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Equity Market – Listed Securities on NSE

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Nigerian Exchange Limited - Investors King
  • Equity Market – Listed Securities on NSE

The NigeriaN bourse rebounded from the lull experienced in the previous trading session as the key performance indicators closed the past week on a promising note. Consequently, the NSE All-Share Index and market capitalisation appreciated by 0.72 per cent and 0.82 per cent to close the week at 42,876.23 and N15.403tn, respectively. With this, the NSE ASI has posted a 12.11 per cent return year-to-date.

Similarly, all other indices finished higher during the week with the exception of the NSE ASeM, NSE Banking and NSE Pension indices that depreciated by 1.14 per cent, 0.59 per cent and 0.09 per cent, respectively.

During the past week, African Prudential Plc (full year December 31, 2017) recorded a 37.10 per cent increase in turnover to N3.32bn as well as 68.25 per cent increase in profit after tax to N1.72bn. The company also proposed a cash dividend per share of N0.40, which translates to a dividend yield of 8.12 per cent.

We are of the view that the quality of results released by listed companies will largely dictate the direction of the market in this week.

NASD unlisted securities

The NASD OTC market maintained its week-on-week positive momentum, as the NASD USI advanced by 1.46 per cent to close at 674.45 points (as against 664.76 points recorded the previous week). Similarly, the market capitalisation appreciated by 1.46 per cent to close higher at 456.42bn (compared to ₦449.86bn the previous week).

Money market

The OBB and Overnight rates rose slightly to close the past week at 9.75 per cent and 10 per cent, respectively. This was a result of the slight squeeze in system liquidity from funding for retail FX bids by banks and OMO sales worth N526.49bn. The outflow outweighed inflows of approximately N369.35bn in matured treasury bills

We expect rates to trend higher at the beginning of this week due to anticipated funding for OMO and wholesale FX sales by the Central Bank of Nigeria, but moderate downward slightly as OMO bills worth N152.93bn are expected to mature.

Bonds market

The bond market traded on a relatively quiet note with slight compression in yields due to slight buy interest on the long end of the curve. Yields compressed marginally by one basis point week-on-week in what was largely flat trading week for bonds.

We expect this trend to persist in this week as the CBN is expected to sustain its intervention in the money market space.

Treasury Bills market

During the past week, the Treasury bills market traded on a relatively bullish note as market players cherry-picked some high-yielding bills. Consequently, yields declined by an average of eight basis points.

The CBN in the week auctioned treasury bills worth N129.99bn via the primary market: viz: 91-day bills worth N12.99bn, 182-day bills worth N64.99bn and 364-day bills worth N51.99bn. Their marginal rates closed at 11.85 per cent, 13.49 per cent and 13.50 per cent, respectively

We expect a slight uptick in yields this week as the CBN resumes its OMO auction and FX interventions.

Foreign exchange market

The CBN official spot rate fell sharply by 0.18 per cent to N305.95/$ from N306.50/$ in the previous session. The spot rate in the Investors and Exporters’ FX Window depreciated by 0.01 per cent to close at N360.70/$ from N360.66/$ in the previous session.

Rates in the unofficial market also depreciated by 0.03 per cent to N360.80/$, from its previous rate of N360.70/$.

During the past week, the CBN injected $210m into the foreign exchange market of which $100m was allocated to wholesale (SMIS), $55m was allocated to Small and Medium-scale Enterprises and $55m was sold for invisibles.

The interbank foreign exchange markets are expected to remain fairly stable this week.

Macro economy news

Nigeria’s real Gross Domestic Product grew year-on-year by 1.92 per cent to N18.56tn in the fourth quarter of 2017, the third consecutive growth in eight quarters; stronger than the 1.40 per cent growth of N17.80tn registered in the third quarter. The growth in real output was more broad-based across the oil, agricultural, trade, manufacturing and services sectors. This is a quite departure from the quality of growth in the preceding quarter when oil and agricultural sectors dominated.

Is the CEO/Founder of Investors King Limited. A proven foreign exchange research analyst and a published author on Yahoo Finance, Businessinsider, Nasdaq, Entrepreneur.com, Investorplace, and many more. He has over two decades of experience in global financial markets.

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Finance

Presidential Committee to Exempt 95% of Informal Sector from Taxes

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tax relief

The Presidential Fiscal Policy and Tax Reforms Committee (PFPTRC) has unveiled plans to exempt a significant portion of the informal sector from taxation.

Chaired by Taiwo Oyedele, the committee aims to alleviate the burden of multiple taxation on small businesses and low-income individuals while fostering economic growth.

The announcement came following the close-out retreat of the PFPTRC in Abuja, where Oyedele addressed reporters over the weekend.

He said the committee is committed to easing the tax burden, particularly for those operating within the informal sector that constitutes a substantial portion of Nigeria’s economy.

Under the proposed reforms, approximately 95% of the informal sector would be granted tax exemptions, sparing them from obligations such as income tax and value-added tax (VAT).

Oyedele stressed the importance of supporting individuals in the informal sector and recognizing their efforts to earn a legitimate living and their contribution to economic development.

The decision was informed by extensive deliberations and data analysis with the committee advocating for a fairer and more equitable tax system.

Oyedele highlighted that individuals earning up to N25 million annually would be exempted from various taxes, aligning with the committee’s commitment to relieving financial pressure on small businesses and low-income earners.

Moreover, the committee emphasized the need for tax reforms to address the prevailing issue of multiple taxation, which disproportionately affects small businesses and the vulnerable population.

By exempting the majority of the informal sector from taxation, the committee aims to stimulate economic growth and promote entrepreneurship.

The proposal for tax reforms is expected to be submitted to the National Assembly by the third quarter of this year, following consultations with the private sector and internal approvals.

The reforms encompass a broad range of measures, including executive orders, regulations, and constitutional amendments, aimed at creating a more conducive environment for business and investment.

In addition to tax exemptions, the committee plans to introduce executive orders and regulations to streamline tax processes and enhance compliance. This includes a new withholding tax regulation exempting small businesses from certain tax obligations, pending ministerial approval.

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Banking Sector

CBN Governor Vows to Tackle High Inflation, Signals Prolonged High Interest Rates

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Central Bank of Nigeria - Investors King

The Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), Dr. Olayemi Cardoso, has pledged to employ decisive measures, including maintaining high interest rates for as long as necessary.

This announcement comes amidst growing concerns over the country’s soaring inflation rates, which have posed significant economic challenges in recent times.

Speaking in an interview with the Financial Times, Cardoso emphasized the unwavering commitment of the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to take whatever steps are essential to rein in inflation.

He underscored the urgency of the situation, stating that there is “every indication” that the MPC is prepared to implement stringent measures to curb the upward trajectory of inflation.

“They will continue to do what has to be done to ensure that inflation comes down,” Cardoso affirmed, highlighting the determination of the CBN to confront the inflationary pressures gripping the economy.

The CBN’s proactive stance on inflation was evident from the outset of the year, with the MPC taking bold steps to tighten monetary policy.

The committee notably raised the benchmark lending rate by 400 basis points during its February meeting, further increasing it to 24.75% in March.

Looking ahead, the next MPC meeting, scheduled for May 20-21, will likely serve as a platform for further deliberations on monetary policy adjustments in response to evolving economic conditions.

Financial analysts have projected continued tightening measures by the MPC in light of stubbornly high inflation rates. Meristem Securities, for instance, anticipates a further uptick in headline inflation for April, underscoring the persistent inflationary pressures facing the economy.

Despite the necessity of maintaining high interest rates to address inflationary concerns, Cardoso acknowledged the potential drawbacks of such measures.

He expressed hope that the prolonged high rates would not dampen investment and production activities in the economy, recognizing the need for a delicate balance in monetary policy decisions.

“Hiking interest rates obviously has had a dampening effect on the foreign exchange market, so that has begun to moderate,” Cardoso remarked, highlighting the multifaceted impacts of monetary policy adjustments.

Addressing recent fluctuations in the value of the naira, Cardoso reassured investors of the central bank’s commitment to market stability.

He emphasized the importance of returning to orthodox monetary policies, signaling a departure from previous unconventional approaches to monetary management.

As the CBN governor charts a course towards stabilizing the economy and combating inflation, his steadfast resolve underscores the gravity of the challenges facing Nigeria’s monetary authorities.

In the face of daunting inflationary pressures, the commitment to decisive action offers a glimmer of hope for achieving stability and sustainable economic growth in the country.

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Banking Sector

NDIC Managing Director Reveals: Only 25% of Customers’ Deposits Insured

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Retail banking

The Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of the Nigeria Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC), Bello Hassan, has revealed that a mere 25% of customers’ deposits are insured by the corporation.

This revelation has sparked concerns about the vulnerability of depositors’ funds and raised questions about the adequacy of regulatory safeguards in Nigeria’s banking sector.

Speaking on the sidelines of the 2024 Sensitisation Seminar for justices of the court of appeal in Lagos, themed ‘Building Strong Depositors Confidence in Banks and Other Financial Institutions through Adjudication,’ Hassan shed light on the limited coverage of deposit insurance for bank customers.

Hassan addressed recent concerns surrounding the hike in deposit insurance coverage and emphasized the need for periodic reviews to ensure adequacy and credibility.

He explained that the decision to increase deposit insurance limits was based on various factors, including the average deposit size, inflation impact, GDP per capita, and exchange rate fluctuations.

Despite the coverage extending to approximately 98% of depositors, Hassan underscored the critical gap between the number of depositors covered and the value of deposits insured.

He stressed that while nearly all depositors are accounted for, only a quarter of the total value of deposits is protected, leaving a significant portion of funds vulnerable to risk.

“The coverage is just 25% of the total value of the deposits,” Hassan affirmed, highlighting the disparity between the number of depositors covered and the actual value of deposits within the banking system.

Moreover, Hassan addressed concerns about moral hazard, emphasizing that the presence of uninsured deposits would incentivize banks to exercise market discipline and mitigate risks associated with reckless behavior.

“The quantum of deposits not covered will enable banks to exercise market discipline and eliminate the issue of moral hazards,” Hassan stated, suggesting that the lack of full coverage serves as a safeguard against irresponsible banking practices.

However, Hassan’s revelations have prompted calls for greater regulatory oversight and transparency within Nigeria’s financial institutions. Critics argue that the current level of deposit insurance falls short of providing adequate protection for depositors, especially in the event of bank failures or financial crises.

The disclosure comes amid ongoing efforts by regulatory authorities to bolster depositor confidence and strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. With concerns mounting over the stability of Nigeria’s financial system, stakeholders are urging for proactive measures to address vulnerabilities and enhance consumer protection.

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