that a similar situation might play out, resulting in the relocation of non-alcoholic and carbonated companies to neighbouring countries.

In a statement released last week, the Director-General of LCCI, Chinyere Almona, said the newly imposed excise duty on carbonated and non-alcoholic drinks would have a ripple effect on the demand and prices of affected commodities which will affect domestic producers and in turn result in job loss dues to the potential reduction in production activities.

Chinyere said, “the federal government has announced it will charge an excise levy of N10 per litre on all non-alcoholic carbonated sweetened beverages to discourage excessive sugar consumption and boost revenue.”

“The immediate concerns are the likely increase in prices which may lead to a decrease in demand and, consequently, loss of jobs due to a reduction in production activities.

“The prohibition on imported drinks should be better enforced to protect domestic production from unfair competition in the face of the high cost of production in Nigeria.”

This policy will increase the price of carbonated drinks across the country and “impose immense hardship on ordinary Nigerians who easily keep hunger at bay with a bottle of soft drink and maybe a loaf of bread.”

Speaking further, the LCCI recommended an upward review of the budget allocation to the country’s health sector.

“We, however, recommend that the realized revenue from these levies be channeled into improving the country’s grossly inadequate health infrastructure. The allocation to the health sector in the 2022 federal budget of N463bn should be reviewed upward to the region of a trillion naira invested into the sector in the next ten years.

“And beyond the levying of taxes on carbonated drinks to force a reduction in consumption, we urge the various public health agencies to regulate the production of sugary drinks to reduce their negative effect on human health.” The chamber said.

According to Chinyere, adopting the new excise duty is inevitable if the federal government insists to enforce the new “sugar tax”. She said, “If the President insists he wants it, we have to oblige him,” she said.

In a statement released by NLC and signed by Comrade Ayuba Wabba, the union said its concern about the newly imposed excise tax is the mass hunger that would result from the potential increase in the retail price of soft drinks which will be beyond the reach of many Nigerians.

The union further explained that the increase in the price of non-alcoholic and carbonated drinks would push some Nigerians to resort to consumption of substandard and unhygienic drinks as substitutes for carbonated drinks which will put them at risk of serious health challenges.

If this happens, it will negate the federal government’s objective to discourage over-consumption of sugar and check obesity.

NLC full statement:

On the 31st of December 2021, President Muhammadu Buhari signed into law the Finance Act. Some of the provisions of the Finance Act include the imposition of excise duties on locally produced non-alcoholic, carbonated, and sugary drinks.

The reason offered by the government for this decision was to discourage the consumption of sugar by Nigerians as it has led to an upsurge in obesity and diabetes. In a letter dated 27th November 2021, the Nigeria Labour Congress wrote to the President and Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Nigeria, President Muhammadu Buhari, GCFR and the leadership of the two chambers of the National Assembly pleading that government should suspend the implementation of the excise duties on non-alcoholic, carbonated and sugary drinks.

The Congress provided a number of very cogent reasons why the government should not go ahead with the decision to impose fresh taxes on soft drinks. One of the reasons we advanced was that the re-introduction of excise duties on non-alcoholic, carbonated and sugary drinks will impose immense hardship on ordinary Nigerians who easily keep hunger at bay with a bottle of soft drink and maybe a loaf of bread.

Our concern is the mass hunger that would result from the slightest increase in the retail price of soft drinks owing to the imposition of excise duties as it would be priced beyond the reach of many Nigerians. Congress was also alerted by the complaint of manufacturers of soft drinks in Nigeria that the re-introduction of excise duties would lead to a very sharp decline in sales, forced reduction in production capacity, and a certain roll back in investments with the certainty of job losses and possibly shut down of manufacturing plants.

Nigerians would recall that this was also the complaint of tyre manufacturing companies such as Dunlop and Michelin which was overlooked by the government until the two companies relocated to neighboring Ghana. A similar situation is playing out with the soft drinks manufacturing sub-sector. Government should pay attention.

With 38% of the entire manufacturing output in Nigeria and 22.5% share representation of the entire manufacturing sector in Nigeria, the food and beverage industry is the largest industrial sub-sector in our country. The food and beverage sub-sector has generated to the coffers of government N202 billion as VAT in the past five years, N7.3 billion as Corporate Social Responsibility and has created 1.5 million decent jobs both directly and indirectly.

There is thus no gainsaying the fact that the industry is a golden goose that must be kept alive. The health reason proffered by the government as a reason for the reintroduction of the excise duties seems altruistic. Yet, we are amiss why the government did not place the excise duties on sugar itself as a commodity rather than on carbonated drinks.

The truth of the matter is that an additional increase in the retail price of carbonated drinks would put more Nigerians at risk of serious health challenges as many people would resort to consuming sub-standard and unhygienic drinks as substitutes for carbonated drinks.

The appeal to rescind the re-introduction of excise duties on non-alcoholic drinks becomes even more compelling when the projected immediate revenue expected from the policy is weighed against the potential long-term loss to both manufacturers and the government. The beverage sub-sector will lose 40% of its current sales revenue.

This translates to a loss of N1.9 trillion. While the government will only make total projected receipts of N81 billion from the proposed reintroduction of the excise duties. The government also stands to lose N197 billion in VAT, Company Income Tax and Tertiary Education Tax as a consequence of the expected downturn in overall industry performance should the excise duties be effected as being planned.

In light of the foregoing, we ask the National Assembly to quickly amend the sections of the Finance Act that re-introduced excise duties on non-alcoholic and carbonated drinks. We also ask the government to extend COVID-19 palliatives and support incentives to the Food and Beverages industry to cushion the shock and hemorrhage that the industry is trying to recover from.

Finally, we demand that Government should engage Employers in the subsector and Organized Labour in sincere discussions on other options that can deliver a mutually satisfying win-win solution to this issue. We hope that the current situation will not be allowed to degenerate into a breakdown in industrial relations in the sector and generally in the country.

Comrade Ayuba Wabba, mni

President

January 2022

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Economy

DR Congo-China Deal: $324 Million Annually for Infrastructure Hinges on Copper Prices

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In a significant development for the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC), a newly revealed contract sheds light on a revamped minerals-for-infrastructure deal with China, signaling billions of dollars in financing contingent upon the price of copper.

This pivotal agreement, signed in March as an extension to a 2008 pact, underscores the intricate interplay between commodity markets and infrastructure development in resource-rich nations.

Under the terms of the updated contract, the DRC stands to receive a substantial injection of $324 million annually for infrastructure projects from its Chinese partners through 2040.

However, there’s a catch: this funding stream is directly linked to the price of copper. As long as the price of copper remains above $8,000 per ton, the DRC is entitled to this considerable sum to bolster its infrastructure.

The latest data indicates that copper is currently trading at $9,910 per ton, well above the threshold specified in the contract.

This bodes well for the DRC’s ambitious infrastructure plans, as the nation seeks to rebuild its road network, which has suffered from decades of neglect and conflict.

However, the contract also outlines a dynamic mechanism that adjusts funding levels based on copper price fluctuations.

Should the price exceed $12,000 per ton, the DRC stands to benefit further, with 30% of the additional profit earmarked for additional infrastructure projects.

Conversely, if copper prices fall below $8,000, the funding will diminish, ceasing altogether if prices dip below $5,200 per ton.

One of the most striking aspects of the contract is the extensive tax exemptions granted to the project, providing a significant financial incentive for both parties involved.

The contract stipulates a total exemption from all indirect or direct taxes, duties, fees, customs, and royalties through the year 2040, further enhancing the attractiveness of the deal for both the DRC and its Chinese partners.

This minerals-for-infrastructure deal, centered around the joint mining venture known as Sicomines, underscores the DRC’s strategic partnership with China, a key player in global commodity markets.

With China Railway Group Ltd., Power Construction Corp. of China (PowerChina), and Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Co. holding a majority stake in Sicomines, the project represents a significant collaboration between the DRC and Chinese entities.

According to the contract, the total value of infrastructure loans under the deal amounts to a staggering $7 billion between 2008 and 2040, with a substantial portion already disbursed.

This infusion of capital is expected to drive socio-economic development in the DRC, leveraging its vast mineral resources to fund much-needed infrastructure projects.

As the DRC navigates the intricacies of global commodity markets, particularly the volatile copper market, this minerals-for-infrastructure deal with China presents both opportunities and challenges.

While it offers a vital lifeline for infrastructure development, the nation must remain vigilant to ensure that its long-term interests are safeguarded in the face of evolving market dynamics.

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Fitch Ratings Raises Egypt’s Credit Outlook to Positive Amid $57 Billion Bailout

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Fitch Ratings has upgraded Egypt’s credit outlook to positive, reflecting growing confidence in the North African nation’s economic prospects following an international bailout of $57 billion.

The upgrade comes as Egypt secured a landmark bailout package to bolster its cash-strapped economy and provide much-needed relief amidst economic challenges exacerbated by geopolitical tensions and the global pandemic.

Fitch affirmed Egypt’s credit rating at B-, positioning it six notches below investment grade. However, the shift in outlook to positive shows the country’s progress in addressing external financing risks and implementing crucial economic reforms.

The positive outlook follows Egypt’s recent agreements, including a $35 billion investment deal with the United Arab Emirates as well as additional support from international financial institutions such as the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank.

According to Fitch Ratings, the reduction in near-term external financing risks can be attributed to the significant investment pledges from the UAE, coupled with Egypt’s adoption of a flexible exchange rate regime and the implementation of monetary tightening measures.

These measures have enabled Egypt to navigate its foreign exchange challenges and mitigate the impact of years of managed currency policies.

The recent jumbo interest rate hike has also facilitated the devaluation of the Egyptian pound, addressing one of the country’s most pressing economic issues.

Egypt has faced mounting economic pressures in recent years, including foreign exchange shortages exacerbated by geopolitical tensions in the region.

Challenges such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and security threats in the Israel-Gaza region have further strained the country’s economic stability.

In response, Egyptian authorities have embarked on a series of reform efforts aimed at enhancing economic resilience and promoting private-sector growth.

These efforts include the sale of state-owned assets, curbing government spending, and reducing the influence of the military in the economy.

While Fitch Ratings’ positive outlook signals confidence in Egypt’s economic trajectory, other rating agencies have also expressed optimism.

S&P Global Ratings has assigned Egypt a B- rating with a positive outlook, while Moody’s Ratings assigns a Caa1 rating with a positive outlook.

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Fitch Ratings Lifts Nigeria’s Credit Outlook to Positive Amidst Reform Progress

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Fitch Ratings has upgraded Nigeria’s credit outlook to positive, citing the country’s reform progress under President Bola Tinubu’s administration.

This decision is a turning point for Africa’s largest economy and signals growing confidence in its economic trajectory.

The announcement comes six months after Fitch Ratings acknowledged the swift pace of reforms initiated since President Tinubu assumed office in May of the previous year.

According to Fitch, the positive outlook reflects the government’s efforts to restore macroeconomic stability and enhance policy coherence and credibility.

Fitch Ratings affirmed Nigeria’s long-term foreign-currency issuer default rating at B-, underscoring its confidence in the country’s ability to navigate economic challenges and drive sustainable growth.

Previously, Fitch had expressed concerns about governance issues, security challenges, high inflation, and a heavy reliance on hydrocarbon revenues.

However, the ratings agency expressed optimism that President Tinubu’s market-friendly reforms would address these challenges, paving the way for increased investment and economic growth.

President Tinubu’s administration has implemented a series of policy changes aimed at reducing subsidies on fuel and electricity while allowing for a more flexible exchange rate regime.

These measures, coupled with a significant depreciation of the Naira and savings from subsidy reductions, have bolstered the government’s fiscal position and attracted investor confidence.

Fitch Ratings highlighted that these reforms have led to a reduction in distortions stemming from previous unconventional monetary and exchange rate policies.

As a result, sizable inflows have returned to Nigeria’s official foreign exchange market, providing further support for the economy.

Looking ahead, the Nigerian government aims to increase its tax-to-revenue ratio and reduce the ratio of revenue allocated to debt service.

Efforts to achieve these targets have been met with challenges, including a sharp increase in local interest rates to curb inflation and manage public debt.

Despite these challenges, Nigeria’s economic outlook appears promising, with Fitch Ratings’ positive credit outlook reflecting growing optimism among investors and stakeholders.

President Tinubu’s administration remains committed to implementing reforms that promote sustainable growth, foster investment, and enhance the country’s economic resilience.

As Nigeria continues on its path of reform and economic transformation, stakeholders are hopeful that the positive momentum signaled by Fitch Ratings will translate into tangible benefits for the country and its people.

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