Connect with us

Markets

Recession: Analysts Canvass Collaboration Between Regulators, Banks

Published

on

Recession

Financial analysts in the country have called for a strong collaboration between financial sector regulators and the banking industry to chart an ideal course, given the receding state of the economy.

They identified huge communication gaps among the parties, saying the gaps must be closed if the country must move forward economically.

According to them, the country is going through hard times, which require a more holistic and thorough approach to check the level of economic decadence.

The analysts made this submission at a panel discussion organised for industries’ leaders held at the Nigerian Stock Exchange.

The Director of Investment Banking, Chapel Hill Denham, Mr. Ayo Fashina, noted that there was no need to borrow money when the country had assets to sell.

According to him, the Assets Management Corporation of Nigeria has over N3tn assets with the Central Bank of Nigeria, adding that the government, the banks and the regulators have to collaborate and help the country out of the current recession.

He said that banks already had liquidity challenges and the CBN needed to unlock liquidity in their balance sheet.

Other stakeholders at the meeting also urged the Federal Government to shelve the idea of borrowing from the international market considering the devaluation of the naira.

The Federal Government had said it would borrow $1bn from the international capital market to fund its expansionary budget and stimulate economic growth as inflation, slow growth and other challenges continued to hit the economy.

Fashina added, “If a foreign investor came in now, the same micro fundamental that happened in 2009 is happening now. Until the CBN issued special analysis of the banks because I am not sure that the assets level is right; for some banks, instead of qualifying their loans, they are putting them into watch list. How long will they continue to keep them in the watch list?”

Fashina attributed the drop in foreign portfolio investment in the country to volatility in foreign exchange, noting that unless the country fixed the exchange rate issues, foreign investors would not come to invest.

“The Nigerian economy is driven by the capital market and hence the NSE is currently constituted by 50 per cent foreign investors and 50 per cent local investors. The market is now coping with only the 50 per cent local investors while the 50 per cent foreign investors have taken flight for safety because of uncertainty of rate of foreign exchange,” he added.

Also, an economist and policy analyst, Dr. Ogho Okiti, said the country had not exited the problem of 2009 when AMCON was created, saying the non-performing loans had continued to increase.

He said, “I don’t know the facts from the banks. The stability and profitability of the banks are very weak. I hope we don’t repeat the same mistake of 2009.

“We have seen the symptoms and we don’t know how deep it will be. I am not saying the CBN is not going to bail out banks, but banks NPLs continue to increase.”

Nigeria officially slid into recession for the first time in more than 20 years as the National Bureau of Statistics recently announced a further contraction in the second quarter of the year.

The NBS said on Wednesday last week that the Gross Domestic Product contracted by 2.06 per cent after shrinking 0.36 in the first quarter.

It said the non-oil sector declined due to a weaker currency, while lower prices dragged the oil sector down.

A slump in crude prices, Nigeria’s mainstay, has hammered public finances and the naira, causing chronic dollar shortages. Crude sales account for around 70 per cent of government revenues.

Compounding the impact of low oil prices, attacks by militants on oil and gas facilities in the southern Niger Delta hub since the start of the year have cut crude production by about 700,000 barrels per day to 1.56 million bpd. The government’s 2016 budget assumed 2.2 million bpd.

The NBS said annual inflation reached 17.1 per cent in July from 16.5 per cent in June – a more than 10-year high – and food inflation rose to 15.8 per cent from 15.3.

Nigeria’s sovereign dollar bonds fell across the curve to their lowest value in more than two weeks after the NBS released its data, according to Reuters.

The NBS figures showed Nigeria attracted just $647.1m of capital in the second quarter, a 76 per cent fall year-on-year and nine per cent down from the first quarter.

Nigeria’s economy was last in recession, for less than a year, in 1991, the NBS data shows. It also experienced a prolonged recession from 1982 to 1984.

President Muhammadu Buhari was in power for some of that period as a military ruler after seizing power in a December 1983 coup and remained head of state until another military coup pushed him out in August 1985.

The office of the vice president, who oversees economic policy, said in a statement it expected a “better economic outlook” for the second half of 2016 “because many of the challenges faced in the first half either no longer exist or have eased”.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

Continue Reading
Comments

Crude Oil

Oil Prices Rebound on OPEC+ Output Delay Talks and U.S. Inventory Drop

Published

on

Crude oil - Investors King

Oil prices made a modest recovery on Thursday on the expectations that OPEC+ may delay planned production increases and the drop in U.S. crude inventories.

Brent crude oil, against which Nigerian oil is priced, rose by 66 cents, or 0.9% to $73.36 per barrel while U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude appreciated by 64 cents or 0.9% to $69.84 per barrel.

The rebound in oil prices was a result of the American Petroleum Institute (API) report that revealed that the U.S. crude oil inventories had fallen by a surprising 7.431 million barrels last week, against analysts 1 million barrel decline projection.

The decline signals better than projected demand for the commodity in the United States of America and offers some relief for traders on global demand.

John Evans, an analyst at PVM Oil Associates, attributed the rebound in crude oil prices to the API report.

He said, “There is a pause of breath and light reprieve for oil prices.”

Also, discussions within the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies, collectively known as OPEC+, are fueling speculation about a potential delay in planned output increases.

The group was initially expected to increase production by 180,000 a day in October 2024.

However, concerns over softening demand in China and potential developments in Libya’s oil production have prompted the group to reconsider its strategy.

Despite the recent rebound, analysts caution that lingering uncertainties around global oil demand may continue to weigh on prices in the near term.

Continue Reading

Energy

Power Generation Surges to 5,313 MW, But Distribution Issues Persist

Published

on

power project

Nigeria’s power generation continues to get better under the leadership of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu.

According to the latest statement released by Bolaji Tunji, the media aide to the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, power generation surged to a three-year high of 5,313 megawatts (MW).

“The national grid on Monday hit a record high of 5,313MW, a record high in the last three years,” the statement disclosed.

Reacting to this, the Minister of Power, Adebayo Adelabu, called on power distribution companies to take more energy to prevent grid collapse as the grid’s frequency drops when power is produced and not picked by the Discos.

He added that efforts would be made to encourage industries to purchase bulk energy.

However, a top official of one of the Discos was quoted as saying that the power companies were finding it difficult to pick the extra energy produced by generation companies because they were not happy with the tariff on other bands apart from Band A.

“As it is now, we are operating at a loss. Yes, they supply more power but this problem could be solved with improved tariff for the other bands and more meter penetration to recover the cost,” the Disco official, who pleaded not to be named due to lack of authorisation to speak on the matter, said.

On Saturday, the ministry said power generation that peaked at 5,170MW was ramped down by 1,400MW due to Discos’ energy rejection.

Continue Reading

Crude Oil

Again NNPC Raises Petrol Price to N897/litre

Published

on

Petrol - Investors King

The Nigerian National Petroleum Company (NNPC) Limited has once again increased the price of Premium Motor Spirit (PMS) from N855 per litre on Tuesday to N897 on Wednesday.

The increase was after Aliko Dangote, the Chairman of Dangote Refinery, announced the commencement of petrol production at its refinery.

The continuous increase in pump prices has raised concerns among Nigerians despite the initial excitement from the refinery announcement.

According to the Nigerian Midstream and Downstream Petroleum Regulatory Authority (NMDPRA), the 650,000 barrels per day refinery will supply 25 million litres of petrol to the Nigerian market daily this September.

This, NMDPRA said will increase to 30 million litres per day in October.

However, the promise of increased fuel supply has not yet eased the situation on the ground.

Tunde Ayeni, a commercial bus driver at an NNPC station in Ikoyi, said “I have been in the queue since 6 a.m. waiting for them to start selling, but we just realised that the pump price has been changed to N897. This is terrible, and yet they still haven’t started selling the product.”

The price hike comes as NNPC continues to struggle with sustaining regular fuel supply.

On Sunday, the company warned that its ability to maintain steady distribution across the country was under threat due to financial strain.

NNPC cited rising supply costs as the cause of its difficulties in keeping up with demand.

Continue Reading
Advertisement




Advertisement
Advertisement
Advertisement

Trending