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At last, National Assembly Passes N9.12tn Budget

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Nigeria senate house
  • At last, National Assembly Passes N9.12tn Budget

The National Assembly eventually passed the 2018 budget on Wednesday, six months after President Muhammadu Buhari submitted the estimates to both chambers of the assembly.

The President had on November 7, 2017 submitted a proposal of N8.612tn for the 2018 fiscal year, but lawmakers on Wednesday passed N9.12tn as the budget, increasing it by N508bn.

From the passed budget, the Federal Government will spend N2.2tn to service debts, with N1.75tn to be spent on domestic debts, and N254.07bn on foreign debt service, while the sum of N190bn is appropriated as “sinking fund for retiring maturing debs.”

In 2017, debt servicing gulped N2.014tn.

The crude oil benchmark price for the budget also changed from $45 proposed by the Executive to $51.

The additional N508bn to the budget size was reflected in the sectoral allocations to government’s Ministries, Departments and Agencies.

For example, in Buhari’s estimates, the recurrent expenditure was captured as N3.494tn, but on Wednesday, the legislators approved N3.515tn as recurrent expenditure. Similarly, the development fund for capital expenditure was raised to N2.869tn from N2.652tn.

The provision for statutory transfers also rose to N530.421bn from N456bn.

For sectoral allocations, the Ministry of Power, Works and Housing got the highest vote of N714.6bn for recurrent and capital expenditure instead of Buhari’s total of N555.88bn.

Out of the N714.6bn, the ministry received N682.9bn for capital projects, leaving the balance of N31.7bn for recurrent spending.

The Ministry of Interior followed closely with a combined capital and recurrent vote of N576bn. The third largest sectoral allocation went to the Ministry of Defence, which got N575.6bn. This provision was aside from other votes for the military like the N78bn for the ‘Operation Lafiya Dole’.

The Ministry of Education got N541.2bn for both capital and recurrent expenditure, up from the N496.9bn proposed by the President.

The National Assembly too benefitted from the increase in allocations, raising its vote from N125bn to N139.5bn.

However, the naira/dollar exchange rate was retained at N305/$1, while the daily crude oil production was also retained at 2.3 million barrels.

The Chairman, House Committee on Media and Public Affairs, Mr. Abdulrazak Namdas, gave additional information on the changes made to the budget soon after the lawmakers rose on Wednesday.

Namdas said the new crude oil benchmark price was approved in order to reduce the overall deficit by N50.88bn and to make additional allocation of N106.5bn to the power, works and housing ministry.

He stated that health and security sectors got additional N57.1bn and N46.7bn, respectively.

“We put N15.7bn, for example, for the 12 new universities and meal subsidy for unity schools. Also, the judiciary received N10bn, while the Niger Delta Development Commission got N44bn, among others,” Namdas said.

The budget by the National Assembly, however, did not include the $496m fund for the purchase of 12 Super Tucano aircraft from the United States for which President Buhari had sought anticipatory approval from the legislature.

The $496m was taken from the $1bn already approved by the Federal Executive Council for security purposes.

The lawmakers, who had declared the subsidy on Premium Motor Spirit (petrol) being funded by the Nigerian National Petroleum Corporation as illegal, asked Buhari to forward a supplementary budget to include the arms and subsidy funds.

The Chairman, Senate Committee on Appropriations, Senator Danjuma Goje, who presented the report on the budget, stated that Buhari’s request for the aircraft was not included in the budget due to the amount of money involved.

“Don’t forget that the President wrote to this chamber requesting that it should be included in the budget. But we did not because of the size of the amount. It should come as a supplementary budget,” he said.

The report said the additional N508bn was based on the agreement between the executive and the legislature due to the increase in the price of crude oil.

It read in part, “(The) special intervention (is) as a result of increase in oil price benchmark. After close consultation with the executive, the increase in oil price benchmark was applied in the following critical sectors of the economy.

“Reduction of deficit, N50.88bn; security, N46.72bn; health, N57.15bn; power, works and housing, N106.50bn; education, particularly for the infrastructure for the 12 newly established universities and meal subsidy in unity schools, N15.70bn; judiciary, N10bn; and Niger Delta Development Commission, N44.20bn.”

The President of the Senate, Bukola Saraki, in his remarks, asked the executive to present a supplementary budget that would capture areas not covered in the passed budget.

Saraki said, “For me, today is a very happy day for those of us who are from the medical profession, those serving and those who are not serving. I want to, on behalf of all practising doctors – not native doctors – thank the entire National Assembly for this one per cent of the budget (voted) towards primary health care provision. This will go a long way in addressing our health issues.

“As we all know today, Nigeria accounts for 10 per cent of the world’s maternal mortality, nine per cent for child mortality, and about eight per cent for infant mortality. This is not where we should be as a country. And I think what we have done today is to open a new page that enables our people to be much healthier and stronger.”

He added, “In the area that we could not address, which is the issue of fuel subsidy, I want to make an appeal again that the executive needs to look into this for the interest of transparency, where an expenditure close to over N1tn must be captured in the budget. And when the supplementary (budget) comes, the executive should do something about this area. It is an important issue we must address.

“In doing that, we must appreciate now that the crude oil price is close to $80 (per barrel) and a lot of Nigerians are expecting to see our Excess Crude Account to be on the rise. But if money is being used for subsidy, at the end of the day, we will have it difficult to explain. That is why it is important that we capture this subsidy into the budget.”

Meanwhile, finance and economic experts have said that the passage of the budget by the National Assembly will boost investors’ confidence in the economy.

The Head, Banking and Finance Department, Nasarawa State University, Prof. Uche Uwaleke, said during a telephone interview with one of our correspondents that the delay in the passage would affect the full implementation of the capital component of the budget, adding that it would in the short term provide the much needed direction for the economy.

He stated, “It’s a welcome development because it is better late than never. We are likely going to see an upsurge in economic activities and it’s going to facilitate the pace of economic recovery now that the budget has been passed.

“The expectation is that the President will assent to it and stop further delay, because the amendments that were made by the National Assembly are justified because the assumptions sent by the executive are no longer realistic.

“So, we expect that economic activities can commence, particularly in the capital market. Activities in the capital market, most especially the equity segment of the market, have been down as a result of uncertainties caused by the delay in the budget passage. Now that the budget has been passed, the market will react positively because we now have a short-term direction.”

Uwaleke added, “It is going to reduce uncertainty and boost investors’ confidence in the economy; but going forward, we should avoid a situation where it will take over six months for the budget to be passed.

“We should try to get the budget started so that implementation can commence. As it is, it is difficult to talk about the success rate of implementation, because you can’t expect that the budget will be implemented 100 per cent, particularly the capital component, as the budget is coming rather late.”

In his comments, a former Managing Director, Unity Bank Plc, Mr. Rislanudeen Mohammed, said that the Federal Government might not be able to fully implement the capital component of the budget owing to the delay in its passage.

He said while the overhead, personnel and debt service components would be fully implemented, the timing of the budget passage would not make it effective for the capital votes to be implemented.

Mohammed stated, “The government cannot implement the budget effectively. What will happen is that the recurrent expenditure will be fully implemented, the statutory transfers will also be fully implemented, but the capital expenditure will suffer because there will be no time.

“What they can implement with the delayed budget is about 40 per or 50 per cent of capital votes, and this is not good for the economy, because it is the capital projects that will have direct effect on the livelihood of Nigerians. Politics has overtaken economics.”

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

Nigeria to Raise VAT to 10% Amid Revenue Crisis, Says Fiscal Policy Chairman

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Value added tax - Investors King

Taiwo Oyedele, Chairman Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee, has said the committee working on increasing the Valued Added Tax (VAT) from the current 7.5% to 10%.

Oyedele announced this during an interview on Channels TV’s Politics Today.

According to Oyedele, the tax law the committee drafted would be submitted to the National Assembly for approval.

He also said his committee was working to consolidate multiple taxes in Nigeria to ensure tax reduction.

He said, “We have significant issues in our tax revenue. We have issues of revenue generally which means tax and non-tax. You can describe the whole fiscal system in a state that is in crisis.

“When my committee was set up, we had three broad mandates. The first one was to look at governance: our finances as a country, borrowing, coordination within the federal government and across sub-national.

“The second one was revenue transformation. The revenue profile of the country is abysmally low. If you dedicate our whole revenue to fixing roads it will be insufficient. The third is on government assets.

“The law we are proposing to the National Assembly has the rate of 7.5% moving to 10% from 2025. We don’t know how soon they will be able to pass the law. Then subsequent increases are also indicated in terms of the year they will kick in.

“While we are doing that, we have a corresponding reduction in personal income tax. Anybody that is earning about N1.5 million a month or less, they will see their personal income tax come down. Companies will have income tax rate come down by 30% over the next two years to 25%. That is a significant reduction.

“Other taxes they pay are quite many: IT levy, education tax, etc. All these we are consolidating into a single one. They will pay 4% initially. That will go down to 2& in the next few years.”

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Economy

Nigerian Economy Surges 3.19% in Q2 2024, Service Sector Leads Growth

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Nigerian Breweries - Investors King

The Nigerian economy grew in the second quarter of 2024 by 3.19% year-on-year, according to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) on Monday.

This is an improvement from the 2.98% growth recorded in the first quarter of 2024 and the 2.51% achieved during the same period in 2023.

The growth was driven predominantly by the service sector, which saw a 3.79% growth during the quarter and contributed 58.76% to Nigeria’s aggregate GDP.

The service sector, which includes industries such as telecommunications, banking, and hospitality, has become a significant driver of economic activity in Africa’s largest economy as it diversifies away from its traditional reliance on oil and agriculture.

In addition to the strength of the service sector, the industry sector also posted a positive performance, growing by 3.53% during the quarter.

This is a notable recovery from the -1.94% decline recorded in the same period in 2023.

The industry sector includes manufacturing, construction, and utilities, which have benefitted from increased investments and improvements in energy supply.

The agriculture sector, a longstanding pillar of the Nigerian economy, experienced a modest growth of 1.41%, slightly lower than the 1.50% recorded in the second quarter of 2023.

Despite the slower growth, agriculture remains vital to Nigeria’s economy, providing employment to millions of Nigerians and contributing to food security.

The overall 3.19% growth in GDP highlights the resilience of the Nigerian economy despite ongoing challenges such as inflation, currency depreciation, and insecurity.

Analysts had predicted a modest growth rate of around 3.16% for the second quarter, closely aligning with the actual performance.

The Financial Derivatives Company (FDC) also forecasted Nigeria’s annual average GDP growth to reach approximately 3.07% in 2024, which is consistent with the International Monetary Fund’s (IMF) revised projections.

The Q2 GDP performance supports these forecasts, providing cautious optimism for the remainder of the year.

While the growth of the Nigerian economy is a positive development, challenges remain. Inflation, particularly in food prices, continues to strain household incomes, and the naira’s depreciation has increased the cost of imports.

Also, infrastructure deficits and insecurity in various regions of the country pose obstacles to sustained economic expansion.

Despite these challenges, the continued growth in the service and industry sectors demonstrates Nigeria’s capacity to adapt and evolve in an increasingly diversified economy. If these sectors maintain their current trajectory, they could help mitigate some of the pressures facing the economy and improve living standards for Nigerians.

The government’s focus on economic reforms, including efforts to attract foreign investment, improve infrastructure, and enhance security, will be crucial in sustaining and building on the positive GDP growth in the coming quarters.

Economic diversification remains a key goal, and the strong performance of the service sector is a promising sign that Nigeria is moving in the right direction.

With cautious optimism, experts are hopeful that Nigeria can leverage its expanding sectors to achieve sustained economic growth and create more opportunities for its growing population.

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WTO’s Okonjo-Iweala Points to Declining Nigerian GDP Growth as Major Concern

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Ngozi Okonjo Iweala

Ngozi Okonjo-Iweala, Director General of the World Trade Organization (WTO), has raised concerns about the country’s declining GDP growth.

Speaking at the annual General Conference of the Nigerian Bar Association (NBA) on Sunday, Okonjo-Iweala highlighted a troubling trend that has marked the Nigerian economy since 2014.

Addressing an audience of legal professionals, policymakers, and economists, Okonjo-Iweala painted a grim picture of Nigeria’s economic performance, noting that the nation’s GDP growth rate has significantly deteriorated over the past decade.

She observed that between 2000 and 2014, Nigeria enjoyed a relatively robust average GDP growth rate of 3.8%, which notably outpaced the population growth rate of 2.6% annually.

This period was characterized by substantial economic advancements and improvements in living standards for many Nigerians.

However, the post-2014 era has been marked by economic stagnation and decline. According to Okonjo-Iweala, Nigeria’s GDP growth rate has turned negative, recording a troubling average decline of 0.9%.

This reversal, she argues, reflects the government’s failure to sustain the positive economic momentum achieved by previous administrations.

“The contrast between the two decades is striking,” Okonjo-Iweala said. “While the early 2000s brought significant economic progress, the subsequent years have seen a marked decline in GDP growth, which has directly impacted the average Nigerian’s quality of life.”

The WTO Director General attributed this decline to a combination of factors, including inconsistent economic policies, lack of effective reform implementation, and broader macroeconomic challenges.

She said despite various reform attempts and temporary economic improvements, Nigeria has struggled to build on and consolidate these gains.

“The inability to sustain economic growth has had severe repercussions,” Okonjo-Iweala continued. “Many Nigerians are facing diminished job prospects and reduced well-being, as the benefits of earlier growth have not been maintained or built upon.”

In her address, Okonjo-Iweala urged for urgent and comprehensive economic reforms to address these challenges.

She called on Nigerian policymakers to focus on strategies that promote sustainable growth, enhance economic stability, and improve the overall quality of life for the populace.

The call for action comes at a time when Nigeria is grappling with various economic pressures, including inflation, currency depreciation, and unemployment.

Okonjo-Iweala’s remarks underscore the need for renewed efforts to stabilize the economy and implement policies that can drive long-term growth and development.

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