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Power Regulator Worries Over Discos’ Poor Remittance

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Power - Investors King
  • Power Regulator Worries Over Discos’ Poor Remittance

The poor remittance by electricity distribution companies to the Nigerian Bulk Electricity Trading Plc for the energy sold to them has become a serious concern for the regulator of the power sector.

The government-owned NBET buys electricity in bulk from generation companies through Power Purchase Agreements and sells to the Discos, which then supply to the consumers.

The Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission, in its report for the second quarter 2018, noted that the liquidity challenge in the Nigerian electricity supply industry continued to manifest during the period under review.

It said this was evidenced in the Discos’ level of remittances to NBET and the market operator, as compared with the invoices received for energy purchased from NBET and those received for administrative services from the MO.

According to the report, during the second quarter, the Discos were issued a total invoice of N161.4bn for energy received from NBET and for the administrative services by the MO, but only a sum of N53.7bn of the invoice was settled, creating a total deficit of N107.7bn.

It said a comparative analysis of market performance by the Discos in the second quarter indicated an overall settlement rate of only 30 per cent of the market invoice.

As stated in the Q1 2018 report, none of the Discos exceeded a threshold settlement of 50 per cent of its market invoices in the second quarter.

NERC said, “Jos recorded the worst remittance performance of 10 per cent and the commission is currently reviewing the viability of the Disco as a going concern.

“The challenge of poor remittance remained a serious concern to the commission as it is one of the main causes of the liquidity crisis facing the Nigerian electricity supply industry. Low remittance adversely affects the ability of NBET to honour its obligations to Gencos while service providers (the system operator, MO, NBET and NERC) struggle with paucity of funds, impacting their capacity to perform their statutory obligations.”

According to the regulator, Eko Disco recorded the highest remittance efficiency of 45 per cent in the first quarter of the year while Ikeja Disco marginally surpassed the remittance performance in the second quarter of 2018 at 46 per cent.

It said Jos and Kano Discos had the lowest remittance performance of 10 per cent and 18 per cent respectively in the second quarter despite the marginal improvement of three per cent and one per cent over the preceding quarter.

“The commission notes that tariff deficit is partly responsible for poor remittance in the industry but all the Discos are being steered to rapidly improve on their revenue collection from customers in order to fulfill their remittance obligations and mitigate the financial distress in the industry,” NERC added.

To address the poor remittance by Discos, the commission said it had commenced enforcement actions against Discos found to have engaged in unacceptably low remittances to NBET and the MO, factoring in all the parameters embedded in the tariff model.

It stated, “In this regard, the commission is working on a framework which ensures transparency and equity in the disbursement of market funds for the benefit of all market participants in the industry.”

The report said the collection efficiency of the Discos increased from 62 per cent to 64 per cent in the second quarter when compared with the preceding quarter and overall remittance to NBET increased by three per cent to 32 per cent of the total energy invoice.

The market operator received 43 per cent of the invoice payable to service providers during the same period.

The regulator said, “The total market (NBET’s and MO’s) invoices issued to international customers, comprising Communaute Electrique du Benin and Societe Nigerienne d’electricite and Ajaokuta Steel Company Limited (classified as special customer), during the second quarter of 2018 increased to N13.3bn from the N12.2bn recorded in the first quarter.

“However, no payment was received from the international and special customers during the quarter under review.”

The commission said it continued with its role of tariff reviews to adequately promote optimal performance by the Transmission Company of Nigeria and Discos and significantly enhance the quality of service to customers.

It added, “Financial illiquidity remains one of the most significant challenges threatening the sustainability of the power industry. The liquidity challenge is partly attributed to the non-implementation of cost-reflective tariffs, high technical and commercial losses exacerbated by energy theft, and consumers’ apathy to payments under the widely prevailing practice of estimated billing.”

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Economy

Federal Government Set to Seal $3.8bn Brass Methanol Project Deal in May 2024

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Gas-Pipeline

The Federal Government of Nigeria is on the brink of achieving a significant milestone as it prepares to finalize the Gas Supply and Purchase Agreement (GSPA) for the $3.8 billion Brass Methanol Project.

The agreement to be signed in May 2024 marks a pivotal step in the country’s journey toward industrialization and self-sufficiency in methanol production.

The Brass Methanol Project, located in Bayelsa State, is a flagship industrial endeavor aimed at harnessing Nigeria’s abundant natural gas resources to produce methanol, a vital chemical used in various industrial processes.

With Nigeria currently reliant on imported methanol, this project holds immense promise for reducing dependency on foreign supplies and stimulating economic growth.

Upon completion, the Brass Methanol Project is expected to have a daily production capacity of 10,000 tonnes of methanol, positioning Nigeria as a major player in the global methanol market.

Furthermore, the project is projected to create up to 15,000 jobs during its construction phase, providing a significant boost to employment opportunities in the country.

The successful execution of the GSPA is essential to ensuring uninterrupted gas supply to the Brass Methanol Project.

Key stakeholders, including the Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited and the Nigerian Content Development & Monitoring Board, are working closely to finalize the agreement and pave the way for the project’s advancement.

Speaking on the significance of the project, Minister of State Petroleum Resources (Gas), Ekperikpe Ekpo, emphasized President Bola Tinubu’s keen interest in expediting the Brass Methanol Project.

Ekpo reaffirmed the government’s commitment to facilitating the project’s success and harnessing its potential to attract foreign direct investment and drive economic development.

The Brass Methanol Project represents a major stride toward achieving Nigeria’s industrialization goals and unlocking the full potential of its natural resources.

As the country prepares to seal the deal in May 2024, anticipation grows for the transformative impact that this landmark project will have on Nigeria’s economy and industrial landscape.

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Economy

IMF Report: Nigeria’s Inflation to Dip to 26.3% in 2024, Growth Expected at 3.3%

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IMF global - Investors King

Nigeria’s economic outlook for 2024 appears cautiously optimistic with projections indicating a potential decrease in the country’s inflation rate alongside moderate economic growth.

The IMF’s revised Global Economic Outlook for 2024 highlights key forecasts for Nigeria’s economic landscape and gave insights into both inflationary trends and GDP expansion.

According to the IMF report, Nigeria’s inflation rate is projected to decline to 26.3% by the end of 2024.

This projection aligns with expectations of a gradual easing of inflationary pressures within the country, although challenges such as fuel subsidy removal and exchange rate fluctuations continue to pose significant hurdles to price stability.

In tandem with the inflation forecast, the IMF also predicts a modest economic growth rate of 3.3% for Nigeria in 2024.

This growth projection reflects a cautious optimism regarding the country’s economic recovery and resilience in the face of various internal and external challenges.

Despite the ongoing efforts to stabilize the foreign exchange market and address macroeconomic imbalances, the IMF underscores the need for continued policy reforms and prudent fiscal management to sustain growth momentum.

The IMF report provides valuable insights into Nigeria’s economic trajectory, offering policymakers, investors, and stakeholders a comprehensive understanding of the country’s macroeconomic dynamics.

While the projected decline in inflation and modest growth outlook offer reasons for cautious optimism, it remains essential for Nigerian authorities to remain vigilant and proactive in addressing underlying structural vulnerabilities and promoting inclusive economic development.

As the country navigates through a challenging economic landscape, concerted efforts towards policy coordination, investment promotion, and structural reforms will be crucial in unlocking Nigeria’s full growth potential and fostering long-term prosperity.

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Economy

South Africa’s March Inflation Hits Two-Month Low Amid Economic Uncertainty

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South Africa's economy - Investors King

South Africa’s inflation rate declined to a two-month low, according to data released by Statistics South Africa.

Consumer prices rose by 5.3% year-on-year, down from 5.6% in February. While this decline may initially suggest a positive trend, analysts caution against premature optimism due to various economic factors at play.

The weakening of the South African rand against the dollar, coupled with drought conditions affecting staple crops like white corn and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East leading to rising oil prices, poses significant challenges.

These factors are expected to keep inflation relatively high and stubborn in the coming months, making policymakers hesitant to adjust borrowing costs.

Lesetja Kganyago, Governor of the South African Reserve Bank, reiterated the bank’s cautious stance on inflation pressures.

Despite the recent easing, inflation has consistently remained above the midpoint of the central bank’s target range of 3-6% since May 2021. Consequently, the bank has maintained the benchmark interest rate at 8.25% for nearly a year, aiming to anchor inflation expectations.

While some traders speculate on potential interest rate hikes, forward-rate agreements indicate a low likelihood of such a move at the upcoming monetary policy committee meeting.

The yield on 10-year bonds also saw a marginal decline following the release of the inflation data.

March’s inflation decline was mainly attributed to lower prices in miscellaneous goods and services, education, health, and housing and utilities.

However, core inflation, which excludes volatile food and energy costs, remained relatively steady at 4.9%.

Overall, South Africa’s inflation trajectory underscores the delicate balance between economic recovery and inflation containment amid ongoing global uncertainties.

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