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Experts Say Efficiency of Nigeria’s Debt Worrisome

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  • Experts Say Efficiency of Nigeria’s Debt Worrisome

Economists and experts have expressed worry over the utilisation of Nigeria’s growing debt profile.

In separate telephone interviews with our correspondent in Abuja on Monday, some experts who reacted to the worries expressed by the United States over Nigeria and Africa’s growing debt profiles resulting from massive Chinese loans, said Nigeria should be worried over the efficiency of the borrowings rather than the size.

The News Agency of Nigeria had reported that the US Department of State had in a background briefing on the visit of the Secretary of State, Rex Tillerson, to the continent expressed worry that African countries were regressing to debt after debt forgiveness, which countries like Nigeria benefitted from between 2004 and 2006.

The Presiding Pastor, Latter Rain Assembly, Tunde Bakare, had on Sunday berated the administration of President Muhammadu Buhari for borrowing in three years more than successive administrations of the Peoples’ Democratic Party had borrowed in 16 years.

A former President of the Nigerian Economic Society and currently Executive Director, African Centre for Shared Development Capacity Building, Prof. Olu Ajakaiye, said what was important was the efficiency of the borrowing rather than the size of the debt.

Ajakaiye stated that Nigerians should begin to question the efficiency of borrowing by the government, whether it was the present government or former administrations.

He said the purpose of the country’s current borrowings was good on paper but regretted that the budgetary process had been frustrating the roll out of infrastructure for which the government had been taking loans.

Ajakaiye also faulted the current strategy of the Federal Government to borrow from foreign sources in order to liquidate local debts.

Similarly, a development economist, Odilim Enwegbara, stated that although Nigeria’s debt to Gross Domestic Product ratio was better than those of peer African countries, the country’s problem was in the utilisation of the proceeds of debt.

Enwegbara said ordinarily, the United States should not be the one to talk to Nigeria on the debt profile because of its high indebtedness, but added that the nation had been profligate in the management of its debt resources.

Is the CEO and Founder of Investors King Limited. He is a seasoned foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Business Insider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and other prominent platforms. With over two decades of experience in global financial markets, Olukoya is well-recognized in the industry.

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Economy

FG Awards N158bn Lekki Port Service Lanes Construction to Dangote 

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The Federal Government of Nigeria has awarded the construction of service lanes connecting the Lekki Deep Sea Port through Epe to the Shagamu-Benin Expressway to the Dangote Group, one of the leading private sector giants in the country.

The approval for the construction of the project was made at the Federal Executive Council (FEC) meeting presided over by President Bola Tinubu.

Investors King learned that the project which seeks to reduce traffic congestion within Lagos, particularly with the concentration of industries in the Lekki Free Trade Zone, is worth N158 billion.

A statement issued by Bayo Onanuga, Special Adviser to President Tinubu on Information and Strategy disclosed that the project will be handled by Dangote Industries under the Federal Government’s Road Infrastructure Development Fund and Refurbishment Investment Tax Credit Scheme.

Aside from tackling traffic challenges, the planned service lanes are expected to facilitate hitch-free movement of goods, easing pressure on Lagos’ internal road networks and improving connectivity to other regions.

The Dangote Group benefits from reduced tax liabilities by carrying out public projects that contribute to national development.

Under the Federal Government’s Road Infrastructure Development and Refurbishment Investment Tax Credit Scheme, companies like Dangote Industries can receive tax credits in exchange for funding and completing public infrastructure projects, allowing them to “pay” for the project through future tax deductions.

As of August 2024, nine major road projects across the country were being funded by Dangote Group under this scheme, according to a review by the Ministry of Works.

With the recent FEC approval of the construction of service lanes from the Lekki Deep Sea Port through Epe to the Shagamu-Benin Expressway, the number of road projects being handled by Dangote Group has now risen to ten, making it the top private sector player in the scheme.

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Economy

Dangote Advocates for Full Subsidy Removal, Says Refinery Will Tackle Consumption Challenges

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The founder and Chief Executive of Dangote Group, Alhaji Aliko Dangote, has urged the President Bola Tinubu-led government to place its trust in the Dangote Refinery.

In a 26-minute interview with Bloomberg Television in New York on Monday, Dangote stated that the refinery would address many of Nigeria’s issues, particularly the high consumption rates that have turned the nation into an importer of most goods.

However, the businessman also called on the Federal Government to fully eliminate fuel subsidies.

According to him, now is the right time to remove fuel subsidies so that the country can determine its actual petrol consumption.

He said, “Subsidy is a very sensitive issue. Once you are subsidizing something, people will inflate the price, and the government will end up paying more than they should. It is the right time to get rid of subsidies.”

He added, “This refinery will resolve a lot of issues. It will provide clarity on Nigeria’s real consumption because, right now, no one can give a definite figure. Some say 60 million litres of gasoline per day, while others say less. But once we start producing, everything will be measurable.

“Everything will be accounted for, especially with the trucks and ships loading from us. We will track them to ensure the oil stays within Nigeria, which I believe will help the government save a significant amount of money. Now is the right time to remove the subsidy.”

Dangote further revealed that the responsibility for removing subsidies rests solely with the government.

He continued, “We have the option of either producing and exporting or selling locally. As a large private company, we do need to make a profit. We have built something worth $20bn, so, of course, we have to generate revenue.

“The removal of subsidies is entirely up to the government, not us. We cannot adjust the price, but I think the government will have to compromise on certain things. In the end, the subsidy will have to be removed.”

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Fed Slashes Interest Rates by 0.5% to Steady Job Market and Inflation

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The Federal Reserve on Wednesday enacted its first interest rate cut since the early days of the Covid pandemic, slicing half a percentage point off benchmark rates in an effort to head off a slowdown in the labor market.

With both the jobs picture and inflation softening, the central bank’s Federal Open Market Committee chose to lower its key overnight borrowing rate by a half percentage point, or 50 basis points, affirming market expectations that had recently shifted from an outlook for a cut half that size.

Outside of the emergency rate reductions during Covid, the last time the FOMC cut by half a point was in 2008 during the global financial crisis.

The decision lowers the federal funds rate to a range between 4.75%-5%. While the rate sets short-term borrowing costs for banks, it spills over into multiple consumer products such as mortgages, auto loans and credit cards.

In addition to this reduction, the committee indicated through its “dot plot” the equivalent of 50 more basis points of cuts by the end of the year, close to market pricing. The matrix of individual officials’ expectations pointed to another full percentage point in cuts by the end of 2025 and a half point in 2026. In all, the dot plot shows the benchmark rate coming down about 2 percentage points beyond Wednesday’s move.

“The Committee has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent, and judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are roughly in balance,” the post-meeting statement said.

The decision to ease came “in light of progress on inflation and the balance of risks.” Notably, the FOMC vote was 11-1, with Governor Michelle Bowman preferring a quarter-point move. Bowman’s dissent was the first by a Fed governor since 2005, though a number of regional presidents have cast “no” votes during the period.

“We’re trying to achieve a situation where we restore price stability without the kind of painful increase in unemployment that has come sometimes with this inflation. That’s what we’re trying to do, and I think you could take today’s action as a sign of our strong commitment to achieve that goal,” Chair Jerome Powell said at a news conference following the decision.

Trading was volatile after the decision with the Dow Jones Industrial Average jumping as much as 375 points after it was released, before easing somewhat as investors digested the news and considered what it suggests about the state of the economy.

Stocks ended slightly lower on the day while Treasury yields bounced higher.

“This is not the beginning of a series of 50 basis point cuts. The market was thinking to itself, if you go 50, another 50 has a high likelihood. But I think [Powell] really dashed that idea to some extent,” said Tom Porcelli, chief U.S. economist at PGIM Fixed Income. “It’s not that he thinks that’s not going to happen, it’s that he’s not he’s not pre-committing to that to happen. That is the right call.”

The committee noted that “job gains have slowed and the unemployment rate has moved up but remains low.” FOMC officials raised their expected unemployment rate this year to 4.4%, from the 4% projection at the last update in June, and lowered the inflation outlook to 2.3% from 2.6% previous. On core inflation, the committee took down its projection to 2.6%, a 0.2 percentage point reduction from June.

The committee expects the long-run neutral rate to be around 2.9%, a level that has drifted higher as the Fed has struggled to get inflation down to 2%.

The decision comes despite most economic indicators looking fairly solid.

Gross domestic product has been rising steadily, and the Atlanta Fed is tracking 3% growth in the third quarter based on continuing strength in consumer spending. Moreover, the Fed chose to cut even though most gauges indicate inflation well ahead of the central bank’s 2% target. The Fed’s preferred measure shows inflation running around 2.5%, well below its peak but still higher than policymakers would like.

However, Powell and other policymakers in recent days have expressed concern about the labor market. While layoffs have shown little sign of rebounding, hiring has slowed significantly. In fact, the last time the monthly hiring rate was this low – 3.5% as a share of the labor force – the unemployment rate was above 6%.

At his news conference following the July meeting, Powell remarked that a 50 basis point cut was “not something we’re thinking about right now.”

For the moment, at least, the move helps settle a contentious debate over how forceful the Fed should have been with the initial move.

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