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Nigeria Imports N362bn Worth of Wheat in 2018

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  • Nigeria Imports N362bn Worth of Wheat in 2018

Despite reports that agricultural productivity has been growing in Nigeria in recent years, data released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed otherwise.

In the Foreign Trade Statistics report released by the NBS, importation of agricultural goods increased for the most part of 2018. The report showed that wheat importation represents 42.5 per cent or N362.4 billion of the total N852 billion spent on importation of agricultural goods in the year.

Ayodeji Balogun, country manager, AFEX Commodities Exchange Limited, said: “If you look at the derivatives of wheat, it is top line food for the younger, (upper and lower) middle income class, and that population is growing.

“The population of people eating pasta will continue to increase, and every sachet of Noodles is a part of wheat. That number will keep growing and wheat is not a crop we have any efficiency in producing,” he added.

The Agricultural Promotion Policy (2016-2020) put Nigeria’s annual wheat consumption at 4.7 million metric tonnes and local production at a mere 60 thousand metric tonnes, leaving a deficit of 4.64 million metric tonnes. Suggesting manufacturers of bread, biscuits, semovita etc had to import 4.64 MMT of wheat in 2018 to meet growing demand.

According to Oluwasina Olabanji, executive director, Lake Chad Research Institute, Nigerian wheat farmers produced less than 300,000 metric tonnes in 2017 farming season, while that was better than the 2018 farming season, the deficit was still 4.5 metric tonnes.

Experts believed government intervention can help deepen wheat production and agricultural produce as a whole. A visit to Borno state last year, by BusinessDay, showed about 67,000 hectares of land that was farmed for Wheat in Chad basin has been abandoned and uncultivated for years due to the insurgency.

Abdulkadir Jidda, chairman, All Farmers Association of Nigeria (AFAN), Borno State chapter told journalist “nobody can go there now.”

The President, Wheat Farmers Association of Nigeria (WFAN), Salim Muhammad, revealed that the body has not received any intervention from the current administration. He said the last time they got any form of support was during Goodluck Jonathan administration under the Growth Enhancement Scheme (GES) programme.

“Since it stopped, nothing like intervention came to wheat farming,” Muhammad said.

Despite wheat budgetary allocation rising every year, wheat production continued to decline. Federal government reportedly approved N8.85 billion through the Ministry of Agriculture, yet nothing substantial has been achieved in the industry.

In the first quarter of 2018, Nigeria imported N72.8 billion worth of Wheat, N85.46 billion in the second quarter, N101.4 billion in the third quarter and N102.7 billion in the final quarter. Bringing the total amount spent on Wheat in 2018 to N362 billion.

However, local sugar production rose by 101.1 per cent in the same year, largely driven by the private sector. Same with rice production that has enjoyed government enormous intervention in recent years. Nigeria is now the largest rice producer in Africa after attaining 4 million tonnes a year.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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