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World Bank Lists Nigeria The Fifth High Debt Risk Exposure Countries

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The World Bank has stated that Nigeria is among a list of top 10 countries with high debt risk exposure.

It stated this in the financial statement for International Development Association, which was among the World Bank FY21 audited financial statements released on Monday.

The financial statement said, “IDA faces two types of credit risk: country credit risk and counterparty credit risk.

“Country credit risk is the risk of loss due to a country not meeting its contractual obligations; and counterparty credit risk is the risk of loss attributable to a counterparty not honoring its contractual obligations.

“IDA is exposed to commercial as well as noncommercial counterparty credit risk.”

It stated, “As of June 30, 2021, the 10 countries with the highest exposures accounted for 66 percent of IDA’s total exposure.”

Nigeria was rated fifth on the list with $11.7bn IDA debt stock, while India led the list with $22bn IDA debt stock, followed by Bangladesh with $18.1bn IDA debt stock, Pakistan with $16.4bn IDA debt stock, and Vietnam with $14.1bn IDA debt stock.

Other countries on the list in order of appearance included Ethiopia with $11.2bn IDA debt stock, Kenya with $10.2 billion IDA debt stock, Tanzania with $8.3 billion IDA debt stock, Ghana with $5.6 billion IDA debt stock, and Uganda with $4.4 billion IDA debt stock.

It added that there was a Single Borrower Limit for IDA, which for FY22, had been set at $45bn (25 percent of $180.9 billion of equity as of June 30, 2021).

It was further discovered that Nigeria’s undisbursed balance with the World Bank is about $8.656 billion as at June 30, 2021.

According to the financial statement for the International Bank for Reconstruction and Development, Nigeria has a total of $589 million undisbursed balance, consisting of $500m loans approved but not yet signed and $89 million signed loan commitment.

The financial statement for IDA disclosed that Nigeria had a total undisbursed balance of $8.07 billion, consisting of $1.462 billion loans approved but not yet signed and a $6.61 billion signed loan commitment.

The financial statement for IBRD disclosed that although certain amount of loans has been agreed ‘the loans are not effective and disbursements do not start until the borrowers and/or guarantors take certain actions and furnish documents’.

A total of $1 billion loans were agreed between Nigeria and the World bank’s IBRD, of which Nigeria’s outstanding loan is $411 million.

For IDA, a total of $19.54 billion loans were agreed upon, of which Nigeria’s outstanding loan is $11.47 billion.

According to the Debt Management Office, Nigeria owes the World Bank a total of $11.51 billion, consisting of $11.10 billion IDA loans and $410.23 million IBRD loans as of March 31.

Other financial statements released included the statements for International Finance Corporation and Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency.

In a press statement titled ‘World Bank Group Releases FY21 Audited Financial Statements’, the bank disclosed that the World Bank Group commitments rose to $84.3 billion in the fiscal year 2021, 15 percent higher than FY20.

The statement quoted the World Bank Group President, David Malpass, as saying, “The World Bank Group support to client countries surged to $157 billion over the last 15 months to address increased poverty, inequality, and the impacts of COVID-19.”

He added that the unprecedented level of commitments helped countries strengthen health systems, protect the poor and vulnerable, support jobs and businesses, promote economic growth, and lay the foundation for green, resilient and inclusive recovery.

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Banking Sector

Central Bank of Nigeria Mandates Cybersecurity Levy on Transactions

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Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN)

In a bid to bolster cybersecurity measures within the financial sector, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) has issued a directive mandating banks and financial institutions to implement a cybersecurity levy on transactions.

The circular, released on Monday, outlines the commencement of this levy within two weeks from the date of issuance.

According to the circular, all commercial, merchant, non-interest, and payment service banks, as well as other financial institutions, mobile money operators, and payment service providers, are instructed to enforce this cybersecurity levy.

The directive is a follow-up to previous communications dated June 25, 2018, and October 5, 2018, emphasizing compliance with the Cybercrimes (Prohibition, Prevention, Etc.) Act 2015.

The levy is to be applied at the point of electronic transfer origination and subsequently deducted by the financial institution.

This deducted amount will then be remitted to the designated Nigerian Cybersecurity Fund (NCF) account domiciled at the CBN. Customers will see a deduction reflected in their account statement with the narration, ‘Cybersecurity Levy’.

Exemptions from this levy include certain transactions such as loan disbursements and repayments, salary payments, and intra-bank transfers among others.

The CBN aims to streamline and fortify cybersecurity efforts across the financial sector through the implementation of this levy.

This move by the CBN aligns with recent efforts to enhance regulatory oversight and mitigate risks within the financial ecosystem.

It follows closely after directives barring fintechs from onboarding new customers and warnings against engaging in cryptocurrency transactions.

Also, the Federal Government’s directive for the deduction of stamp duty charges on mortgaged-backed loans and bonds demonstrates a broader push for fiscal transparency and regulatory compliance.

The introduction of the cybersecurity levy underscores the CBN’s commitment to safeguarding digital transactions and ensuring the integrity of Nigeria’s financial infrastructure amidst evolving cyber threats.

As financial institutions gear up for implementation, the levy is poised to play a pivotal role in fortifying the nation’s cybersecurity resilience in an increasingly digitized landscape.

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Pension

PFAs Posted Decent Growth – Coronation Economic Note

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According to the latest monthly report released by Nigeria’s Pension Commission (PENCOM), the assets under management (AUM) of the regulated pension industry increased by +26.2% y/y to N19.7trn.

Meanwhile on an m/m basis, the AUM decline marginally by -0.5%.

This marks the first decline since September ’22. Notably, FGN debt securities accounted for 62% of the total AUM in March ’24. Meanwhile, other asset classes such as private equities, real estate, and infrastructure funds, accounted for 0.4%, 1.4%, and 0.8% of total AUM, respectively.

Total FGN debt securities held by the Pension Fund Administrators (PFAs) increased by +19.7%
y/y but declined marginally by -1.4% m/m.

Specifically, we note that the FGN bond instruments held by the PFAs increased by +17.2% y/y to N11.5trn, but declined by -2.4% m/m, on the back of a 10-year tenure FGN bond maturity (N719.9bn). The FGN bonds account for 58% of the total AUM.

FGN bonds remain attractive due to its lower risk profile and elevated yields. It is worth noting that the average FGN bond yield increased by +219bps m/m as at end-March ‘24.

The PENCOM report shows that NTBs held by PFAs grew by +120% y/y and increased by +42.5% m/m to N407.6bn in March ’24. We note that the average NTB yield increased by +250bps m/m as at end-March’24.

This asset class accounted for just 2.1% of the total AUM in the same month.

Meanwhile, State government securities held by the PFAs increased by 64.1% y/y to N266.2bn in March ‘24.

It is worth highlighting that domestic equity holdings surged by 99.6% y/y and 8.7% m/m to N2.1trn in the same period, accounting for 10.6% of the total AUM in March ‘24 compared with 9.7% in February ’24. The NGX-all-share index (NGX-ASI) rose by +90.6% y/y and +4.6% during the same period.

Furthermore, YTD (28-March ’24) return on index rose by +18.1% to close at 39.8% from 33.7% in February ’24.

Recently, the market has shown a bearish trajectory as the NGX-ASI declined by -6.1% m/m as at end-April ‘24, partly, on the back of relatively weak corporate earnings amid inflationary conditions. Given expectations of higher yields in the fixed income market on the back of continuous tightening or a hold stance of the CBN at the next MPC meeting, PFAs are likely to reallocate a greater portion of pension assets to fixed income securities.

According to PENCOM, the total pension contributions since inception remitted to the Individual Retirement Savings Account (RSA) increased by +17.3% y/y to N9.9trn as at end-December ‘23 compared with N8.5trn recorded as at end-December ‘22. Remittance from the public sector accounts for 52%, while private sector accounts for 48% of the total pension contributions.

This can be partly attributed to improvement in the efforts to expand pension coverage.

Notably, PENCOM added a total number of 8,927 micro pension contributors in Q4 ’23 bringing the total number of registered MPCs in the Micro pension plan from inception to 114,382 as at end-December ’23 from 89,327 as at end-December ’22.

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Banking Sector

GTCO Plc’s Profit Before Tax Grows by 587.5% to N509.35 Billion in Q1, 2024

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GTCO Commemorates Listing on Nigerian Exchange - Investors King

Guaranty Trust Holding Company (GTCO) Plc, one of Nigeria’s leading financial institutions, has unveiled its first quarter (Q1) financial results for the period ending March 31, 2024.

According to the report submitted to the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NGX), GTCO recorded a 587.5% growth in profit before tax (PBT) to N509.35 billion.

This substantial increase in pre-tax profit represents a significant jump from the N74.089 billion reported in the corresponding period of the previous year.

The financial statement also revealed a 227.93% rise in income tax to N52.213 billion, compared to N15.922 billion in the same period of 2023.

As a result, GTCO’s profit after tax (PAT) for the first quarter of 2024 rose to N457.134 billion, an exceptional growth of 685.9% from N58.167 billion recorded in the first quarter of the previous year.

The strong performance of GTCO can be attributed to several key factors. The Group’s loan book increased by 21.9% rising from N2.48 trillion recorded in December 2023 to N3.02 trillion by March 2024.

Similarly, deposit liabilities grew by 26.0% from N7.55 trillion in December 2023 to N9.51 trillion in March 2024.

Despite the challenging economic environment, GTCO’s balance sheet remained well-structured, diversified, and resilient.

Total assets closed at an impressive N13.0 trillion while shareholders’ funds stood solid at N2.0 trillion.

Commenting on the outstanding financial results, Mr. Segun Agbaje, the Group Chief Executive Officer of Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc, expressed optimism about the future.

He said the robust performance across all business verticals reaffirmed the value of the Holding Company Structure.

“Our first quarter results reflect the unfolding value of what we have created in all our business verticals through the Holding Company Structure – from Banking and Payments to Funds Management and Pension,” said Mr. Agbaje.

“We are positioned to compete effectively on all fronts and fulfill all our customers’ needs under a unified, thriving financial ecosystem.”

The growth in profitability underscores GTCO’s resilience, strategic focus, and unwavering commitment to delivering superior value to its stakeholders amidst evolving market dynamics.

As the Group continues to leverage its strengths and innovative capabilities, it remains well-positioned to navigate the ever-changing landscape of the financial services industry with confidence and resilience.

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