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FG Owes Oil Firms $8.1bn in Cash Calls

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markets energies crude oil

The Federal Government owes oil companies at least a total of $8.06bn in unpaid cash calls, as the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation failed to pay $3.06bn in the first seven months of the year.

The nation’s oil and gas production structure is majorly split between Joint Ventures onshore and in shallow water with foreign and local companies and production sharing contracts in deepwater offshore.

The NNPC owns between 55 per cent (for JVs with Shell) and 60 per cent (for all others) and the JVs are jointly funded by the private oil companies and the Federal Government through the corporation.

The latest monthly report of the NNPC showed that the corporation paid a total sum of $1.932bn from January to July this year, as against $4.987bn expected to be paid for the period.

It paid $407,857,571 in January, $236,700,314 in February, $141,868,647 in March and $300,590,276 in April. The corporation paid $149,876,805 in May, $214,398,900 in June and $168,129,620 in July.

In July, N61,615,100,170 (equivalent to a functional dollar of $312,767,005.94 at a budgeted exchange rate of N197/$) was transferred to joint venture cash call from domestic crude oil receipts of N90,815,444,663 in addition to the $168,129,620.

The NNPC is expected to pay $712.46m to its joint venture partners monthly for the development of oil and gas assets, translating into $8.55bn for the year, up from $7.39bn in 2015.

Last year, the corporation recorded a shortfall of $3.3bn in its cash call payment as it was only able to pay $4.13bn to the JV partners.

In January, industry stakeholders including the Managing Director/Chief Executive Officer, Chevron Nigeria Limited, Mr. Clay Neff, said the cash call arrears owed by the NNPC was over $5bn.

The NNPC in the report said, “Total export crude oil and gas receipt for the period of August 2015 — July 2016 stood at $3.21bn. Out of which the sum of $3.16bn was transferred to JV cash call in line with 2015/2016 Approved Budget and the balance of $0.49bn was paid to Federation Account.

“However, this amount falls short of the calendarised appropriated amount of $615.80m and $712.46m for 2015 and 2016 respectively. This is due to worsening production and fall in crude oil price.”

According to the NNPC, the JVCC funding is a first-line priority statutory provision in the 2016 Budget.

“Funding approved JVCC commitments is necessary to protect current and future production and the vice versa is detrimental and unlawful,” it said.

The funding problem, which has lingered for over two decades, has been exacerbated by the steep fall in global oil prices which drove down the country’s earnings from the commodity, its major revenue-earner.

Production from JV assets has over the past few years seen significant decline, partly due to funding constraints occasioned by the NNPC’s inability to meet its share of cash call obligation.

An industry source had in June said as of January this year, about $5.5bn cash call arrears had not been paid to the International Oil Companies, while $1.1bn is owed to the indigenous companies.

The Group Managing Director, NNPC, Dr. Maikanti Baru, on Tuesday said it had started working out modalities that would enable it to exit JV cash call arrears by ensuring that outstanding and future payments were liquated from oil and gas royalties and taxes under a first-line charge model.

The Federal Government must get out of paying so-called cash calls to joint ventures with oil and gas companies to stand a chance of pulling its ailing economy out of recession, the Finance Minister, Kemi Adeosun, said this month.

The minister said the NNPC had spent N110bn ($360 million) on cash calls this month, which dwarfed the country’s N41bn income from oil production over the same period.

“We are already working to see how we can get out of the cash calls. And that is very fundamental to the economy,” Adeosun told a press conference.

“We are working with the Ministry of Petroleum Resources and NNPC … that’s a long-term plan: To allow those joint ventures to borrow money that they need rather than taking money out of the Federation Account.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

Economy

FG to Hike VAT on Luxury Goods by 15%, Exempts Essentials for Vulnerable Nigerians

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Value added tax - Investors King

Nigeria’s Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Mr. Wale Edun, has announced plans by the Federal Government to raise the Value Added Tax (VAT) on luxury goods by 15% despite the ongoing economic challenges.

Minister Edun made this known in Washington DC, during a meeting with investors as part of the ongoing IMF/ World Bank Annual Forum.

While essential goods consumed by poor and vulnerable Nigerians will not be affected by the increase, Edun, however, the increase in VAT will affect luxury items.

He said, “In terms of VAT, President Bola Tinubu’s commitment is that while implementing difficult and wide-range but necessary reforms, the poorest and most vulnerable will be protected.

The minister also revealed that the bill is currently under review by the National Assembly and in due time, the government will release a list of essential goods exempted from VAT to provide clarity to the public.

“So, the Bills going through the National Assembly in terms of VAT will raise VAT for the wealthy on luxury goods, while at the same time exempting or applying a zero rate to essentials that the poor and average citizens purchase,” Edun explained.

Earlier in October, Investors King reported that the FG had removed VAT on diesel and cooking gas, among others to enhance economic productivity and ease the harsh reality of the current economy.

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Economy

Global Debt-to-GDP Ratio Approaching 100%, Rising Above Pandemic Peak

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Naira Exchange Rates - Investors King

The IMF sees countries debt growing above 100% of global GDP, Vitor Gaspar, head of the Fund’s Fiscal Affairs Department said ahead of the launch of the Fiscal Monitor (FM) Wednesday (October 23) in Washington, DC.

“Deficits are high and global public debt is very high and rising. If it continues at the current pace, the global debt-to-GDP ratio will approach 100% by the end of the decade, rising above the pandemic peak,” said Gaspar about the main message from the IMF’s Fiscal Monitor report.

The Fiscal Monitor is highlighting new tools to help policymakers determining the risk of high levels of debt.

“Assessing and managing public debt risks is a major task for policymakers. The Fiscal Monitor makes a major contribution. The Debt at Risk Framework. It considers the distribution of outcomes around the most likely scenario. The analysis in the Fiscal Monitor shows that debt risks are substantially worse than they look from the baseline alone. The framework should help policymakers take preemptive action to avoid the most adverse outcomes.”

Gaspar said that there’s a careful balance between keeping debt lower, versus necessary spending on people, infrastructure and social priorities.

“The Fiscal Monitor identifies three main drivers of debt risks. First, spending pressures from long term underlying trends, but also challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. Second, optimistic bias in debt projections. And third, increasing uncertainty associated with economic, financial and political developments.

Spending pressures from long term underlying trends and from challenging politics at national, continental and global levels. The key is for countries to get started on getting debt under control and to keep at it. Waiting is risky. The longer you wait, the greater the risk the debt becomes unsustainable. At the same time, countries that can afford it should avoid cutting too much, too fast. That would hurt growth and jobs. That is why in many cases we recommend an enduring but gradual fiscal adjustment.”

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Economy

IMF Attributes Nigeria’s Economic Downgrade to Inflation, Flooding, and Oil Woes

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IMF - Investors King

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has blamed the downgrade of Nigeria’s economic growth particularly on the effects of recent inflation, flooding and oil production setbacks.

In its World Economic Outlook (WEO) published on Tuesday, the Bretton Wood institution noted that Nigeria’s economy has grown in the last two quarters despite inflation and the weakening of the local currency, however, this could only translate to 2.9 percent in 2024 and 3.2 percent in 2025.

“Nigeria’s economy in the first and second quarter of the year grew by 2.98% and 3.19% respectively amid a surge in inflation and further depreciation of the Naira.

“The GDP growth rate in the first two quarters of 2024 surpassed the figure for 2023, representing resilience despite severe macroeconomic shocks with a spike in petrol prices and a 28-year high inflation rate,” the report seen by Investors King shows.

The spokesperson for IMF’s Research Department, Mr Jean-Marc Natal, said agricultural disruptions caused by severe flooding and security and maintenance issues hampering oil production were key drivers of the revision.

“There has been, over the last year and a half, some progress in the region. You saw, inflation stabilising in some countries, going down even and reaching a level close to the target. So, half of them are still at a large distance from the target, and a third of them are still having double-digit inflation.

“In terms of growth, it’s quite uneven, but it remains too low. The other issue is that in the region it is still high. It has stopped increasing, and in some countries already starting to consolidate, but it’s still too high, and the debt service is, correspondingly, still high in the region,” he said.

It also expects to see some changes in Nigeria’s inflation, which has slowed down in July and August before rising to 32.7 percent in September 2024.

“Nigeria’s inflation rate only began to slow down in July 2024 after 19 months of consistent increase dating back to January 2023.

“However, after two months of slowdown hiatus, inflation continued to rise on the back of an increase in petrol prices by the NNPCL in September,” the report said.

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